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The Fate of the Euro

The Fate of the Euro QUESTION: The bounce in the Euro is a fool’s’ game? ANSWER: Absolutely. The Euro is doomed because especially if Le Pen loses, Brussels will be relieved and proceed as usual. The same problems will merely exist and no reform will come forward to save the day. A good wind will […]

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Fitch Downgrades Italy To BBB From BBB+

Fitch Downgrades Italy To BBB From BBB+ Having largely disappeared from the market’s scope for the past 6 months, ever since Europe “bent” its rule allowing the bailout of Monte Paschi and several smaller banks despite Italy having the greatest amount of disclosed NPLs of any European nation, moments ago Fitch decided to drag Italy […]

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The High Cost of Renewable Subsidies

The High Cost of Renewable Subsidies I have for some time wanted to get to the bottom of renewable subsidies and their impact upon electricity prices. But the complexity and opacity of the system has always defeated me. And then last week a report titled “Status Review of Renewable Support Schemes in Europe” landed in […]

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So Many Triggers

So Many Triggers It’s not a story that’s likely to appear on the evening news, but it certainly should. Deutsche Bank has announced that it will create more shares, selling them at a 35% discount. Existing shareholders have not been pleased and, in the first four days since the offer was announced, the value of […]

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Here’s Why Italy’s Banking Crisis Has Gone Off the Radar

Here’s Why Italy’s Banking Crisis Has Gone Off the Radar Just how many banks are insolvent? Turns out, a lot! But elections are coming up. For a country that is on the brink of a gargantuan public bailout of its toxic-loan riddled banking sector, or failing that, a full-blown financial crisis that could bring down […]

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The Future – Putting it All Together

The Future – Putting it All Together  This is the year of political hell. The question is not about supporting one side or the other. This is a time that calls for us not to be small petty creatures but a case that requires rational human beings, which seems to be more impossible with each […]

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Bill Gross: “Our Financial System Is A Truckload Of Nitroglycerin On A Bumpy Road”

Bill Gross: “Our Financial System Is A Truckload Of Nitroglycerin On A Bumpy Road” Courtesy of Bill Gross’ latest monthly letter “Show Me The Money“, here are some perspectives on the only thing that has kept the global economy going since the financial crisis: debt, and lost of it. in 2017, the global economy has […]

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Democrat v Republican

Democrat v Republican  We are perhaps witnessing the political crisis of a life time. Our model has been projecting this crisis and I warned more than 20 years ago that the Democratic Party was in serious decline. Keep in mind that Trump effectively became a third party candidate within the Republican Party. So by no […]

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Europe or Anti-Europe?

Europe or Anti-Europe? MILAN – A knowledgeable friend in Milan recently asked me the following question: “If an outside investor, say, from the United States, wanted to invest a substantial sum in the Italian economy, what would you advise?” I replied that, although there are many opportunities to invest in companies and sectors, the overall […]

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Dutch Parliament to Debate Leaving the Eurozone: Nexit on the Way?

Dutch Parliament to Debate Leaving the Eurozone: Nexit on the Way? Potential Eurozone disruption possibilities keep compounding. The Netherlands Parliament will now debate leaving the Eurozone. For example, the Netherlands Parliament will now debate leaving the Eurozone. In long-winded wording for a potential “Nexit”, Reutersreports Dutch relations with euro up for debate after lawmakers commission probe The Netherlands’ future […]

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EU Bailout of Portugal Has Failed

EU Bailout of Portugal Has Failed  This year, 2017, is the beginning of the Sovereign Debt Crisis. While Greece is popping up on the financial radar, the Euro rescue in Portugal has also completely failed to reverse the trend of the country. There has been no effective relief from the debt crisis in Southern Europe. The […]

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Concerns Grow About A Nuclear “Incident” In Europe After Spike In Radioactive Iodine Levels

Concerns Grow About A Nuclear “Incident” In Europe Concerns about a potential, and so far unsubstantiated, nuclear “incident”, reportedly in the vicinity of the Arctic circle, spread in the past week after trace amounts of radioactive Iodine-131 of unknown origin were detected in January over large areas in Europe according to a report by the Institute for […]

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Italy’s Banking Crisis Is Even Worse Than We Thought

Italy’s Banking Crisis Is Even Worse Than We Thought The insider blame game has begun. In this late winter of generalized discontent, it is not easy to pinpoint just where the biggest threat to Europe’s increasingly flimsy union lies, so intense is the competition. One obvious contender is the Eurozone’s third largest economy, Italy, which […]

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Meet The New, “Safe” Synthetic CDO’s That Could Spell Disaster For The European Banking System

Meet The New, “Safe” Synthetic CDO’s That Could Spell Disaster For The European Banking System So what do you do if you’re a European banking regulator faced with the task of maintaining a safe, sustainable financial system amid a concerning growth in bank leverage.  Well, if you said sell down risk assets then you’re just […]

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Things Just Got Serious in Europe’s War on Cash

Things Just Got Serious in Europe’s War on Cash To protect citizens from threats as defined by apparatchiks in Brussels. The central authorities in Europe just launched their most important offensive to date in their multiyear War on Cash. The new move comes directly from the European Union’s executive branch, the European Commission, which just announced its […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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