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Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation

Michael Pento: First Disinflation, Then Deflation, Then Big-Time Inflation Suddenly investors are panicked that (hyper)inflation is taking over. But what if they’re mistaken? That could be a costly mistake if they’re betting their portfolio’s future on it. Because there’s a strong case to be made that we’re now actually entering a period of dis-inflation, one that […]

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Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money

Lacy Hunt On Debt and Friedman’s Famous Quote Regarding Inflation and Money Lacy Hunt takes on the widespread belief that sustained inflation is on the way in his latest quarterly review. Hoisington Quarterly Review and Outlook 2nd Quarter 2021 Here are some snips to the latest at Hoisington Management Quarterly Review (Emphasis Mine). Too Much Debt In highly […]

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Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services

Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Goods and Services Inflation can be considered a tax, an especially regressive one, falling harder on those with lower income and/or assets. As we’ve noted previously, the Federal Reserve’s “M2” monetary aggregate began growing significantly faster than the “GDP” measure of economic output in the United States beginning around 2008, […]

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The Ugly And Difficult Hunt For The True Economy

The Ugly And Difficult Hunt For The True Economy Good luck with acquiring a clear view of our economic future. It is shrouded and cloaked under an ocean of often irrelevant facts and figures. Somewhere between what we are told is occurring in the economy and what we see happening on Main Streets across America […]

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Grocery Stores Are Masking Price Hikes Via “Shrinkflation”

Grocery Stores Are Masking Price Hikes Via “Shrinkflation” The continued decline in Treasury yields has prompted many short-sighted arm-chair analysts to declare that the Fed was right about inflationary pressures being “transitory”. Of course, as Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen herself admitted, a little inflation is necessary for the economy to function long term – because without “controlled […]

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Wells Unexpectedly Shuts All Existing Personal Lines Of Credit, Hinting US Economy On The Edge

Wells Unexpectedly Shuts All Existing Personal Lines Of Credit, Hinting US Economy On The Edge Wells Fargo just announced that it’s shutting down all of its existing personal lines of credit – a popular product offered by the retail-focused Wall Street giant – a move that will likely infuriate legions of customers. The revolving credit […]

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While Fed Is in Denial, Hawkish Bank of Russia Sees Inflation as “Not Transitory,” Warns of Possible Shock-and-Awe Rate Hike

While Fed Is in Denial, Hawkish Bank of Russia Sees Inflation as “Not Transitory,” Warns of Possible Shock-and-Awe Rate Hike US Inflation is almost as hot as in Russia, but the Fed is still blowing it off. Consumer price inflation in Russia is red-hot, having jumped 6.0% in May compared to a year ago, 2 […]

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Cornered Fed Weighs Dilemma: Market Crash or Runaway Inflation?

Cornered Fed Weighs Dilemma: Market Crash or Runaway Inflation? Image via Science Photo Library The U.S. economy is at a fork in the road. One route leads to the return of market fundamentals and sane stock valuations, at the cost of a historic market correction. The other route leads to runaway hyperinflation that eats up […]

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When Expedient “Saves” Become Permanent, Ruin Is Assured

When Expedient “Saves” Become Permanent, Ruin Is Assured The Fed’s “choice” is as illusory as the “wealth” the Fed has created with its perfection of moral hazard. The belief that the Federal Reserve possesses god-like powers and wisdom would be comical if it wasn’t so deeply tragic, for the Fed doesn’t even have a plan, […]

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Peter Schiff: Political Hypocrisy Provides Cover for Fed on Inflation

Peter Schiff: Political Hypocrisy Provides Cover for Fed on Inflation From 2016 to 2020, Republicans were constantly trying to play up the economy. You’ll recall Donald Trump claiming it was the greatest economy in history. Meanwhile, Democrats were trying to play it down. Now, the roles have reversed. Since the Democrats own the economy now, […]

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Pay More, Get Less: Consumer Income & Spending Chewed Up by Red-Hot Inflation

Pay More, Get Less: Consumer Income & Spending Chewed Up by Red-Hot Inflation Inflation ate my homework? You saw this coming after today’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditure inflation index. “Core PCE” inflation, which excludes food and energy – the lowest lowball inflation index the US offers and which the Fed uses to track […]

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Transitory Inflation Takes Hold of the Economy – How Long Will It Last?

Transitory Inflation Takes Hold of the Economy – How Long Will It Last? Cherry blossoms symbolize the fleeting nature of all things. Photo by Haoshuang Lou Just a couple of weeks ago, Bloomberg reported that Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sold investors on the idea that rising inflation wasn’t going to last. Officially, as of May 2021, inflation had risen […]

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How to Buffer the Fallout from America’s Third World Death Spiral

How to Buffer the Fallout from America’s Third World Death Spiral “What the hell?!” – President Joe Biden, June 16, 2021 Out of Control American workers are trying to make their way in an economy that’s rigged against them.  We made this claim many years ago.  Today, for fun and for free, we revisit this assertion…starting with the […]

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Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak

Translating Yellen-Speak into Golden-Speak Given the increasingly politicized interplay (cancer) of central bank policy and so-called free market price discovery, it’s becoming increasingly more important to track the actions of central bankers rather than just traditional market signals alone. Like it or not, the Fed is the market. Toward this end, we’ve had some substantive fun deciphering […]

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Two Pins Threatening Multiple Asset Bubbles

Two Pins Threatening Multiple Asset Bubbles “Powell Says Fed Policies “Absolutely” Don’t Add To Inequality” -Bloomberg May 2020 The headline above is but one of countless times Fed Chairman Powell and his colleagues confidently said their policies do not result in wealth or income inequality. Their political stature and use of complex economic lingo give […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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