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“Catalonia Needs Its Own Central Bank”: Spain’s Black Swan Lives As New Catalan President Sworn In

“Catalonia Needs Its Own Central Bank”: Spain’s Black Swan Lives As New Catalan President Sworn In When last we checked in on Catalonia, Spain’s black swan was splashing around in a desperate attempt to avoid snap elections just three months after the region’s parliament approved a “democratic disconnection” resolution and just four months after Catalans voted in what amounted […]

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Spain has Fallen – not like Greece – but Fallen all the Same

Spain has Fallen – not like Greece – but Fallen all the Same The Spanish elections – 20 December – were a deceit and a farce. Nobody seems to notice. At least not those concerned, the ignorant electorate, those who will suffer again possibly under a new neoliberal Rajoy leadership. People forget and are vulnerable […]

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Spain Says “No”

Spain Says “No” For the third time in a year, the tight-fisted, austerity policies of the European Union (EU) took a beating, as Spanish voters crushed their rightwing government and overturned four decades of two-party reign. Following in the footsteps of Greek and Portuguese voters earlier this year, Spaniards soundly rejected the economic formula of […]

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Rumors of New Bank Bailouts in Spain

Rumors of New Bank Bailouts in Spain Just when the government touts its miracle economy! Spain will hold do-or-die general elections on December 20. The Rajoy government hopes that recent improvements in economic performance will be enough to cast its gargantuan political scandals to the back of voters’ minds. The economy is firing on all cylinders, […]

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Renewable Energy Bankruptcy Threatens Spanish Banks

Renewable Energy Bankruptcy Threatens Spanish Banks In another sign of the turbulent times for the renewable energy sector, Spain’s Abengoa has declared bankruptcy. The bankruptcy is notable for several reasons. First, it suggests how difficult the transition from conventional energy firms to solvent and stable renewable energy companies will be. Second, it shows how connected the […]

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Spain Braces for its Biggest Corporate Insolvency… Ever!

Spain Braces for its Biggest Corporate Insolvency… Ever! Blood on the Bourse Spain is about to experience its biggest corporate insolvency ever. Unlike Bankia and all of Spain’s other bankrupt savings banks, Abengoa, a Seville-based multinational specialized in renewable energy and “environmental services,” is unlikely to receive a taxpayer-funded bailout – at least not just […]

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Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016

Presenting SocGen’s 5 Black Swans For 2016 If you’re the type who likes black swans this has been the month for you. On the political front, Portugal’s Socialists, led by Antonio Costa, formed an alliance with the Left Bloc and the Communists on the way to overthrowing the Passos Coelho government and presaging a repudiation of Berlin’s brand […]

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Catalonia votes to Separate from Spain by 2017

Catalonia votes to Separate from Spain by 2017 The regional parliament of Catalonia has now approved a plan to set up road map for independence from Spain by 2017. This is in direct defiance of the central Spanish government. The question will be, does this lead to civil war given the history of Spain. Additionally, […]

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Barcelona Threatens to Print Parrallel Currency, Madrid Seethes

Barcelona Threatens to Print Parrallel Currency, Madrid Seethes Over the next six months, Barcelona’s left-wing city council plans to roll out a cash-less local currency that has the potential to become the largest of its kind in the world. The main goal of the project, according to a council spokesperson, is to boost economic opportunities for […]

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Saudi Arabia Cuts Spending, Slows Payments, Hits Spain Inc.

Saudi Arabia Cuts Spending, Slows Payments, Hits Spain Inc. Ugly for Spain’s over-indebted, liquidity-challenged construction giants. It’s almost a whole year since the House of Saud shocked the world by announcing its scheme to let market forces determine oil prices. It then did the unthinkable: it cranked up oil production. What followed was arguably the […]

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Spain Leaps Toward Political Breakdown

Spain Leaps Toward Political Breakdown Desperately needed international investors dread it The dust is not even close to settling after Catalonia’s latest experimental flirtation with nation building. The pro-independence coalition fell tantalizingly short of gaining a majority of seats (62 out of 135). Now it needs the support of the anti-capitalist separatist party Popular Unity Candidacy […]

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Today’s Turning Point on ECM

Today’s Turning Point on ECM I have been warning that this turning point is not in markets, it is centered in government. The number of issues coming to a head are just mind-blowing from the Catalonia vote to separate from Spain to the resignation of Boehner with non-politicians leading not just in the USA, but […]

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The ECM Turning Point 2015.75 – The Start of a Trend is Now

The ECM Turning Point 2015.75 – The Start of a Trend is Now I was in Barcelona and was asked by many did I think the pro-independence parties in Spain’s Catalonia region would actually win. I told them it was inevitable for this is the global trend in motion. The vote for Catalonia is in […]

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Catalan Secessionists Set To Win Election Amid Record Turnout

Catalan Secessionists Set To Win Election Amid Record Turnout On Friday we previewed what we said could be the next European black swan. In short, elections in Catalonia on Sunday were a proxy for an independence referendum. The outcome is critical for several reasons, not the least of which are i) Spain’s debt-to-GDP ratio could […]

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Thousands of pro-independence protesters rally in Barcelona ahead of Catalan elections

Thousands of pro-independence protesters rally in Barcelona ahead of Catalan elections © Albert Gea / Reuters A massive pro-independence demonstration in Barcelona, Spain drew thousands of people on Friday just two days before parliamentary elections in Catalonia. The Catalan president has promised to break with Spain in “18 months to 2 years” in case of […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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