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What Patient Zero, Japan, Can Tell Us About China & The Developed World At Large

What Patient Zero, Japan, Can Tell Us About China & The Developed World At Large To see the future, sometimes you have to look to the past.  Japan is patient zero in the global epidemic of slowing growth and although Japan was assumed to be the emerging world power in the ’80’s, we now know better.  The title […]

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“Unacceptable”: China Blasts Mattis For “Irresponsible Comments” About South China Sea Islands

“Unacceptable”: China Blasts Mattis For “Irresponsible Comments” About South China Sea Islands A Chinese general on Saturday defended Beijing’s military build-up in the South China Sea, blasting the “irresponsible comments” made by U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis, who on Saturday accused  Beijing of threatening its neighbors in the heavily disputed waters and warned China of “consequences” […]

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“This Is A Red Line”: Beijing Warns Trump Trade Deal Is Off If US Imposes Tariffs

“This Is A Red Line”: Beijing Warns Trump Trade Deal Is Off If US Imposes Tariffs In a scathing editorial warning Trump to back off on his latest tariff threat, on Sunday China said that any trade deals between the US and China, and any progress and commitments made so far in bilateral negotiations would […]

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Mattis Warns Of “Consequences” If Beijing Continues Weaponizing The South China Sea

Mattis Warns Of “Consequences” If Beijing Continues Weaponizing The South China Sea The United States and China appear to be headed for a military collision in the Southeast Asia region, as Washington warns of a more powerful military response to the increased weaponization of the heavily disputed islands in the South China Sea. Speaking at […]

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De-Dollarization Escalates: “African Economy Needs More Usage Of Chinese Yuan”

De-Dollarization Escalates: “African Economy Needs More Usage Of Chinese Yuan” The world’s push towards de-dollarization continues to accelerate as Americans go about their daily lives worrying more about blasphemous comedians, participation trophies, and Kim and Kanye’s traitorous behavior. From yuan-denominated oil futures (and soon to be yuan-denominated metals contracts) to Europe’s decision to use Yuan […]

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Trump Started a Global Trade War Today: Canada, Mexico Responded, So Will Europe

Trump Started a Global Trade War Today: Canada, Mexico Responded, So Will Europe Trump has been itching for a global trade war ever since he took office. He just confirmed one. The U.S. will impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union starting on Friday. Trump’s ill-advised Tariffs Provoked […]

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The Relevance of Hayek’s Triangle Today

THE RELEVANCE OF HAYEK’S TRIANGLE TODAY Most of us are aware of the inflationary pressures in the major economies, that so far are proving somewhat latent in the non-financial sector. But some central banks are on the alert as well, notably the Federal Reserve Board, which has taken the lead in trying to normalise interest […]

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America’s Incredible Shrinking Influence

America’s Incredible Shrinking Influence Just two weeks after President Trump pulled the US from the Iran nuclear agreement, his Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo, issued 12 demands to Iran that could never be satisfied. Pompeo knew his demands would be impossible to meet. They were designed that way. Just like Austria-Hungary’s ultimatum to Serbia in […]

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Mattis: US Will Confront China With “Steady Drumbeat” Of Amerian Ships Over Weaponized Islands

Mattis: US Will Confront China With “Steady Drumbeat” Of Amerian Ships Over Weaponized Islands U.S. Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis vowed on Tuesday that American ships will continue to confront China over its militarization of man-made islands in the South China Sea, where Beijing has established an extensive military presence despite its promise not to do […]

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The “Axis of Gold” Just Got Stronger

The “Axis of Gold” Just Got Stronger As you probably know by now, President Trump backed out of the nuclear deal with Iran and is re-imposing harsh sanctions. And just this morning, Trump announced that he’s canceling the much-anticipated nuclear summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un because of Kim’s recent belligerent comments. What […]

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Why Global Growth Hit A Wall: China Credit Growth Continues To Slow

Why Global Growth Hit A Wall: China Credit Growth Continues To Slow QUICK TAKE: In short, our thesis is that city-level and regional macroprudential tightening policies in China currently will render economic growth in 2Q18, but more importantly 2H18, dismal; we believe this will spread to emerging markets, rendering the “global coordinated growth” bulls out […]

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Turkish Gold Imports Triple As The Central Bank Diversifies Out Of Dollars

Turkish Gold Imports Triple As The Central Bank Diversifies Out Of Dollars Turkish gold imports surged due to a sharp increase in investment demand as well as renewed Central bank purchases.  While the Chinese and Russian governments have been adding gold to their official reserves over the past several years, Turkey added 86 metric tons to […]

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Europe May Fold, but China and Russia See Opportunity

Europe May Fold, but China and Russia See Opportunity And we recently discovered, if it was not known before, that no amount of power can withstand the hatred of the many.  –  Marcus Tullius Cicero Although European leaders are talking a big game about keeping the Iran deal (JCPOA) alive following Trump’s unilateral withdrawal, there’s […]

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Will Trump Launch a Currency War, Too?

China Photos/Getty Images Will Trump Launch a Currency War, Too? Last month, Donald Trump personally announced a series of import tariffs and other measures to restrict the flow of Chinese goods and capital into the United States. Clearly, Trump views China as a significant economic threat, so it may be only a matter of time […]

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Don’t Poke the Dragon: War with China Would Be an Unnecessary Disaster

Don’t Poke the Dragon: War with China Would Be an Unnecessary Disaster The Non-Options: 4 Wars the Military Prepares for But Shouldn’t Fight: Volume II There’s nothing military men like more than obsessively training for wars they will never have to fight. The trick is not to stumble into a conflict that no one will […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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