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China: Is peak coal part of its problem?
China: Is peak coal part of its problem? The world’s coal resources are clearly huge. How could China, or the world in total, reach peak coal in a timeframe that makes a difference? If we look at China’s coal production and consumption in BP’s 2016 Statistical Review of World Energy (SRWE), this is what we see: Figure 1. China’s […]
China Threatens To Leave UN Sea Convention If Court Invalidates Maritime Claims
China Threatens To Leave UN Sea Convention If Court Invalidates Maritime Claims As an arbitration court in The Hague gets ready to make a decision regarding an ongoing territorial dispute between China and the Philippines, China has reportedly told some other Asian countries that it may leave the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea if it disagrees with […]
The Stock Market Crash Of 2016: Stocks Have Already Crashed In 6 Of The World’s 8 Largest Economies
The Stock Market Crash Of 2016: Stocks Have Already Crashed In 6 Of The World’s 8 Largest Economies Over the past 12 months, stock market investors around the planet have lost trillions of dollars. Since this time last June, stocks have crashed in 6 of the world’s 8 largest economies, and stocks in the other […]
Could A New Type Of Bike Solve India’s Electricity Problems
Could A New Type Of Bike Solve India’s Electricity Problems India has tremendous potential as an economic powerhouse of the future, but it also faces some significant development challenges. India’s population is on track to be the world’s most populated nation by 2022, surpassing even China. Yet India also has a considerably smaller carbon footprint than […]
Silencing America as It Prepares for War
Silencing America as It Prepares for War Orlok | Shutterstock.com Returning to the United States in an election year, I am struck by the silence. I have covered four presidential campaigns, starting with 1968; I was with Robert Kennedy when he was shot and I saw his assassin, preparing to kill him. It was a baptism in […]
US Exceptionalism Has No Place in a Multipolar World
US Exceptionalism Has No Place in a Multipolar World With the end of the Cold War twenty-five years ago, many in the U.S have taken the country’s continued global hegemony for granted. However, this state of affairs is increasingly being challenged by both Russia and China, exemplified by their aerial flybys and interceptions of the […]
Unintended Consequences, Part 2: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Trade Wars
Unintended Consequences, Part 2: Easy Money = Overcapacity = Trade Wars It’s unclear what China was thinking when it was borrowed all those trillions to quadruple its capacity to make steel, cement and other basic industrial products. There’s no record of it checking in with the other countries that have such industries to see if […]
Russia Frets about Risk of “Recession” in China
Russia Frets about Risk of “Recession” in China What do they see that we don’t? Russia’s economy has been shrinking five quarters in a row, though in the first quarter of 2016, it contracted at an annual rate of “only” 1.2%, after having contracted 3.7% in 2015, the longest recession in two decades. The budget […]
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty
China Furious After US Launches Trade War “Nuke” With 522% Duty Now that China’s brief infatuation with “rationalizing” excess capacity in its massively glutted (and insolvent) steel sector is over after lasting all of 2-3 months, China is back to doing what it did in late 2015 (and what it has always done) when as […]
Without Recovery There Is Every Need To Examine The Worst Case
Without Recovery There Is Every Need To Examine The Worst Case There is a great deal that is wrong with mainstream economic commentary, starting with its unwavering devotion to orthodox economics and unshakable faith in their “stimulus.” No matter how little is actually stimulated there is never any doubt that the media will simultaneously forget […]
Chinese Fighter Jets Fly Within 50 Feet Of US Spy Plane Near China
Chinese Fighter Jets Fly Within 50 Feet Of US Spy Plane Near China Having relentless provoked Russia over the past month, when week after week the Pentagon expressed its shock and dismay that Russians dare to scramble fighter jets when US missile cruisers or reconnaissance planes fly next to, or above, Russian territory the US […]
China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle
China’s Rolling Boom-Bust Cycle Sweet Authoritative Nothings There is a mysterious figure making regular appearances in China’s government mouthpiece “People’s Daily”, which simply goes by the name “authoritative person” (AP). This unnamed entity always tends to show up with bad news for assorted speculators, by suggesting that various scenarios associated with monetary and/ or fiscal […]
The Mystery Of Saudi Treasury Holdings Solved: US Reveals Saudi Holdings For The First Time
The Mystery Of Saudi Treasury Holdings Solved: US Reveals Saudi Holdings For The First Time In the aftermath of Saudi Arabia’s explicit threat to sell off US Treasurys (of which according to the NYT it had some $750 billion) should the US pursue legislation that could hold it liable for the September 11 bombings, Wall Street’s analysts quickly tried […]
The Future of Geopolitics and Energy Markets
The Future of Geopolitics and Energy Markets Energy prices and geopolitics have been interconnected since the beginning of the twentieth century, but expanded globalization, increased industrialization, and booming fossil fuel supplies have made this relationship increasingly brittle. The political actions of energy-producing states such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iran, and the United States impact energy prices. Conversely, […]
China Warns US: “Don’t Disturb” Hong Kong Social Order; Threatens “Bad Reaction”
China Warns US: “Don’t Disturb” Hong Kong Social Order; Threatens “Bad Reaction” Over the past few months, tensions have been high between the U.S. and China. Events such as China denying USS John C. Stennis and its escort ships access to a Hong Kong port showed just how strained relations have become between the two countries, and with […]
