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Tag Archives: inflation
Crisis of the 70s Compared to the 20s
Crisis of the 70s Compared to the 20s COMMENT: Hi Marty, Your post today on inflation(when people see it coming) reminds me how things have changed from the 1970s. Then, the inflation we saw came from oil rising(Opec raising prices), unions demanding wage increases, and currencies untethered to the abandoned Bretton Woods agreement. Governments then seemed […]
Inflation Comes When People See it is Cheaper to Buy today than Tomorrow
Inflation Comes When People See it is Cheaper to Buy today than Tomorrow COMMENT: Dear Mr Armstrong, I wanted to write in to affirm your observation of regular people buying now rather than waiting (The Bull v Bear in the US Markets). I had to buy a new dryer earlier in the year. It took 6 […]
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In
Peter Schiff: The Box That the Federal Reserve Is In Jerome Powell and Janet Yellen testified jointly before the US Senate last week. Inflation was a big topic of conversation. The Fed chair continued to insist that the central can fight inflation if necessary, but that it really isn’t a problem we need to worry […]
What’s Behind the Stunning Spike in Used Vehicle Auction Prices? That Consumers Aren’t on Buyers Strike Shows Something Big about Inflation Has Changed
What’s Behind the Stunning Spike in Used Vehicle Auction Prices? That Consumers Aren’t on Buyers Strike Shows Something Big about Inflation Has Changed Need a used pickup truck? Forget it, or pay out of your nose for it. But even spurned mid-sized cars are seeing stunning price increases. Prices of used cars and trucks of […]
Things That Make Me Go Hmmm: Inflation, Crypto, Command Economies and Gold.
Things That Make Me Go Hmmm: Inflation, Crypto, Command Economies and Gold. Over the years I’ve written almost ad nauseum about the crazy I see (and saw) around me as a fund manager, family office principal and individual investor. The list includes: 1) an entire book on the grotesque central bank distortions of free market price discovery, […]
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme
There’s a Serious Flaw to the Team Powell-Yellen Inflation Scheme If you’re a wage earner, retiree, or a lowly saver, your wealth is in imminent danger. A lifetime of schlepping and saving could be rapidly vaporized over the next several years. In fact, the forces towards this end have already been set in motion. Indeed, […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation
Weekly Commentary: Powell on Inflation The Treasury yield spike runs unabated. Ten-year Treasury yields rose another 10 bps this week to 1.72%, the high since January 23, 2020. The Treasury five-year “breakeven” inflation rate rose to 2.65% in Tuesday trading, the high since July 2008. The Philadelphia Fed’s Business Survey Prices Paid Index surged to […]
Wrong… Again
Wrong… Again The Federal Reserve met last week and voted to keep interest rates unchanged. What a shock! The Fed also gave an upbeat forecast of economic growth, predicting that the U.S. economy will grow 6.5% this year, its highest rate in nearly 40 years. Its December 2020 forecast projected 4.2% growth. The Fed also […]
“Get Ready For Some Serious Sticker Shock Very Soon: This Jump In Inflation Won’t Be Transient”
“Get Ready For Some Serious Sticker Shock Very Soon: This Jump In Inflation Won’t Be Transient” Semiconductor Costs Could Lead to a Shock This Fall Consumer confidence is key to how people plan to spend. You can see it in the chart below. And as the chip shortage grows, expect the higher prices to begin […]
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is?
Powell, Do You Even Know What The Economy Is? To Clarify, Main Street Is Not Wall Street After all the destructive policies we have seen coming out of the Eccles Building, it may be time to ask Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, “Do you even know what the economy is?” All the easing and stimulus has […]
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market
First Signs that Surging Mortgage Rates Are Dialling Down the Heat under the Housing Market The Fed smiles upon rising long-term Treasury yields as sign of economic growth and rising inflation expectations. Long-term US Treasury yields have continued to march higher despite the Fed’s purchases of about $120 billion a month in Treasury securities and […]
Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun”
Look to Prices, Not Official Metrics, for Inflation’s “Smoking Gun” This week, Your News to Know rounds up the latest top stories involving gold and the overall economy. Stories include: The overlooked driver of gold and silver prices, what to expect from gold after last year’s fireworks, a heap of ancient gold figures has been […]
Getting Hyperinflation Right
Getting Hyperinflation Right Profligate money printing by the US Federal Reserve and by other Western central banks has amounted to around $10 trillion over just the last year. The amount of currency in circulation has grown to $2 trillion, breaking a record set in 1945 and showing an almost 12% increase over 2019. The US […]
New Normal: High Unemployment, Near-Zero Interest Rates and Out of Control Inflation
New Normal: High Unemployment, Near-Zero Interest Rates and Out of Control Inflation Since the pandemic began a year ago, the term “new normal” has become part of the American lexicon. Not “new” as in better or improved. But rather “new” as in contrast to the way things used to be. Much of the mainstream discussion argues that […]
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March President Biden has now had his $1.9 trillion stimulus package passed into law, and it will not be the last in the current fiscal year. Covid is not over and is sure to resurge with new variants next winter.But even assuming that is not the case, we still […]
