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Embarrassing Speeches: Signs of a Dying Empire
Embarrassing Speeches: Signs of a Dying Empire “What are you reading my lord?” — Polonius “Words.” — Hamlet Something has changed in U.S. politics. And it may finally signal something changing for the better. Since the announcement (but no real follow through) to end our military involvement in Syria what passes for our statesmen — […]
Stocks are falling after a fresh set of horrible data out of China reignited worries about the global economy
Stocks are falling after a fresh set of horrible data out of China reignited worries about the global economy Another day, another weak set of Chinese data.REUTERS/Darley Shen A fresh set of troublingly poor data out of China has investors running for cover on Monday, with all major stock indexes around the world losing ground […]
Risks to the Global Economy in 2019
Adam Gault/Getty Image Risks to the Global Economy in 2019 Over the course of this year and next, the biggest economic risks will emerge in those areas where investors think recent patterns are unlikely to change. They will include a growth recession in China, a rise in global long-term real interest rates, and a crescendo […]
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014
Black Swan Watch: China Has Added Over $50 TRILLION in Financial Assets Since 2014 The biggest black swan facing the financial system is China. China has been the primary driver of growth for the global economy since the 2008 Crisis. Despite only accounting for 15% of global GDP, China accounts for 25%-30% of GDP growth. […]
China Using Twitter History To Arrest, Interrogate Dissidents
China Using Twitter History To Arrest, Interrogate Dissidents China’s notorious crackdown on internet activity has resulted in the arrest, imprisonment and interrogation of people posting over Twitter, according to the New York Times. A growing number of users who have been using the blocked platform through Virtual Private Networks (VPNs) have been swept up in a […]
Rate of Change
Rate of Change We’ve got to change our ornithological nomenclature. Hawks become doves because they are chickens underneath. Doves became hawks for reasons they don’t really understand. A fingers-crossed policy isn’t a robust one, so there really was no reason to expect the economy to be that way. In January 2019, especially the past few […]
The scenarios of the collapse
The scenarios of the collapse 2019 has started more calmly after a very volatile year-end in the markets. Focus has been on the trade deal between China and the US and the words of the central bankers, most notably those of Jay Powell. However, this is all just a distraction, a side-show. The market volatility […]
China Won’t Be Taking Over
China Won’t Be Taking Over Pablo Picasso Massacre in Korea 1951 In the New Year, after a close to the old one that was sort of terrible for our zombie markets, do prepare for a whole lot of stories about China (on top of Brexit and Yellow Vests and many more windmills fighting the Donald). […]
Bank Of England Boss: China’s Renminbi Will Rival The Dollar As Global Reserve Currency
Bank Of England Boss: China’s Renminbi Will Rival The Dollar As Global Reserve Currency The past year was full of events that inevitably split the global geopolitical space into two camps: those who still support using US currency as a universal financial tool, and those who are turning their back on the greenback. Global tensions […]
Is China Preparing for War?
Is China Preparing for War? War with China is on the drawing board of the Pentagon. China has responded to US threats and military deployments in the Indo-Pacific region. President Xi Jinping has ordered the People’s Liberation Army to prepare for a possible war. Addressing China’s Central Military Commission, Xi said “(a)ll military units must correctly understand […]
Commentary: 2019 will be the year of more state control
Commentary: 2019 will be the year of more state control A signature theme of the new year is the possibility of a malign confrontation between the world’s greatly enhanced capacity for electronic surveillance and the weakening of democratic control. The antidote to that risk is the democratic spirit and civil freedoms – both of which […]
Some Confucian Calm, Please!
SOME CONFUCIAN CALM, PLEASE! The United States and China look like two punch-drunk prizefighters squaring off for a major championship fight. They have no good reason to fight and every reason to cooperate now that both their stock markets have been in turmoil. Six hundred point market swings down and then up look like symptoms […]
