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US Breaks Cruise Ship Quarantine, Flies 13 Infected Americans To Omaha Facility

US Breaks Cruise Ship Quarantine, Flies 13 Infected Americans To Omaha Facility While China does everything in its power do demonstrate that the number of new cases in both Hubei province where the coronavirus epicenter of Wuhan is located, and across China, is declining with every passing day in a sign that the epidemic is […]

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Disease modelers gaze into their computers to see the future of Covid-19, and it isn’t good

Disease modelers gaze into their computers to see the future of Covid-19, and it isn’t good At least 550,000 cases. Maybe 4.4 million. Or something in between. Like weather forecasters, researchers who use mathematical equations to project how bad a disease outbreak might become are used to uncertainties and incomplete data, and Covid-19, the disease caused […]

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The Industrially Necessary Doctor Tedros

The Industrially Necessary Doctor Tedros The World Health Organisation will lead a mission to China this weekend to start investigating the COVID-19 outbreak.  “start investigating” …  AYFKM? There’s this pleasing mythology out there that the World Health Organization is like some international version of the Center for Disease Control, that it’s staffed by scientists and doctors flying […]

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Blain’s Morning Porridge – 17 Feb 2020: Virus pain and Softbank

Blain’s Morning Porridge – 17 Feb 2020: Virus pain and Softbank “Lord, give me strength to deal with London cyclists…”   A quiet day’s play in prospect with a US holiday, and its UK mid-term holiday all week. The Covid19 Coronavirus is likely to remain the dominant issue to worry the markets. Infections continue to […]

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Beijing Crashes The Party: Chinese Media Warns Austerity Is Coming After FinMin Says “Proactive Fiscal Policy” No Longer Feasible

Beijing Crashes The Party: Chinese Media Warns Austerity Is Coming After FinMin Says “Proactive Fiscal Policy” No Longer Feasible One of the top reasons why stocks have continued to hit new all time highs despite the ongoing economic shock that has crippled China’s economy, which according to Goldman will push its GDP to zero (or […]

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Bill Gates Warns “10 Million Lives” At Risk As Virus Spreads To Africa And Taiwan Reports First Death

Bill Gates Warns “10 Million Lives” At Risk As Virus Spreads To Africa And Taiwan Reports First Death Summary: Taiwan reports 1st coronavirus death Taiwan taxi driver who died from virus carried passengers from mainland, Hong Kong, Macau Singapore reports 3 more cases Indonesia says 6 passengers from Westerdam cruise ship tested negative There are […]

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Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm

Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm  This article posits that the spread of the coronavirus coincides with the downturn in the global credit cycle, with potentially catastrophic results. At the time of writing, analysts are still trying to get to grips with the virus’s economic impact and they commonly express the hope that after […]

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Hubei Doctors Warn Of Even-Deadlier Coronavirus Reinfection Causing Sudden Heart Attacks

Hubei Doctors Warn Of Even-Deadlier Coronavirus Reinfection Causing Sudden Heart Attacks Doctors working on the front lines of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak have told the Taiwan Times that it’s possible to become reinfected by the virus, leading to death from sudden heart failure in some cases. “It’s highly possible to get infected a second time. A few people recovered from […]

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The Four Coronavirus Scenarios: The Bad; The Worse; The Ugly; And The Unthinkable

The Four Coronavirus Scenarios: The Bad; The Worse; The Ugly; And The Unthinkable  Summary The Covid-19 coronavirus could be more disruptive than markets are currently pricing in. Not in the least because the ‘true’ number of infected people remains uncertain, as the recent surge in cases exemplifies We outline four scenarios in which the virus […]

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Why Covid-19 Demands Our Full Attention

Why Covid-19 Demands Our Full Attention This is an unprecedented moment for our hyper-connected planet There’s a reason we’ve re-directed so much of our attention towards reporting on and trying to understand the novel coronavirus (covid-19) that originated in Wuhan, China in December. The heart of our approach is to be “systems thinkers.” “Learn how […]

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Fiat Chrysler To Shut Serbia Plant As Covid-19-Shock Paralyzes Global Supply Chains

Fiat Chrysler To Shut Serbia Plant As Covid-19-Shock Paralyzes Global Supply Chains It’s certainly plausible that the global economy is in the early stages of grinding to a halt. Already, we’ve noted that two-thirds of China’s economy is offline, with major industrial hubs idle and 400 million people quarantined. The next phase of the supply chain […]

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Coronavirus likely now ‘gathering steam’

Coronavirus likely now ‘gathering steam’ Leaky international cordon may mean equivalent of worst flu season in modern times The number of confirmed cases of the Wuhan coronavirus have continued to surge inside China, sickening tens of thousands, with a death toll of more than 1,000. But outside the Asian giant the numbers remain a fraction […]

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Chaos Is Coming: US To Start Testing People With Flu Symptoms

Chaos Is Coming: US To Start Testing People With Flu Symptoms Brace for chaos: in a few weeks, the next person to sneeze may be arrested quietly pulled aside by the authorities and tested for coronavirus. People in the US experiencing flu-like symptoms will be screened for the latest coronavirus that originated from China, officials with the […]

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Impure Thoughts

Impure Thoughts What if the Corona virus turns out to be a genuine pandemic with legs, not some punk-ass, flash-in-the-pan bug like SARS… and infects hundreds of millions around the world…? And what if it happens to go logarithmic in the USA, as in China now…? And what if takes a few months, or half a […]

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Is The Coronavirus (Covid-19) Now Unstoppable?

Is The Coronavirus (Covid-19) Now Unstoppable? New data suggests so Oh, boy…the scientific research on covid-19 (the new name of the Wuhan coronavirus) continues to reveal what a huge challenge containing this virus is. A new report from Los Alamos Labs calculates its R0 at between 4.7 to 6.6. That is massively contagious! It’s little wonder then […]

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