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Oil prices: A bear and a bull on the rally

Oil prices: A bear and a bull on the rally The price of oil has been rising for more than a week. What gives? The price of oil has been heading up for eight trading sessions, raising the hopes of energy companies, investors and the whole province of Alberta. But is this rally the real […]

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The Collapse Of The Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Are Dumping US Assets At A Record Pace

The Collapse Of The Petrodollar: Oil Exporters Are Dumping US Assets At A Record Pace Back in November we chronicled the (quiet) death of the Petrodollar, the system that has buttressed USD hegemony for decades by ensuring that oil producers recycled their dollar proceeds into still more USD assets creating a very convenient (if your printing press […]

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Putting the Real Story of Energy and the Economy Together

Putting the Real Story of Energy and the Economy Together What is the real story of energy and the economy? We hear two predominant energy stories. One is the story economists tell: The economy can grow forever; energy shortages will have no impact on the economy. We can simply substitute other forms of energy, or do […]

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Rig Count Data Shows Gulf States Cranking Up Pressure On The U.S.

Rig Count Data Shows Gulf States Cranking Up Pressure On The U.S. The global rig count statistics published by Baker Hughes provide a crucial industry activity indicator and some of the most up to date industry statistics available. This is a short report updating international statistics to March 2015 and US statistics to 10 April 2015. Figure […]

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How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out?

How Much Longer Can OPEC Hold Out? OPEC has been the most talked about international organization among investors, analysts and international political lobbies in the last few months. When OPEC speaks, the world listens in rapt attention as it accounts for nearly 40 % of the world’s total crude output. With its headquarters in Vienna, […]

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Total Rig Count Decline Fastest Since 1986 As Weekly Rig Count Drop Re-Accelerates

Total Rig Count Decline Fastest Since 1986 As Weekly Rig Count Drop Re-Accelerates With crude production and inventories hitting record highs this week, it is likely no surprise that rig counts continued to decline – falling 40 to 988 total rigs  (and down 42 to 760 oil rigs). This is the 18th week in a row of total […]

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Top 12 Media Myths On Oil Prices

Top 12 Media Myths On Oil Prices The upstream oil and gas industry is not a black hole. There’s no mystery wrapped in an enigma here. There are a lot of meetings with engineers, chemists and geologists. There’s a constantly evolving learning curve. And then there’s all the regulations and compliance. But all-in-all it’s pretty […]

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Why The Oil Price Collapse Is U.S. Shale’s Fault

Why The Oil Price Collapse Is U.S. Shale’s Fault The present oil price collapse is because of over-production of expensive tight oil. The collapse occurred because of the inability of the world market to support the cost of the new expensive oil supply from shale, oil sands and deep water. Demand was progressively destroyed during […]

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Who Benefits Most From Cheap Oil?

Who Benefits Most From Cheap Oil? We are living in a world obsessed with oil and its price movements. Some time back, when all the trade pundits were predicting a stable 100$ benchmark, the prices fell… and how! The current fall in the oil price has been particularly harsh and excruciating for some of the […]

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The World’s Greatest Oil Chokepoints, And Why Yemen Matters

The World’s Greatest Oil Chokepoints, And Why Yemen Matters About half the world’s oil production is moved by tankers on fixed maritime routes, according to Reuters. The blockage of a chokepoint, even temporarily, can lead to substantial increases in total energy costs and thus, these checkpoints are crucial to global energy security. While Hormuz remains the largest chokepoint […]

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The Perfect Storm For Oil Hits In Two Months: US Crude Production To Soar Just As Storage Runs Out

The Perfect Storm For Oil Hits In Two Months: US Crude Production To Soar Just As Storage Runs Out Less than two weeks ago we warned that based on the current oil production trend, the US may run out of storage for crude as soon as June. This is what we said back in early March when the BTFDers […]

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Amid “US Coup”, Venezuela Takes Another $5 Billion Loan From China

Amid “US Coup”, Venezuela Takes Another $5 Billion Loan From China The people of Venezuela can rejoice… not so fast. Amid paranoid-sounding (though not unlikely) rantings about US-created coups (and blaming ‘economic’ war for his nation’s Socialist utopia hyperinflation), it appears President Maduro just got another life-line (or more rope to hang himself). After begging China’s leader […]

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Lipstick on a pig: America as the world’s swing producer of oil

Lipstick on a pig: America as the world’s swing producer of oil Most people have heard the old saying: “You can put lipstick on a pig. But it’s still a pig.” That’s sort of what is happening in the American oil patch as producers try to put a positive gloss on the devastation that low […]

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WTI Plunges To $42 Handle On Massive API Inventory Build

WTI Plunges To $42 Handle On Massive API Inventory Build For what appears to be the 10th week in a row, API reports amassive 10.5 million barrels (far bigger than the 3.1 million barrel expectation) and a 3 million barrel build at Cushing. If this holds for DOE data tomorrow (and worryingly API has tended to […]

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WTI Slumps To New Cycle Lows As Iran Supply Fears Loom

WTI Slumps To New Cycle Lows As Iran Supply Fears Loom Just a few short days ago we were the first to bring attention to the potential of an Iran nuclear deal being a catalyst for the next big leg lower in the energy complex and sure enough, not only is the market startuing to leg lower […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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