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Tag Archives: interest rates
The Fed Induced Farce
The Fed Induced Farce The minutes from the last Fed meeting were released on Wednesday afternoon. The minutes, along with a squadron of jabbering Fed heads lying about the economy doing great, pretty much locked in the most talked about .25% interest rate increase in world history. Evidently the Wall Street titans of greed have […]
Financial Trend Analyst Warns: “This Suicide Move Will Implode The Whole Thing”
Financial Trend Analyst Warns: “This Suicide Move Will Implode The Whole Thing” Job losses across America continue to mount, housing is topping and recent reports from some of the nation’s leading retailers show that there has been no real, sustainable recovery since the crash of 2008. This, according to trend analyst Daniel Ameduri of Future Money […]
The Declining Interest Rate Cap
The Declining Interest Rate Cap Believe it or not, one of the topics in economics that confuses macroeconomists is the actual role of interest rates. For the most part they just assume that an interest rate is the cost of money, the price of money, or even the transfer of the fruits of production from […]
Is Judgment Day At Hand?
Is Judgment Day At Hand? What is Judgment Day? It is like ancient times that the Feds, under Greenspan, somehow decided that US needed to follow a zero interest rate policy, a policy now known as the ZIRP. It was 2008 when Bernanke gave birth to the term Quantitative Easing, QE. QE was followed by Operation […]
The Leviathan
The Leviathan The economic picture manufactured by the national consensus trance has never been more out of touch with reality in my lifetime. And so the questions as to what anyone might do can hardly be addressed. How can I protect my savings? Who do I vote for? How do I think about where my […]
Does the Bell Toll for the Fed?
Does the Bell Toll for the Fed? Last week Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen hinted that the Federal Reserve Board will increase interest rates at the board’s December meeting. The positive jobs report that was released following Yellen’s remarks caused many observers to say that the Federal Reserve’s first interest rate increase in almost a […]
The Fed Desperately Tries to Maintain the Status Quo
The Fed Desperately Tries to Maintain the Status Quo During the press conferences of recent FOMC meetings, millions of well-educated investment professionals have been sitting in front of their screens, chewing their fingernails, listening as if spellbound to what Janet Yellen has to tell them. Will she finally raise the federal funds rate that has […]
Currency Controls Strangle Argentina, But Hey, “Take it up with the Next Government, We’re on Our Way Out”
Currency Controls Strangle Argentina, But Hey, “Take it up with the Next Government, We’re on Our Way Out” Running out of money doesn’t care if you’re a socialist or neoliberal. Last week wasn’t easy for President-on-her-way-out Cristina Fernández de Kirchner. On the political front, she treated us with deafening silence following her candidates’ poor performances […]
The Fed Can’t Raise Rates, But Must Pretend It Will
The Fed Can’t Raise Rates, But Must Pretend It Will Waiting for Godot is a play written by the Irish novelist Samuel B. Beckett in the late 1940s in which two characters, Vladimir and Estragon, keep waiting endlessly and in vain for the coming of someone named Godot. The storyline bears some resemblance to the Federal […]
The Wrong War For Central Banking
The Wrong War For Central Banking Fixated on inflation targeting in a world without inflation, central banks have lost their way. With benchmark interest rates stuck at the dreaded zero bound, monetary policy has been transformed from an agent of price stability into an engine of financial instability. A new approach is desperately needed. The […]
The Federal Reserve: Illusion of Understanding, Illusion of Control
The Federal Reserve: Illusion of Understanding, Illusion of Control The net result is nonsensical policies that fail to achieve their stated objectives. We live in an era of illusion: the illusion of understanding, and the illusion of control. Few institutions reflect these illusions better than the Federal Reserve, though the Pentagon, Congress, the Imperial Presidency, the […]
Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear?
Has The Market Trend Shifted From Bull To Bear? Why the recent volatility may mark a secular shift Emotions are running high for the investment community in the wake of recent market volatility. Up until August, we had been in the third longest period in market history without a 10% correction. Since then, stock indices […]
The Bond Crisis & 2015.75
The Bond Crisis & 2015.75 Some people have wrongly expected a crash in the long bonds. What has actually happened is that China and others have sold into the high, liquidating their long bonds, and moving short-term. This is why rates are negative on the short-end. The CRASH comes in the opposite direction this time. […]
Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down
Peak Debt, Peak Doubt, & Peak Double-Down Time to Hike Rates It makes little sense to me why the market is only pricing a 6% probability of a rate hike at the October meeting, 30% for December, and only a near 50/50 probability all the way out to March 2016. The statutory mandates of the […]
How Much Longer Can Our Unaffordable Housing Prices Last?
How Much Longer Can Our Unaffordable Housing Prices Last? Spoiler alert: not much Markets discover price via supply and demand: Big demand + limited supply = rising prices. Abundant supply + sagging demand = declining prices. Eventually, prices rise to a level that is unaffordable to the majority of potential buyers, with demand coming only […]
