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Seeds of Market Collapse in the Federal Reserve’s “Autopilot” Balance Sheet Normalization
Seeds of Market Collapse in the Federal Reserve’s “Autopilot” Balance Sheet Normalization A lot of talk last week centered around the potential for the Federal Reserve to revise their planned “normalization” of holdings on their balance sheet. In particular in the post FOMC press conference, Powell said, “I think that the runoff of the balance sheet […]
Trump Is Considering Firing Fed Chair Powell
Trump Is Considering Firing Fed Chair Powell if amid the barrage of negative news hitting the market this quarter there has been one outstanding item which would have sent it sharply (even) lower, that would be a flashing red headline – or a tweet from the president – announcing that Trump has fired Fed Chair […]
The US will become a neo-feudal nation
The US will become a neo-feudal nation The Western world is heading for the next big social and economic crisis. America’s hegemony is waning and its establishment is fighting among themselves. To uphold American supremacy, President Trump and his administration are trying to reshape the nation into a neo-feudal society with a new relationship between […]
Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price
Weekly Commentary: Powell Federal Reserve Lowers “Fed Put” Strike Price I have little confidence history will get this right. Today’s overwhelming consensus view holds that Powell this week committed a major policy blunder. After his early-October “we’re a long way from neutral” “rookie mistake”, he has followed with a rate increase right in the throes […]
The Fed Relies Indirectly on the Banks & Cannot Stimulate the Economy Directly
The Fed Relies Indirectly on the Banks & Cannot Stimulate the Economy Directly QUESTION: Hello, Since the Fed ‘created’ ‘money’ after 2008 that was then deposited back at the Fed by the recipient banks ( say,75% of it), it is not easy to see why the Fed is to blame for the credit explosion since 2008- […]
The Central Bank War – Nobody Notices
The Central Bank War – Nobody Notices QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong: I have watched in amazement how you connect all these elements. Everyone I spoke to agreed this was your best WEC ever. You have said the Fed needed to raise rates because of the pension crisis and it would have nothing to do with inflation but […]
The Coming Crisis
The Coming Crisis In a crisis, people either turn to their institutions or they turn to their leaders to provide a path forward through the emergency. This is especially true when the path forward is waiting out the emergency. People respect action, so they have to have faith in their leaders if the right course […]
Peter Schiff: If The Fed Doesn’t Hike Rates Today, They’ll Never Hike Again
Peter Schiff: If The Fed Doesn’t Hike Rates Today, They’ll Never Hike Again Peter Schiff believes that the next stop for interest rates heading into 2019 is going to be directly back to 0%. And in a new podcast, Schiff warns that he believes it is going to be QE4 that finally causes the dollar […]
The Fed Is Panicking
The Fed Is Panicking This week I’ve been in Washington, D.C. for high level meetings focused on the economy. While meeting with senior officials and members of the House and Senate, it became clear that a troubling phenomenon is building. Your correspondent at the Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington D.C. In the wake […]
Druckenmiller: “The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right”
Druckenmiller: “The Best Economist I Know Is Saying Something Is Not Right” Stanley Druckenmiller established himself as one of the most successful hedge fund managers of his generation thanks to an uncanny ability for recognizing signals in asset prices that portended an coming recession. So when he warns about rough times ahead, it’s probably worth […]
Inflation Targeting Madness: Russia Raises Rates Again
Inflation Targeting Madness: Russia Raises Rates Again I continue to wonder who Bank of Russia President Elvira Nabuillina works for. Seriously. On Friday, in response to solid growth in Russian economic statistics over the past few months, Nabuillina again raised interest rates 0.25%. She still adheres to idiotic IMF-style ‘inflation targeting’ dogma. Price inflation in […]
Ron Paul: The Market Correction Could Make Things ‘Worse Than 1929’
Ron Paul: The Market Correction Could Make Things ‘Worse Than 1929’ Former presidential candidate, Dr. Ron Paul says that the current market conditions are ripe for a correction of 50% and Wall Street is vulnerable to depression-like conditions in the next year. “It could be worse than 1929,” Dr. Paul said recently in an interview. Paul […]
The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis
The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis Investors need to focus on their response to financial stresses in an era in which policymakers will be constrained. Not much to do once it pops. Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images Satyajit Das is a former banker, whom Bloomberg named one of the world’s 50 most influential financial […]
Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism
Weekly Commentary: The Perils of Inflationism December 13 – Financial Times (Chris Giles and Claire Jones): “When the European Central Bank switches off its money-printing press at the turn of this year and stops buying fresh assets, it will mark the end of a decade-long global experiment in how to stave off economic meltdowns. Quantitative […]
The Neutral Interest Rate Myth
THE NEUTRAL INTEREST RATE MYTH In his speech to the Economic Club of New York on November 28 2018, the Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell said that the US central bank’s policy interest rate is just below the neutral rate. This prompted many commentators to suggest that a tighter interest rate stance of the […]
