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Thucydides Trap & War Between China & USA
Thucydides Trap & War Between China & USA QUESTION: What do you make of Trump’s proposal to restrict US investment in China? Will this send the US economy into recession as everyone is saying? DH ANSWER: I have never seen the press so anti-president in the history of this nation. Every possible thing they claim will destroy […]
Liquidity Crisis & the Pending European Banking Crisis
Liquidity Crisis & the Pending European Banking Crisis A lot of people have been writing in about the liquidity crisis and the banks with exposure to Deutsche Bank. This is clearly the European Banking Crisis we have been warning about. Most European (and Swiss) banks are having to overpay 30-40bps over libor. Even A+ rated banks […]
Japan’s Monetary System is a Warning to Modern Society
Japan’s Monetary System is a Warning to Modern Society QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; My friend who retired from the Bank of Japan told me you had recreated the monetary system of Japan and that was how you could predict the yen would go below par back in 1995 and again in 2011. Could you please publish the […]
Climate Change That Ignores History
Climate Change That Ignores History Climate has ALWAYS changed from decade to decade. There were major swings (volatility) during the 1930s. You had the dust bowl during the summer and in 1936 you had record cold. The 1936 North American cold wave, which also hit Japan and China, still rank among the most intense cold waves in […]
The Club & Why the Majority Must be Always Wrong
The Club & Why the Majority Must be Always Wrong QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I did my own research on the 1998 Russian collapse. All the big names lost billions. Even the New York Times reported that George Soros lost $2 billion. You were the only one who made money so it made sense that you were named hedge […]
Do We Face Global Cooling or an Ice Age?
Do We Face Global Cooling or an Ice Age? QUESTION #1: You expect global cooling due to the decrease in solar energy. Why do glaciers melt? MG QUESTION #2: Now that the Greenland Glacier is growing, is this part of the shift back toward global cooling? Do you think we are headed to an ice age? FH ANSWER: There […]
The Surrender of Liberty in the Name of Security
The Surrender of Liberty in the Name of Security QUESTION: It seems that as we get closer to a change-over of economic systems that as a society we are more willing to give up our rights to the State. Is that part of a pattern during these types of events? Was it seen as Britain, Rome, […]
The Biggest Bubble in Modern Financial History
The Biggest Bubble in Modern Financial History QUESTION: You said before you were advising corporates to issue long-term bonds and lock in the low rates. Even the US Treasury seems to be following your advice and are looking at issuing 50 and 100-year bonds. Do you give governments the same advice? DK ANSWER: If asked, of course, […]
Will Governments ever Listen Before there is Blood in the Streets?
Will Governments ever Listen Before there is Blood in the Streets? COMMENT: Thank you for ‘Why Private Blogs’. You should get goose bumps once in a while about your work~,the project is massive in scale, certainly worthy of my respect and everyone else in readerville and your employ as well. This piece is well written and […]
Difference Between Hyperinflation and Currency Inflation
Difference Between Hyperinflation and Currency Inflation QUESTION: What is the difference between asset inflation and hyperinflation? I believe you are saying that from Jan 2020 we will see inflation which I understand to be asset inflation?ThanksFL ANSWER: Asset inflation is typically a reflection of a decline in the value of the currency, but this can be 50% […]
Economic Storm Trump Will be Blamed For Because of Bad Advisers
Economic Storm Trump Will be Blamed For Because of Bad Advisers There is a very Dark Cloud hovering over the world economy and at the center of this cloud lies not just Europe, but Germany – the strongest economy holding up all of Europe. The German manufacturing sector is in freefall. Trump will be blamed […]
IMF Recommends “DEEP” Negative Interest Rates as the Next Tool
IMF Recommends “DEEP” Negative Interest Rates as the Next Tool The IMF has continued to assume that the zero-bound on interest rates can be a serious obstacle for fighting recessions on the part of the central banks. The IMF maintains that the zero-bound is not a law of nature; it is a policy choice. The latest in […]
Can the Fed really Control the Economy?
Can the Fed really Control the Economy? QUESTION: This whirligig talk of whether the Fed cuts rates by 25 or 50 basis points is carnival-level absurdity. Does the Fed have the “pretense of knowledge,” as F.A. Hayek, said, that they can regulate the economy like turning up or down the thermostat? I know you don’t agree […]
The Reality of Trade Between USA & China
The Reality of Trade Between USA & China We are clearly cascading toward the Monetary Crisis Cycle as the USA wrong accuses China of manipulating its currency for trade advantages. All one needs do is look at the trend of the dollar against other major world currencies and you will quickly see that the trend […]
Was 9/11 A Plot to Seize Power?
Was 9/11 A Plot to Seize Power? QUESTION: What is your view on the new demands for an investigation that there is “overwhelming evidence” that the buildings were brought down by explosives? KD ANSWER: I do not know about the Twin Towers, but I can say that the first World Trade Center bombers drew the World Trade […]
