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The End of Free-Lunch Economics

STEFANI REYNOLDSAFP via Getty Images The End of Free-Lunch Economics Since the global financial crisis, and particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic, fiscal and monetary policymakers have operated as if there are no tradeoffs to their expansionary policy programs. Now that economic conditions have changed, they may soon have to relearn old lessons the hard way. […]

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Response: Money and Payments: The US Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation

Response: Money and Payments: The US Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation Implications from the Federal Reserve’s Paper Our first comment is that every monetary change from the Founding of America through present has been to move away from free markets, and to adulterate our currency. An analogy could be made to the Ship […]

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Is Powell Again Pulling Strings From “The Shadows”?

Is Powell Again Pulling Strings From “The Shadows”? Recently, we have seen stocks rally while the dollar falls. Some of us are wondering why the dollar is falling at the same time currency traders are busy penciling in as many as four interest rate increases. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, a measure of the currency […]

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Central Banks Rush to Protect Themselves from Incoming Disaster

Central Banks Rush to Protect Themselves from Incoming Disaster Image courtesy of European Central Bank The times, they are a-changin’, as Bob Dylan tells us. On the global economic stage, the U.S. isn’t the dominant economic superpower that it once was. This conclusion comes from the declining popularity of dollars among global central banks. Around the […]

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What Will Surprise Us in 2022

What Will Surprise Us in 2022 What seemed so permanent for 13 long years will be revealed as shifting sand and what seemed so real for 13 long years will be revealed as illusion. Magical thinking isn’t optimism, it is folly. Predictions are hard, especially about the future, but let’s look at what we already […]

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What I See for 2022: Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Stocks & Other Assets as Central Banks Face Raging Inflation

What I See for 2022: Interest Rates, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Stocks & Other Assets as Central Banks Face Raging Inflation An extra-special cocktail of three powerful ingredients with no cherry on top awaits us in 2022. Super-inflated asset prices such as housing, stocks, and bonds; massive inflation; and central banks that have started to […]

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Weekly Commentary: 2021 Year in Review

Weekly Commentary: 2021 Year in Review Books will be written chronicling 2021. I’ll boil an extraordinary year’s developments down to a few simple words: “Things Ran Wild”. Covid ran wild. Monetary inflation ran wild. Inflation, in general, ran completely wild. Speculation and asset inflation ran really wild. More insidiously, mal-investment and inequality turned wilder. Extreme […]

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Ellen Brown: The Real Antidote to Inflation

Ellen Brown: The Real Antidote to Inflation The Fed has options for countering the record inflation the U.S. is facing that are far more productive and less risky than raising interest rates. [Images Money / CC BY 2.0] The Federal Reserve is caught between a rock and a hard place. Inflation grew by 6.8% in November, […]

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My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update

My “Wealth Effect Monitor” & “Wealth Disparity Monitor” for the Fed’s Money-Printer Economy: December Update Billionaires got more billions, bottom half of Americans got peanuts and inflation. My “Wealth Effect Monitor” uses the data that the Fed releases quarterly about the wealth of households. The Fed, after having released the overall data for the third […]

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Peter Schiff: There Is No Ceiling on Inflation

Peter Schiff: There Is No Ceiling on Inflation Gold closed out the week before Christmas above $1,800 an ounce, despite rising bond yields. The $1,800 level has been viewed as a ceiling for the price of gold. In his podcast, Peter Schiff said people need to start thinking of $1,800 as a floor. And he said […]

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Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979

Inflation In 2021 Far Different From What We Had In 1979 The inflation of today is a starkly different creature than what we faced in 1979. The world is massively different and presenting us with a strain of inflation that will most likely be stronger and more difficult to combat without major disruptions to our […]

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Gold and silver prospects for 2022

Gold and silver prospects for 2022 It has been a disappointing year for profit-seeking precious metal investors, but for those few of us looking to accumulate gold and silver as the ultimate insurance against runaway inflation it has been an unexpected bonus. After reviewing the current year to gain a perspective for 2022, this article […]

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Ruling the World of Money

Ruling the World of Money Ten times a year— once a mouth except in August and October— a small elite of well dressed men arrives in Basel, Switzerland. Carrying overnight bags and attache cases, they discreetly check into the Euler Hotel, across from the railroad station. They have come to this sleepy city from places […]

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Inflation Is a Policy That Cannot Last

Inflation Is a Policy That Cannot Last Are we heading toward a Fed policy that fixes inflation at a permanent rate of five to six percent? We could be. But inflation is a policy that cannot last. We’re currently experiencing a massive wave of price inflation. This should come as no surprise. The Fed has increased […]

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Chaos and the Triumph of Survival

CHAOS AND THE TRIUMPH OF SURVIVAL One of the most horrifying works of art is Bruegel’s “The Triumph of Death” painted in 1562. The painting depicts the end of life on earth. I sincerely hope that this is not what the world will literally look like in the next decade or two but metaphorically this is not […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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