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“We Have Never Seen This Before”: The Last Time The Market Did This, FDR Confiscated All The Gold

“We Have Never Seen This Before”: The Last Time The Market Did This, FDR Confiscated All The Gold To say that moves in the US stock market have been erratic in the past two weeks would be a prodigious understatement: with the Dow Jones swinging by over 1,000 points on nearly 5 occasions in the […]

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MSCI Warns US Stocks Could Fall Another 11% As Coronavirus Outbreak Worsens

MSCI Warns US Stocks Could Fall Another 11% As Coronavirus Outbreak Worsens Shortly before US stocks suffered another triple-digit point drop at the open – dampening the cheers of traders and pundits who gleefully celebrated stocks going positive for the week on Wednesday – MSCI warned on Thursday that another double-digit drop could be in store […]

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Negative interest rates in the US are virtually guaranteed now

Negative interest rates in the US are virtually guaranteed now On October 19, 1987, the US stock market suffered the worst crash in its more than 200 year history, dropping more than 23% in a matter of hours. It wasn’t just in the United States, either. More than 20 major stock markets around the world, […]

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Rabobank: What Level Of Interest Rates Will Incentivize You To Risk The Death Of Yourself And Your Family

Rabobank: What Level Of Interest Rates Will Incentivize You To Risk The Death Of Yourself And Your Family “Tonight the super trouper lights are gonna find meShining like the sun (sup-p-per troup-p-per)Smiling, having fun (sup-p-per troup-p-per)Feeling like a number one…” So sang markets yesterday in excitement as we enter what I am dubbing “Super Trouper […]

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The Good, Bad, & Ugly Of Virus Response: El-Erian Admits Govts & Central Banks Can Only Do So Much

The Good, Bad, & Ugly Of Virus Response: El-Erian Admits Govts & Central Banks Can Only Do So Much Look for this week to be full of news about governments and central banks signaling their “whatever it takes” willingness to take additional policy measures to fight the contractionary impact of the coronavirus on virtually every […]

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Equity & Oil Futures Crash As Market Opens Without Fed Bailout

Equity & Oil Futures Crash As Market Opens Without Fed Bailout After Friday afternoon’s combination of Jay Powell’s statement and a major rebalancing flow sent stocks soaring into the close, a lack of the much-demanded ‘coordinated global easing’ this weekend has spoiled the party and futures are opening down hard. Friday’s almost 1000 point surge […]

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2020 Crash

2020 Crash Complacency came before the fall. All of 2019 market participants ignored the non existent earnings growth. Too strong was the now pavlovian reflex to chase easy central bank money. Too trusting in central banks to again produce a reflation scenario that would make all the troubles go away. Everything was ignored and markets […]

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“We’ve Reached The Tipping Point” – Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Virus Will Deflate The Everything Bubble

“We’ve Reached The Tipping Point” – Guggenheim’s Minerd Warns Virus Will Deflate The Everything Bubble Last week, Guggenheim’s Global CIO Scott Minerd exclaimed that “the cognitive dissonance in the market is stunning,” as he reflected on the ever-rising stock prices (and collapsing credit spreads) he was seeing in the face of growing global fears of the virus’ […]

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IMPORTANT: Tom Cloud Precious Metals Update

IMPORTANT: Tom Cloud Precious Metals Update In Tom Cloud’s newest precious metals update, he discusses how the ongoing global contagion and supply chain disruptions won’t be something that will be resolved quickly.  I agree.  I believe this is by the far the most miss-diagnosed problem that the market, investors, and individuals fail to realize. Once […]

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Why a bear market will lead to a dollar collapse

Why a bear market will lead to a dollar collapse  Falling equity markets this week are likely to signal the onset of a bear market, responding to a combination of the coronavirus spreading beyond China and persistent indications of a developing recession. This has provoked a flight into US Treasuries, with the ten-year yield falling […]

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There Is Just One Question: Will The Fed Activate A Coordinated Central Bank Bailout On Sunday

There Is Just One Question: Will The Fed Activate A Coordinated Central Bank Bailout On Sunday With global markets in freefall, the S&P opening 3% lower and cementing its worst week since the global financial crisis; the Dow (or is thar Down Joanes) plunging more than 4,000 points this week, traders (especially levered ones) are […]

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“The Markets Are Really Panicking”: VIX Explodes, Markets Crash In Worst Week Since Lehman

“The Markets Are Really Panicking”: VIX Explodes, Markets Crash In Worst Week Since Lehman Friday’s market performance has traditionally been the weakest, even during the meltup phase ahead of the recent coronacrash, and as such it will probably not come as a surprise that today’s overnight rout which followed the biggest 6-day correction from a […]

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The Global Economy Was Sinking Long Before The Coronavirus Appeared

The Global Economy Was Sinking Long Before The Coronavirus Appeared In order to determine if a geopolitical or economic threat is legitimate, I find it helps to watch how the mainstream propaganda narrative flows and changes. For example, for the past year as almost every fundamental indicator was flashing warning signs on the global economy […]

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Rabobank: Markets Need To Start Pricing For One Of Two Things – One Bad, The Other Terrible

Rabobank: Markets Need To Start Pricing For One Of Two Things – One Bad, The Other Terrible It is that rarest of occasions. Not a global pandemic, because: 1) we still aren’t in one yet, officially; and 2) we have had that pandemic declaration made in the relatively recent past (2009-10). Rather, we are being […]

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The Last Time This Happened Was Days Before The Great Depression

The Last Time This Happened Was Days Before The Great Depression The US equity market is suffering its worst start to a year since 2009… In the space of just six days, we went from record high to a ‘correction’ (over 3,000 Dow points and down over 10.5%)… What is most ominous is the fact that, as […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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