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No parade in Moscow this year, but the “ring of fire” around Russia remains

No parade in Moscow this year, but the “ring of fire” around Russia remains This year, we won’t see the traditional victory parade in Moscow (Парад Победы в Москва) that normally takes place on May 9 (above, an extract of last year’s parade). It is another effect of the COVID epidemics, but the parade will […]

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Airline transportation after the epidemic. The problem is being solved, but not the way you would have imagined

Airline transportation after the epidemic. The problem is being solved, but not the way you would have imagined That’s how a hydrogen-powered plane could look like. Honestly, it is not very impressive: it looks more like an Elvis sighting and one may even reasonably doubt that this thing could fly. If it were easy to […]

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The most accurate model-based prediction of all times

The most accurate model-based prediction of all times The “base case” scenario from the 1972 edition of “The Limits to Growth.” This scenario described the trajectory of the world’s economy on the basis of the data and assumptions that were judged to be the most reliable ones. This run might turn out to have been […]

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Collapse: the way we imagined it, and the way it was.

Collapse: the way we imagined it, and the way it was. Even those of us who could see some kind of collapse coming (the “collapsniks”) were taken by surprise by the form it took. But, as always, for everything that happens there has to be a reason for it to happen. Above: the Seneca Curve. Collapses […]

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Why Italians are not singing anymore: the problem of a weak state

Why Italians are not singing anymore: the problem of a weak state Shows of brutality are used by politicians to look “tough on crime,” but they are a mark of weakness, not of strength. Something similar has happened in Italy where a weak government imposed harsh confinement measures on citizens. They didn’t arrive to force […]

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How effective is a hard lockdown against the COVID epidemics? The data say not so much

How effective is a hard lockdown against the COVID epidemics? The data say not so much Data about the mortality of the coronavirus epidemic start being available. Above, a list of mortality rates for European countries taken from theInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) of the University of Washington. It is not the complete data […]

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Collapse: The Coronavirus is not a Cause, it is a Trigger

Collapse: The Coronavirus is not a Cause, it is a Trigger Is the epidemic going to cause civilization to collapse? It may happen for good reasons This is a version of the article that I published on the English version of “Al Arabiya” On March 26, 2020. It is not the same text I published there […]

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Collapse: Where can we find a safe refuge?

Collapse: Where can we find a safe refuge? Does it make sense to have a well-stocked bunker in the mountains to escape collapse? Sometimes, you feel that the world looks like a horror story, something like Lovecraft’s “The Shadow Over Innsmouth..” Image from F.R: Jameson. Being the collapsnik I am, a few years ago I had […]

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The Collapse of the Modern Western Empire. What Future for Humankind?

December 31, 2019

The Collapse of the Modern Western Empire. What Future for Humankind? These notes are not supposed to disparage nor to exalt an entity that has a history that goes back to at least a couple of millennia ago. Like all Empires, past and present, the Modern World Empire went through its parable of growth and […]

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Why Collapse is not always a bad thing: the New Book by Ugo Bardi

December 16, 2019

Why Collapse is not always a bad thing: the New Book by Ugo Bardi If you wish to receive a review copy or want to interview the author, please contact: Elizabeth Hawkins | Springer Nature | Communications tel +49 6221 487 8130 | elizabeth.hawkins@springer.com PRESS RELEASEWhy collapse is not always a bad thingNew book provides an analysis of […]

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The Effect of the Sanctions: Is Iran Cracking Down Under the Strain?

December 9, 2019

The Effect of the Sanctions: Is Iran Cracking Down Under the Strain? I have to confess that the title of this post is a little of a clickbait. In reality, I will tell you more about Italy than about Iran. But, perhaps, from the story of how Italy reacted to the international economic sanctions imposed […]

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Like Stalingrad: Italy’s Concrete Infrastructure is Melting in the Rain

November 28, 2019

Like Stalingrad: Italy’s Concrete Infrastructure is Melting in the Rain The region of Liguria, within the red circle, is a narrow strip of land stuck between the Appennini Mountains and the Tyrrhenian Sea. It is also a critical element of the transportation system that connects France and the Po valley to the rest of Italy. […]

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Before The Collapse: The New Book by Ugo Bardi

November 12, 2019

Before The Collapse: The New Book by Ugo Bardi My new book on collapse is out, published by Springer. You can find it at the Springer site at this link (priced in Euro) and at this link (priced in dollars). You can find it also on most Web sites that sell books. Collapse is a popular subject nowadays, so […]

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“The Limits to Growth” continues to make waves

November 6, 2019

“The Limits to Growth” continues to make waves Now heading toward its 50th anniversary, “The Limits to Growth,” the 1972 study sponsored by the Club of Rome, continues to generate interest. Past is the time of the “Limits-Bashing” fashion, when no one would dream to cite the study except to say that it was wrong. […]

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Bimillenary of the death of Germanicus: The Defeat of the Roman Deep State

October 14, 2019

Bimillenary of the death of Germanicus: The Defeat of the Roman Deep State 2,000 years ago, on Oct 10, 19 CE, Germanicus Julius Caesar died in Antioch, Asia Minor, perhaps poisoned by his uncle, Tiberius, then the ruling emperor. If we see Hillary Clinton in the role of Germanicus and Donald Trump in the role […]

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