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US Household Debt Hits Record $13.5 Trillion As Delinquencies Hit 6 Year High

US Household Debt Hits Record $13.5 Trillion As Delinquencies Hit 6 Year High Total household debt hit a new record high, rising by $219 billion (1.6%) to $13.512 trillion in Q3 of 2018, according to the NY Fed’s latest household debt report, the biggest jump since 2016. It was also the 17th consecutive quarter with […]

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Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices

Inflation Surges In October; Media Blames Gas Prices A key measurement of inflation, The Consumer Price Index, rose 2.5% in October from a year earlier.  The inflation was linked to rising gas prices by the media, but there’s more to it than just the cost of fuel. Rising inflation is actually also likely tied to […]

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The Fed Will Continue Tightening Until Everything Breaks

The Fed Will Continue Tightening Until Everything Breaks Around three years ago, in September 2015, I wrote an article titled ‘The Real Reasons Why The Fed Will Hike Interest Rates‘ in which I predicted that the Federal Reserve, in the face of criticism, would soon pursue a program of interest rate hikes into economic weakness. […]

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Foundation and Empire

Foundation and Empire Thomas Cole, “The Consummation of Empire” (1836) Every vice of the Empire has been repeated in the Foundation. Inertia! Our ruling class knows one law; no change. Despotism! They know one rule; force. Maldistribution! They know one desire; to hold what is theirs. That quote is the narrative crux of Isaac Asimov’s […]

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As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk

As Short-Term Rates Hit Levels Not Seen Since 2008 – Trillions Are At Risk Readers know that I haven’t shied away from stressing over the Federal Reserve’s tightening. As a firm believer in the Austrian Business Cycle Theory – first drafted by Ludwig Von Mises in early 1900’s – I believe that artificially moving interest […]

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When Fake Money Becomes Scarce

When Fake Money Becomes Scarce Remaining Focused A rousing display of diversions this week assured the American populace was looking every which way but right under its collective nose.  Midterm elections.  White House spats with purveyors of fake news.  The forced resignation of Attorney General Sessions…   Old drug warrior (otherwise recused) on his way […]

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Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect”

Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect” Their “Everything Bubble” is being pricked “gradually,” and they don’t like it. Wall Street has been moaning, groaning, and crying out loud about the Fed’s current monetary policies – raising rates and unwinding QE. They fear that these policies […]

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Here are all the ways inflation is happening today

Here are all the ways inflation is happening today Something strange happened in the markets last month that signals trouble ahead… When stocks fell from their September highs, you would have expected investors to run for cover in the world’s safe-haven asset – US Treasurys. But that’s not what happened. While stocks were plunging, Treasurys […]

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The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q3 2018

The State of the American Debt Slaves, Q3 2018 Consumers are being lackadaisical again with their plastic. Consumer debt – or euphemistically, consumer “credit” – jumped 4.9% in the third quarter compared to the third quarter last year, or by $182 billion, to almost, but no cigar, $4 trillion, or more precisely $3.93 trillion (not […]

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The Fed Crying Has Begun

The Fed Crying Has Begun So stocks dropped a little in October. Ok they actually dropped a lot and all of a sudden the S&P 500 was miles away from the all those optimistic 3,000+ year end targets. And what happens when stocks drop hard? Bulls cry for the Fed to come to the rescue. […]

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Fed’s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion

Fed’s Balance Sheet Shrinks The Most Since Start Of QT; QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion On Monday, when discussing the two key, opposing forces facing stocks this week, we said that while on one hand stock buybacks will make a triumphant return, as companies with $50bn of quarterly buybacks exited their blackout periods, and the […]

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Wall Street Moves to Gut Post-Crisis Financial Rules

WALL STREET MOVES TO GUT POST-CRISIS FINANCIAL RULES ON THE CAMPAIGN trail, Donald Trump frequently pledged to “dismantle” the Dodd-Frank financial reforms passed in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis. On Wednesday, with the Federal Reserve’s release of a proposal to roll back capital and liquidity requirements, he caught his big whale. Those requirements, imposed by […]

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The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion

The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $321 Billion The “up to” exacts its pound of flesh. Over the four-week period from October 3 through October 31, the Federal Reserve shed $35 billion in assets, according to the Fed’s weekly balance sheet released Thursday afternoon. This brought the balance sheet to $4,140 billion, the lowest since February […]

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Expect the Fed to Pause if Volatility Continues

Expect the Fed to Pause if Volatility Continues It’s a good thing October is coming to an end. It’s been a particularly lousy month for the markets. October has seen about $5 trillion in value erased from global markets. Reasons for that sell-off range from fear over Fed rate hikes, trade wars, elections and buyback […]

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Just in Time Stimulus: Fed Proposes Looser Rules for Large U.S. Banks

Just in Time Stimulus: Fed Proposes Looser Rules for Large U.S. Banks The Fed’s proposal marks one of the most significant rollbacks of bank regulations since Trump took office. The Wall Street Journal reports Fed Proposes Looser Rules for Large U.S. Banks The Federal Reserve announced one of the most significant rollbacks of bank rules […]

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