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The Next Financial Crisis Is Right on Schedule (2019)
The Next Financial Crisis Is Right on Schedule (2019) Neither small business nor the bottom 90% of households can afford this “best economy ever.” After 10 years of unprecedented goosing, some of the real economy is finally overheating: costs are heating up, unemployment is at historic lows, small business optimism is high, and so on–all […]
Warren Buffett Explains Bubbles: But He Doesn’t Know We Are In One
Warren Buffett Explains Bubbles: But He Doesn’t Know We Are In One Buffet explains bubbles: “People see neighbors ‘dumber than they are’ getting rich.” Warren Buffett explains Why Bubbles Happen Buffett was asked by CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin if he is worried another crisis will happen again. “Well there will be one sometime,” Buffett said […]
Blame the Fed — Not Investors — For Asset Bubbles
Blame the Fed — Not Investors — For Asset Bubbles In his speech on April 7 2010 at the Economic Club of New York the President of the New York Fed, William Dudley argued that asset bubbles pose a serious threat to real economic activity. The New York Fed chief is of the view that […]
Think That Governments Won’t Default? Think Again
Think That Governments Won’t Default? Think Again The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) just reported that the U.S. budget deficit is widening in a ‘big way’. And what’s even worse – last month the net interest on public debt jumped 25% compared to last August. . . I wrote last January about the soaring cost of interest […]
“Monetary Buffers Depleted” Boston Fed: Concerns Over Next Recession Mount
“Monetary Buffers Depleted” Boston Fed: Concerns Over Next Recession Mount In a recession, the Fed typically slashes interest rates 5 PP. No such buffer exists. A Fed study looks at the impact. One of the reason the Fed seems desperate to hike rates is they want ammunition to cut rates when the recession hits. Typically, […]
Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson Still Don’t Have a Clue About the Financial Crisis
Bernanke, Geithner and Paulson Still Don’t Have a Clue About the Financial Crisis NYT readers were no doubt disturbed to see a column in which former Fed Reserve Board chair Ben Bernanke, Obama Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and Bush Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson patted themselves on the back for their performance in the financial crisis. […]
James Grant Responds To The Bernanke-Paulson-Geithner Op-Ed
James Grant Responds To The Bernanke-Paulson-Geithner Op-Ed Authored by James Grant of Grant’s Interest Rate Observer Wealth defect Over the weekend, Global Financial Crisis-era policymakers Ben Bernanke, Timothy Geithner and Henry Paulson brought the band back together to pen a New York Times opinion piece. After sharing their self-exonerating analysis of the events of 2007-2009 […]
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow
When The US’s Stock Market Bubble Bursts, Inevitable Disaster Will Follow Complete and utter disaster will be inevitable and unavoidable when the United States’ stock market bubble bursts. Unfortunately, too many think the high stock market is evidence of a stable economy, but it’s actually an artificial bubble that will end in a disastrous crisis. This unusual […]
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion Here’s my math when this “balance sheet normalization” will end. In August, the Federal Reserve was supposed to shed up to $24 billion in Treasury securities and up to $16 billion in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), for a total of $40 billion, according to its QE-unwind plan – […]
Interest Rates Need to Tell the Truth
INTEREST RATES NEED TO TELL THE TRUTH In the middle of July 2018, President Donald Trump said in an interview that he was “not happy” with the Federal Reserve nudging up interest rates and threatening economic growth in the United States. At the recent Jackson Hole, Wyoming, meeting of global central bank leaders, the Federal […]
These “Gradual” Rate Hikes Start to Add Up: US Treasury Yields up to Three Years Hit 10-Year Highs
These “Gradual” Rate Hikes Start to Add Up: US Treasury Yields up to Three Years Hit 10-Year Highs An entire generation working on Wall Street has never seen Treasury yields this high. The one-month treasury yield rose to 2.0% yesterday at the close and is at about the same level today, the highest since June […]
“It Will Get A Lot Worse”: Global Stocks Tumble As EM Contagion Roils Markets
“It Will Get A Lot Worse”: Global Stocks Tumble As EM Contagion Roils Markets Global stocks tumbled on Wednesday, as a drop in European markets followed a broad sell-off across Asia, as rising pressure on emerging markets intensified concerns of contagion and spillover into developed markets, leading to a sea of red in world stocks. […]
How Trump Turns on The Fed
How Trump Turns on The Fed POITOU, FRANCE – The U.S. economy… all $20 trillion of it… explained in a single tweet (any similarity between this and one you might get from the president of the United States of America is pure coincidence): Just look at the Dow (near an all-time high)… and unemployment (near […]
Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation
Chairman Powell’s Bizarre Statement Ignores the Reality of Price Inflation Inflation has been on the rise since late 2015. According to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) measure, the Fed has typically maintained the “target inflation” rate of 2%. But official inflation has moved well past that benchmark. It is currently nearing 3% while rising at […]
