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Tag Archives: financial markets
Corona Virus? The Chinese Central Bank Has a “Solution”
Corona Virus? The Chinese Central Bank Has a “Solution” In response to the economic paralysis brought about by the coronavirus, the Chinese central bank has pumped $243 billion into financial markets. On Monday February 3 2020, China’s equity market shed $393 billion of its value. Most experts are of the view that in order to counter the […]
Coronavirus Ignored To Protect Stock Market Rally
Coronavirus Ignored To Protect Stock Market Rally It appears an effort to mask the danger of the coronavirus from the American people may be in play. This could be an attempt to protect Trump’s all-important stock market rally. It has become very apparent that the President values the stock markets’ constant move to newer highs […]
Narrow
Narrow New highs again for tech as $NDX keeps relentlessly crawling higher, now 16.2% extended above its 200MA. As outlined yesterday’s it’s a key warning signal. This latest rally has produced another warning signal and that is the leadership in $NDX is narrowing dramatically. Narrowing leadership has spelled trouble for $NDX in the past, especially as it […]
Rabobank: The Dilemma Facing China Is Truly Awful
Rabobank: The Dilemma Facing China Is Truly Awful As has been the case since Monday’s sell-off, there is an attempt to try to look on the bright side of the virus headlines. Chinese officials are spreading the word globally that things are under control and that other countries should not be closing their borders to […]
What if
What if What if bears were right all along? What if it’s not different this time? What if this Fed liquidity inspired rally produced precisely the kind of exuberant final thrust we often see at the end of business cycles? After all, people were really bullish in 2007, people were really bullish in 2000, both final […]
“SARS” Versus “Wuhan”: The Difference Between “Now & Then”
“SARS” Versus “Wuhan”: The Difference Between “Now & Then” A week dominated by headlines of a spreading respiratory virus has had investors recalling pandemics past, from SARS in 2003 to the Ebola scare six years ago. While the “Wuhan” virus, or known scientifically as “nCoV,” is still in its infancy, it is closely tracking both the infection and, unfortunately, […]
Contagion!
Contagion! The world is confronting the effects of the “coronavirus.” It likely originated in Wuhan, China, where it jumped from animals to humans at a local food market. It has since spread to other parts of China and beyond. So far, there are 2,886 confirmed total cases of the coronavirus. All but 61 of them […]
2000 vs. 2020: The Role Of Monetary And Fiscal Policies In Stock Market Cycles
2000 vs. 2020: The Role Of Monetary And Fiscal Policies In Stock Market Cycles The equity market of 2020 has some of the lofty valuation features that showed up at the peak of 2000 cycle. Yet, a key difference is the accommodative stance of monetary and fiscal policies nowadays versus the restrictive stance of 2000. […]
Will Coronavirus Crater Hopes Of A Global Recovery As World Trade Tumbles?
Will Coronavirus Crater Hopes Of A Global Recovery As World Trade Tumbles? The global economy is faced with a synchronized slowdown as central bank ammunition to fight the next global recession is limited. Monetary authorities across the world have slashed interest rates 80 times over the last 12 months and printed upwards of $1 trillion over four […]
Why A Flu Outbreak In China Can Spook Global Markets
Why A Flu Outbreak In China Can Spook Global Markets When people talk about empires of the past, they generally mean Rome and Britain. But the biggest and in some ways most interesting empire was built and run by the Mongols in the 13th and 14th centuries. At it’s peak it stretched from China to […]
Is This “The Top”?
Is This “The Top”? Parabolic moves end when the confidence that the parabolic move can’t end becomes the consensus. The consensus seems to be that the stock market is on its way to much higher levels, and soon. The near-term targets for the S&P 500 (SPX, currently around 3,235) range from 3,500 to 4,000, with longer-term […]
Global Markets commentary and outlook
Global Markets commentary and outlook …..’Cause I’ve had the time of my life..and I owe it all to you.. The original song from Dirty Dancing is one of my all time favourites and somehow reminds me of the Global Markets performance this year.Every conceivable asset class (except cash) posted positive returns ,thanks to the LIQUIDITY […]
A Major Bank Admits QE4 Has Started, And That Stocks Are Rising Because Of The Fed’s Soaring Balance Sheet
A Major Bank Admits QE4 Has Started, And That Stocks Are Rising Because Of The Fed’s Soaring Balance Sheet There was a period of about two months when some of the more confused, Fed sycophantic elements, would parrot everything Powell would say regarding the recently launched $60 billion in monthly purchases of T-Bills, and which […]
It’s Beginning to Look a lot Like…
IT’S BEGINNING TO LOOK A LOT LIKE… A BUBBLE! As the markets grind higher into the year-end the look of what is happening is becoming clear. The Fed is inflating a bubble. Valuation on the S&P is approaching 19x which is up from ~14-15x a year ago. Valuation isn’t a great tool for timing however […]
Four Banks & Three Tech Companies Blow $56 Billion in Q3 to Prop up Their Own Shares
Four Banks & Three Tech Companies Blow $56 Billion in Q3 to Prop up Their Own Shares The Biggest Share-Buyback Queens: When Will They Run Out of Juice? Companies in the S&P 500 index bought back $176 billion of their own shares in the third quarter, down 13.7% from the third quarter last year, and […]
