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Olduvai III: Catacylsm
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The devil is in the detail

The devil is in the detail If you get your news from the BBC, you might be forgiven for thinking that the economic hit from the pandemic lockdowns and restrictions has come to an end.  Indeed, if you merely skim through the headlines in your social media feed, you might believe that the UK is […]

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Why Isn’t U.S. Shale Production Soaring?

Why Isn’t U.S. Shale Production Soaring? With oil prices threatening to break $100 this year, many observers are confused by the lack of a U.S. shale boom. The major reason that U.S. shale companies are reluctant to boost production at all costs is that they need to keep shareholders happy first and foremost. Other issues […]

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Inflation – Cassandra Speaks

Inflation – Cassandra Speaks Inflation should be front and centre for markets – give or take Ukraine, Oil, etc. How real is it, and just how bad could the consequences be? Not talking about it is one way to ensure it hurts. “The way to crush the bourgeoise is to grind them between the millstones […]

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The Mineral Supply Crisis That’s Rarely Talked About

The Mineral Supply Crisis That’s Rarely Talked About  

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Oil Executives: Higher Energy Prices Are Here To Stay

Oil Executives: Higher Energy Prices Are Here To Stay Big oil executives expect that higher energy prices are here to stay. Underinvestment in new production is seen as one of the driving factors behind higher energy prices in the mid-term. Low global inventories and limited spare production capacity are driving crude prices in the short […]

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Is the Future Predetermined?

Is the Future Predetermined? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; it is easy to see why the government wanted Socrates. You said Monday would be the low then a bounce and that is what unfolds. You forecast so many markets and you get it to the day. Others claim this is the guy who called 2008 so buy […]

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Inflation Lowered By Investment In “Intangible Goods”

Inflation Lowered By Investment In “Intangible Goods” Inflation ahead will be contained in certain sectors of the economy. How much inflation we see is still up in the air. From a Main Street perspective, people and businesses are saying that inflation is here to stay and is not a short-lived or transient issue. Still, it […]

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Gasoline Prices Rise Across US Again, Experts Warn More Pain at Pump Coming

A customer prepares to pump gasoline into his car at a Valero station in Mill Valley, Calif., on July 12, 2021. (Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Gasoline Prices Rise Across US Again, Experts Warn More Pain at Pump Coming The price of gasoline has risen across the United States again as experts warn that more pain could lie ahead […]

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Fed One Meeting Away from Creating a Doomsday Market Sinkhole

Fed One Meeting Away from Creating a Doomsday Market Sinkhole Photo CC-BY-2.0 courtesy of the Oregon Department of Transportation The effective Federal Reserve funds rate (the EFFR) has been sitting at virtually zero for a long time now. It feels a little strange to think about the fact that it was 14 years ago when the […]

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The gas price crisis – in a hole, stop digging, here’s how to climb out…

The gas price crisis – in a hole, stop digging, here’s how to climb out… Does it seem odd that in a gas price crisis, there are people arguing we should dig ourselves deeper into the grip of that particular fuel? We’ve been here before – and it never ends well. A poorly regulated banking […]

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Degrowth is the Future.

Degrowth is the Future. The question is not whether we will face degrowth, but what we choose to degrow. Photo by Thom Milkovic on Unsplash (I will keep this short by linking to previous articles.) Degrowth has the issue of being defined or rather framed by what it is against rather than what it is for. “Many of the objections to degrowth […]

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Societal Collapse Due to Climate Change and Conflict

SOCIETAL COLLAPSE DUE TO CLIMATE CHANGE AND CONFLICT An Existential Threat There is a good paper floating about the internet warning that society could collapse due to climate change-related disasters and conflict in the next 20 years or so. Not good. Furthermore, according to the authors, such a collapse has been deemed not just possible, […]

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Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer

Limits to Green Energy Are Becoming Much Clearer We have been told that intermittent electricity from wind and solar, perhaps along with hydroelectricity, can be the basis of a green economy. Things are increasingly not working out as planned, however. Natural gas or coal used for balancing the intermittent output of renewables is increasingly high-priced […]

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Fed Rate Hike Will Cause Hyperinflationary Great Depression – John Williams

Fed Rate Hike Will Cause Hyperinflationary Great Depression – John Williams Economist John Williams says the economy is in deep trouble, and the Fed knows it.  Williams says the Fed talking up “robust economic growth” that is causing inflation is “nonsense.” Williams explains, “The one thing that is not causing inflation is ‘robust economic growth.’  […]

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A 50-Percent Decline Will Only Be A Correction

A 50-Percent Decline Will Only Be A Correction A 50-percent decline will only be a correction and not a bear market. I know. Right now, you are thinking, how could anyone suggest a 50-percent decline in the market is NOT a bear market. Logically you are correct. However, technically, we need an essential distinction between […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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