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New Poll: 70% of Americans are Angry at the Political Establishment

NEW POLL: 70% OF AMERICANS ARE ANGRY AT THE POLITICAL ESTABLISHMENT Are people finally beginning to wake up to the reality we are living in?  According to a new poll, 70% of Americans are now angry at the entrenched political establishment that is exerting control over every aspect of their lives. According to a newly […]

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Forget 1984, We’re Facing a Brave New World

Forget 1984, We’re Facing a Brave New World I see quite frequently, people warning that the US is becoming an ‘Orwellian nightmare,’ or that we’re living in a country that’s fast becoming a new 1984. I think they’re wrong. It’s worse. We here in the US look at what China’s doing as if they’re on […]

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Possible Currency War Would Be A Disaster For Oil

Possible Currency War Would Be A Disaster For Oil Oil prices plunged on Friday after the U.S. and China both announced tariff hikes in tit-for-tat fashion. At the same time, markets opened on a positive note early Monday after President Trump struck a more conciliatory tone. But the respite could be brief. Global financial markets are completely at the […]

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Rabobank: “The US Will Simply Not Allow A New Reserve Currency Without A Fight”

Rabobank: “The US Will Simply Not Allow A New Reserve Currency Without A Fight” “Peace for our time” Despite the fact that the German IFO survey was ‘I-ful’, with the official word being that the outlook is “increasingly dire”, and that US core durable goods were -0.4% vs. flat expected, both of which confirm that […]

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A Perfect Storm Is Brewing For US LNG

A Perfect Storm Is Brewing For US LNG That the U.S. energy industry would be among those hardest hit by a full-blown trade war between Washington and Beijing was a no-brainer. Yet the extent of the fallout as the war continues is only becoming evident now, as some companies find it hard to secure the […]

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Freedom of the Press? Not in the U.S.

Freedom of the Press? Not in the U.S. The United States ranks 48th among nations for press freedom, according to Reporters Without Borders. Since few other countries have the equivalent of our First Amendment, learning that we rank below Botswana and Slovenia may come as a surprise. Mostly the organization pins this dismal state of […]

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The Great Switch: The Geo-Politics of Looming Recession

The Great Switch: The Geo-Politics of Looming Recession  Is the prospect of looming global recession merely an economic matter, to be discussed within the framework of the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 – which is to say, whether or not, the Central Bankers have wasted their available tools to manage it? Or, is there a […]

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Iran Deploys 2 Warships To Escort Commercial Vessels As Zarif Flies To Beijing After G-7

Iran Deploys 2 Warships To Escort Commercial Vessels As Zarif Flies To Beijing After G-7 The threshold to an armed conflict around the Persian Gulf just got even smaller. On Monday, Iran said it had deployed two warships – a destroyer and a helicopter carrier – to protect the country’s commercial vessels around the Gulf […]

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The Anatomy of the Coming Recession

The Anatomy of the Coming Recession Unlike the 2008 global financial crisis, which was mostly a large negative aggregate demand shock, the next recession is likely to be caused by permanent negative supply shocks from the Sino-American trade and technology war. And trying to undo the damage through never-ending monetary and fiscal stimulus will not […]

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Will Europe Ever Shake Its Dependence On Russian Energy?

Will Europe Ever Shake Its Dependence On Russian Energy? Much of the current discourse over Europe’s economic “independence” has revolved around its increasingly-tense relationship with the Trump administration over foreign policy issues such as trade and Iran. This focus has sidelined another important development, however: portions of the European energy industry—a major pillar of the […]

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Why Mark Carney Thinks The Dollar Can No Longer Be The World’s Reserve Currency

Why Mark Carney Thinks The Dollar Can No Longer Be The World’s Reserve Currency While Jerome Powell’s highly anticipated Jackson Hole speech was, in the words of Brean Capital’s Russ Certo “underwhelming and anti-climatic”, one couldn’t say the same for the shocking luncheon speech by Bank of England’s outgoing governor, Mark Carney, titled “The Growing […]

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How Negative Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy

How Negative Interest Rates Screw Up the Economy Now they’re clamoring for this NIRP absurdity in the US. How will this end? Now there is talk everywhere that the United States too will descend into negative interest rates. And there are people on Wall Street and in the media that are hyping this absurd condition […]

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Iranian Tanker Showdown Heads To Turkey

Iranian Tanker Showdown Heads To Turkey The Iranian tanker which had been detained for the past five weeks in Gilbraltar has suddenly switched its ship data to show it is headed to a Turkish port, instead of arriving at waters off southern Greece, as previously planned.  Reuters has cited real-time ship tracking website MarineTraffic to show the change in […]

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US Slams China’s Escalating Oil & Gas ‘Interference’ In Vietnam Recognized Waters

US Slams China’s Escalating Oil & Gas ‘Interference’ In Vietnam Recognized Waters Late this week, the US State Department accused China of escalating its coercive actions against Vietnam in the South China Sea.  A spokesman said the US is “deeply concerned” China is continuing its interference with Vietnam’s longstanding oil and gas activities in the Vietnamese Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) claim. “This calls into […]

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The Ice Age Arrives: Average Sovereign Yield Outside The US Turns Negative For The First Time Ever

The Ice Age Arrives: Average Sovereign Yield Outside The US Turns Negative For The First Time Ever Last Friday afternoon, when what few traders were not on vacation were planning the venue of their evening alcohol consumption, we showed a remarkable analysis by Bank of America, which found that yields on the $27.8 trillion non-USD global investment grade bond […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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