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Tag Archives: financial markets
Goldman Warns Risk Of Market Crash Is Highest Since The Financial Crisis, Nearing 60%
Goldman Warns Risk Of Market Crash Is Highest Since The Financial Crisis, Nearing 60% A common refrain among the bullish talking heads on CNBC in recent months has been that whether one includes the Fed’s invisible hand in “price discovery”, or excludes it as so many naively continue to do, the result would be the same […]
In Absurd Fiasco, Entire Market Spike Was Due To A CNBC Grammatical Mistake
In Absurd Fiasco, Entire Market Spike Was Due To A CNBC Grammatical Mistake The farce that is this “market” just took a whole new turn for the surreal. As we reported earlier, the reason why stocks surged just after 5am EDT is because of a CNBC headline, according to which the US Treasury Secretary said that […]
Meet “Gekko”: The Robot Bond Trader Being Developed By Quant Funds
Meet “Gekko”: The Robot Bond Trader Being Developed By Quant Funds We pointed out earlier this year that “factor based” quant funds were having difficulty finding strategies to beat the market – especially now that all quant funds are doing the same thing. But now, the computer scientists at Cantab Capital, based out of Cambridge, have taken […]
Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market
Goldman: Here’s Why The Fed Is About To Shock The Market As discussed earlier, and as both Bank of America and JPM explained, the biggest risk for the market next week is if the Fed not only doesn’t cut – the market assigns a very low probability to such a “pre-emptive” move – but fails to signal an aggressive […]
Bubble 3.0: A Blast From a Bubble Past
BUBBLE 3.0: A BLAST FROM A BUBBLE PAST “Although macroeconomic forecasting is fraught with hazards, I would not interpret the currently very flat yield curve as indicating a significant economic slowdown to come.”–BEN BERNANKE, Former Fed Chairman in a March 20, 2006 speech “It was popular to play down the significance of the inverted yield […]
Climate Change Could Trigger Global Financial Crisis
Climate Change Could Trigger Global Financial Crisis A top U.S. financial regulator is worried that climate change could threaten global financial markets. Rostin Behnam, a commissioner at the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), said that the financial system was at risk from the growing frequency and severity of storms. “The impacts of climate change affect […]
“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart
“The Market is Almost Always Wrong About What the Fed Will Do”: Chart The rate cuts for 2019 are a pipe-dream: Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank. It now makes two: The chief economists at investment banks Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank have warned their clients that the already priced-in rate cuts this year that markets […]
The Ugly End of Globalization
The Ugly End of Globalization Sometime in the fall of 2018 a lowly gofer at the New York Stock Exchange was sweating bullets. He’d made an honest mistake. One that could forever tag him a buffoon. After trading sideways for most of the spring, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was on the move. When it […]
Financial Markets To Federal Reserve: Time To Start Cutting Rates
Financial Markets To Federal Reserve: Time To Start Cutting Rates In late 2018 the US stock market tanked, in effect holding a gun to its own head and threatening to pull the trigger unless the Fed stopped raising interest rates. The Fed, painfully aware that an equities bull market is an existential threat in today’s […]
If Deutsche Bank Breaks $6.40 World in Trouble – Charles Nenner
If Deutsche Bank Breaks $6.40 World in Trouble – Charles Nenner Renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner says if there was ever a global canary in the coal mine warning for the financial system, it is Germany’s Deutsche Bank (DB). Late last year, Nenner predicted if DB stock went below $8 a share, […]
Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 21st 2019
Blain’s Morning Porridge – May 21st 2019 “He knew everything about literature, except how to enjoy it…” Waves of negative news headlines battering markets. Might have to wear a hat.. Huawei – Trade War Threat Level Rises The Huawei embargo raises the trade war threat from undeclared to imminent shooting match. While it’s not quite […]
Prepare for Trench Warfare
Prepare for Trench Warfare What if China isn’t half so desperate for a deal as the president believes? Are we in for an extended siege of economic trench warfare? Today we explore possibilities… and their implications. We first direct our gaze to Wall Street. Investors came crouching from their shelters this morning… as if expecting […]
Stocks Crater – 3.5 Trillion Dollars In Global Market Cap Wiped Out – China Considers “Dumping U.S. Treasuries”
Stocks Crater – 3.5 Trillion Dollars In Global Market Cap Wiped Out – China Considers “Dumping U.S. Treasuries” Wall Street responded to our escalating trade war with China by throwing a bit of a temper tantrum. On Monday the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 617 points, and that was the worst day for the […]
Event Risk
Event Risk In rare moments markets face major event risk, in even rarer moments the event risk is well advertised in advance and the risk implies massive potential moves in either direction.Markets are faced with such a moment right now: The outcome of the China negotiations. Ever since Donald Trump tweeted out new tariff threats […]
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner – Part 3 of 3
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner – Part 3 of 3 This is the final part in a series of articles explaining why I expect the third and final leg of the crash that began in October 2018 to occur in October 2019, or sooner, and see the S&P […]
