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The Hazardous Detour in the Road to “Recovery” Few Foresee
The Hazardous Detour in the Road to “Recovery” Few Foresee As the level of Fed smack and crack needed to maintain the high increases, system fragility increases geometrically. You know the plot point in the horror film where the highway is blocked and a detour sign directs the car full of naive teens off onto a rutted track into […]
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen testified jointly before the US Senate last week. Inflation was a big topic of conversation. The Fed chair continued to insist that the central can fight inflation if necessary, but that it really isn’t a problem we need to worry […]
The Losses are Hidden – Bill Holter
The Losses are Hidden – Bill Holter Precious metals expert and financial writer Bill Holter has been predicting the financial system is going to go down sooner than later. He says the signs are the lies being told to the public to try to hold the system together. Holter explains, “If you look at everything, […]
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme If you’re a wage earner, retiree, or a lowly saver, your wealth is in imminent danger. A lifetime of schlepping and saving could be rapidly vaporized over the next several years. In fact, the forces towards this end have already been set in motion. Indeed, […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation The Treasury yield spike runs unabated. Ten-year Treasury yields rose another 10 bps this week to 1.72%, the high since January 23, 2020. The Treasury five-year “breakeven” inflation rate rose to 2.65% in Tuesday trading, the high since July 2008. The Philadelphia Fed’s Business Survey Prices Paid Index surged to […]
Wrong… Again
Wrong… Again The Federal Reserve met last week and voted to keep interest rates unchanged. What a shock! The Fed also gave an upbeat forecast of economic growth, predicting that the U.S. economy will grow 6.5% this year, its highest rate in nearly 40 years. Its December 2020 forecast projected 4.2% growth. The Fed also […]
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is?
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is? To Clarify, Main Street Is Not Wall Street After all the destructive policies we have seen coming out of the Eccles Building, it may be time to ask Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, “Do you even know what the economy is?” All the easing and stimulus has […]
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market The Fed smiles upon rising long-term Treasury yields as sign of economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Long-term US Treasury yields have continued to march higher despite the Fed’s purchases of about $120 billion a month in Treasury securities and […]
“Things Are Out Of Control” – There Is A Shortage Of Everything And Prices Are Soaring: What Happens Next
“Things Are Out Of Control” – There Is A Shortage Of Everything And Prices Are Soaring: What Happens Next In Wednesday’s press conference, Jay Powell confirmed that the Fed is setting off on a historic experiment: welcoming a conflagration of red-hot inflation for an indefinite period of time in an overheating economy, with the underlying […]
Gold vs. the stock market
Gold vs. the stock market More than 3,000 years ago in the early 12th century BC, Greco-Roman legend tells us of a mythical pair of monsters located in the Strait of Messina in southern Italy. The monsters were named Scylla and Charybdis. And both Homer’s Odyssey and Virgil’s Aeneid describe the terror of sailors who […]
Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun”
Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun” This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest top stories involving gold and the overall economy. Stories include: The overlooked driver of gold and silver prices, what to expect from gold after last year’s fireworks, a heap of ancient gold figures has been […]
What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis?
What Interest Rate Triggers The Next Crisis? The Ten-year U.S. Treasury note yields 1.61%. 10-year high-quality corporate bonds yield 2.09%. The rate on a 30-year mortgage is 3.05%. Despite recent increases, interest rates are hovering near historic lows. We do not use the word “historic” lightly. By “historic,” we refer to the lowest levels since […]
Getting Hyperinflation Right
Getting Hyperinflation Right Profligate money printing by the US Federal Reserve and by other Western central banks has amounted to around $10 trillion over just the last year. The amount of currency in circulation has grown to $2 trillion, breaking a record set in 1945 and showing an almost 12% increase over 2019. The US […]
Rabo: If Powell Does Nothing, We Will See Godzilla-Sized Shockwaves Across Markets Everywhere
Rabo: If Powell Does Nothing, We Will See Godzilla-Sized Shockwaves Across Markets Everywhere “Quadzilla is approaching Tokyo!” [Cue epic music] “Up from the depths; 30 trillion high; Breathing fire; Its name in the sky — Quadzilla! Quadzilla! Quadzilla!” [Sudden switch to comedy music] “…and Godz-EU-ki.” For those who grew up with 80’s cartoons, that intro may be […]
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March President Biden has now had his $1.9 trillion stimulus package passed into law, and it will not be the last in the current fiscal year. Covid is not over and is sure to resurge with new variants next winter.But even assuming that is not the case, we still […]
