Home » Posts tagged 'financial markets' (Page 8)
Tag Archives: financial markets
Waiting For the Last Dance
WAITING FOR THE LAST DANCE The Hazards of Asset Allocation in a Late-stage Major Bubble Executive Summary The long, long bull market since 2009 has finally matured into a fully-fledged epic bubble. Featuring extreme overvaluation, explosive price increases, frenzied issuance, and hysterically speculative investor behavior, I believe this event will be recorded as one of […]
What To Do When The Planets Diverge
What To Do When The Planets Diverge Planets Jupiter and Saturn came into closer alignment than any time since 1226 this week. Yet the planets in Washington did not align. The federal government was unable to ‘Christmas tree’ its stimulus bill. At the 11th hour, President Trump called bull pucky on the contents of Congresses […]
Fed’s New Paradigm Adds Helium to the Stock Bubble
Fed’s New Paradigm Adds Helium to the Stock Bubble Valuation are not only high, they are among the highest on record. The Laws of InvestingThe Wall Street Journal asks Has the Fed Rewritten the Laws of Investing? It has been an odd year with the Covid-19 crisis hammering the economy, but stocks recovering from sharp losses […]
Make Your ‘Dent In The Universe’
Make Your ‘Dent In The Universe’ Guy Kawasaki’s advice for finding fulfillment in both work & life Having spent a career launching iconic products — including Apple’s first Macintosh computer — Guy Kawasaki knows a thing or two about what leads to success and fulfillment in both business and life. These are insights more and […]
To The Breaking Point
To The Breaking Point If you thought fundamentals, valuations and earnings growth matter the joke is on you. In 2020 central banks have managed to do the unthinkable: Not only once again save investors from any damage in markets, but they intervened to such a degree that negative earnings growth is now the stuff of […]
If You Thought 2020 Was Bad, Watch What Happens In 2021
If You Thought 2020 Was Bad, Watch What Happens In 2021 In terms of the economy and the American social situation, 2020 is definitely one of the ugliest years on record, there’s really no way around it. That said, I get the impression that many in the public are operating under the assumption that we […]
What Oil’s Troubles Mean to the Rest of Us
What Oil’s Troubles Mean to the Rest of Us To the extent that stock prices reflect expectations of future value, investors don’t like the prospects for oil, and oil’s demise signals muted prospects for economic growth. Exxon-Mobil (XOM) was removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average this past August, ending a run that began when […]
For Stocks & Bonds, Upside Surprise of Inflation and Interest Rates “Could Prove Nasty”: Dudley
For Stocks & Bonds, Upside Surprise of Inflation and Interest Rates “Could Prove Nasty”: Dudley Five reasons to “worry about faster inflation.” It’s “a greater danger precisely because it’s no longer perceived as such.” “Given how completely financial markets have come to expect low inflation and interest rates, and how much support those expectations are […]
Weekly Commentary: Monetary Disorder In Extremis
Weekly Commentary: Monetary Disorder In Extremis November non-farm payrolls gained 245,000, only about half the mean forecasts – and down from October’s 610,000. It was the weakest job growth since April’s employment debacle. U.S. equities rallied on the disappointing news. A few Bloomberg headlines captured the aura: “Stocks Gain as Jobs Miss Boosts Stimulus Bets;” […]
Uncertainty and the Future
Uncertainty and the Future QUESTION: I would imagine that if Trump is able to prevail in the courts and earn a second term social unrest would be profound but what would be the effects on the markets? RM ANSWER: There is still a shot that Trump can prevail if he can stop Biden from reaching 270 votes […]
Prepare for Winter
Prepare for Winter Realism must precede optimism or the optimism will collapse as the tsunami of reality comes ashore. It’s time to prepare materially and psychologically for a winter unlike any other in our lifetimes. Here’s the view from 30,000 feet: 1. The stock market and the general zeitgeist of optimism have soared based on […]
Weekly Commentary: Well, That’s Some Weird… Stuff
Weekly Commentary: Well, That’s Some Weird… Stuff The “average stock” Value Line Arithmetic Index jumped 6.4% for the week. The NYSE Arca Oil Index surged 19.8%, with the Philadelphia Oil Services Index up 17.4%. The KWB Bank Index rose 11.5%, as the Nasdaq Bank Index advanced 13.6%. The Bloomberg REIT Index jumped 6.8%. The S&P600 […]
For Stocks, Any Election Outcome is Now the Best Outcome, Disputed Election, Long Legal Mess, Split Government Without Stimulus, Whatever…
For Stocks, Any Election Outcome is Now the Best Outcome, Disputed Election, Long Legal Mess, Split Government Without Stimulus, Whatever… This is funny in terms of stock-market “narratives” during these crazy times. At first, long ago, the narrative was that a Trump victory would boost stocks. And then when this became more uncertain, the narrative […]
Ben Hunt: Inflation Ahead!
Ben Hunt: Inflation Ahead! Why the investing world is about to change Ben Hunt — highly respected fund manager, author, and former professor/entrepreneur/venture capitalist — says that to be successful in managing your wealth, there’s only one question that matters: Are we entering a deflationary future, or an inflationary one? The strategies and appropriate investment […]
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021
The Coming Financial Crisis of 2021 Economist Steve Keen issues new warning Economist Steve Keen predicts that even if the covid-19 health crisis subsides next year, a brewing financial crisis on par with the 2008 Great Recession is in the making. He sees the pandemic as having delivered an “unprecedented shock” to the global economy, […]
