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Inflation and Gold – Precious Metals Supply and Demand

Inflation and Gold – Precious Metals Supply and Demand Reasons to Buy Gold The price of gold went up $19, and the price of silver 42 cents. The price action occurred on Monday, Wednesday and Friday though so far, only the first two price jumps reversed. We promise to take a look at the intraday […]

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Business Cycles and Inflation, Part II

Business Cycles and Inflation, Part II Early Warning Signals in a Fragile System [ed note: here is Part 1; if you have missed it, best go there and start reading from the beginning] We recently received the following charts via email with a query whether they should worry stock market investors. They show two short […]

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How Uncle Sam Inflates Away Your Life

How Uncle Sam Inflates Away Your Life “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon,” once remarked economist and Nobel Prize recipient Milton Friedman.  He likely meant that inflation is the more rapid increase in the supply of money relative to the output of goods and services which money is traded for. As more and […]

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Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming 

Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming  Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]

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Why Core Inflation is Rising & What it Means for Fed Rate Hikes

Why Core Inflation is Rising & What it Means for Fed Rate Hikes Yellen was right to brush off “transitory” factors of “low” inflation. Consumer prices, as measured by CPI for October, rose 2.0% year-over-year. A month ago, CPI increased 2.2%. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%, but it doesn’t use CPI, or even “Core […]

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Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming 

Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming  Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]

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US to Import Inflation from Japan, China, South Korea

US to Import Inflation from Japan, China, South Korea Even from Japan – whose export producer prices are soaring. The oil price collapse that started in 2014 pushed down input costs that companies – the “producers” – faced. And producer price indices, which measure inflation further up the pipeline, plunged. But this is over. And […]

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The Destruction of the Dollar

The Destruction of the Dollar “Inflation” occurs when the creation of currency outruns the creation of real wealth it can bid for… It isn’t caused by price increases; rather, it causes price increases. Inflation is not caused by the butcher, the baker, or the auto maker, although they usually get blamed. On the contrary, by […]

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Venezuela Officially Defaults; Annual Inflation 2689 Percent: When Does the Military Take Over?

Venezuela Officially Defaults; Annual Inflation 2689 Percent: When Does the Military Take Over? Electricidad de Caracas, a Venezuelan state-owned electric company, officially defaulted on a $650 million bond payment. The company was already a month late on its payment before the trustee, Wilmington Trust, issued a statement. Meaanwhile, Professor Steve Hanke notes annual inflation is […]

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700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid

700 Years Of Data Suggests The Reversal In Rates Will Be Rapid Have we been lulled into a false sense of security about the future path of rates by ZIRP/NIRP policies? Central banks’ misguided efforts to engineer inflation have undoubtedly been woefully feeble, so far. As the Federal Reserve “valiantly” raises short rates, markets ignore […]

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The Big Reversal: Inflation and Higher Interest Rates Are Coming Our Way

The Big Reversal: Inflation and Higher Interest Rates Are Coming Our Way This interaction will spark a runaway feedback loop that will smack asset valuations back to pre-bubble, pre-pyramid scheme levels. According to the conventional economic forecast, interest rates will stay near-zero essentially forever due to slow growth. And since growth is slow, inflation will […]

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Weekly Commentary: End of an Era

Weekly Commentary: End of an Era Of the diverse strains of inflation, asset inflation is by far the most dangerous. A bout of consumer price inflation would be generally recognized as problematic and rectified through a tightening of monetary conditions. On the other hand, asset price inflation is both celebrated and venerated. There is simply […]

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Dear Mario Draghi: About Your Victory Over Deflation Speech in March 

Dear Mario Draghi: About Your Victory Over Deflation Speech in March  In March, ECB President Mario Draghi declared victory over deflation. Let’s take a look at Eurozone inflation since his victory speech. On March 10, 2017, I reported ECB Declares Victory Over Deflation: Hallelujah! My lead-in comment was “ECB President Mario Draghi Declares Victory Over […]

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Venezuela’s Grim Reaper: A Current Inflation Measurement – Current Annual Rate 2875%

Venezuela’s Grim Reaper: A Current Inflation Measurement – Current Annual Rate 2875% The Grim Reaper has taken his scythe to the Venezuelan bolivar. The death of the bolivar is depicted in the following chart. A bolivar is worthless, and with its collapse, Venezuela is witnessing the world’s worst inflation. As the bolivar collapsed and inflation […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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