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Tag Archives: central banks
How Things Fall Apart: Extremes Aren’t Stable
How Things Fall Apart: Extremes Aren’t Stable A funny thing happens on the way to stabilizing things by doing more of what’s failed: the system becomes even more unstable, brittle and fragile. A peculiar faith in pushing extremes to new heights has taken hold in official circles over the past decade: when past extremes push […]
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes
Chart of the Week: Playing With Dominoes The Great “Recession” was never a recession. It was a monetary event first and foremost, and it continues to be eleven years later. That means by and large it has been a failure of imagination. Central bankers say they’ve done this and that, but what they’ve never done, […]
U.S. Government Financial Balance Sheet One Step Closer To Blowing Up
U.S. Government Financial Balance Sheet One Step Closer To Blowing Up The U.S. Government’s balance sheet is one step closer to blowing up as its debt, and interest expense hit new record highs. And when I say “new record highs,” I am not exaggerating. It’s been a while since I checked the data on the […]
The End Of Cheap Debt: The Fall & Rise Of Interest Rates
Creativa Images/Shutterstock The End Of Cheap Debt: The Fall & Rise Of Interest Rates Perhaps the greatest single trend impacting the next decade Total debt (public + private) in America is currently at a staggering $67 trillion. That number has been rising fast over the past 47 years, following the US dollar’s transformation into a […]
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion
The Fed’s QE Unwind Hits $250 Billion Here’s my math when this “balance sheet normalization” will end. In August, the Federal Reserve was supposed to shed up to $24 billion in Treasury securities and up to $16 billion in Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), for a total of $40 billion, according to its QE-unwind plan – […]
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of?
After 10 Years of “Recovery,” What Are Central Banks So Afraid Of? If the world’s economies still need central bank life support to survive, they aren’t healthy–they’re barely clinging to life. The “recovery”/Bull Market is in its 10th year, and yet central banks are still tiptoeing around as if the tiniest misstep will cause the […]
The Idea That the Fed Is ‘Independent’ Is Absurd
The Idea That the Fed Is ‘Independent’ Is Absurd Reuters Photographer President Donald Trump sparked controversy — as is his wont — when he recently told CNBC that he was “not thrilled” with the Federal Reserve’s announced hikes in short-term interest rates, which he claimed would hinder the economic expansion for which his administration had […]
Financial Cold War
Financial Cold War As we crossed the finish line last week into the longest bull market in human history, a question that has been on my mind for years came bubbling to the surface again: if this is so easy, why didn’t the governments of the world do it before? In other words, since it’s […]
Next Up: Global Synchronized Easing
Next Up: Global Synchronized Easing Global economic tightening is a pipe dream. It hasn’t happened yet, and likely won’t. Bloomberg writer Komal Sri-Kumar says, and I agree, Don’t be Surprised by a Switch Global Synchronized Easing. Global investors are positioned for a coordinated tightening of monetary policy by the world’s major central banks. Although the […]
Russia Plans To Beat US Sanctions By Stockpiling Gold
Russia Plans To Beat US Sanctions By Stockpiling Gold The Russian government is not taking the United States’ sanctions lightly. Instead, they plan to beat all sanctions imposed by Washington, including any future sanctions, by stockpiling gold. The Russian central bank’s First Deputy Governor Dmitry Tulin said that Moscow sees the acquisition of gold as a “100-percent […]
Turkey: A harbinger of a global debt crisis?
Turkey: A harbinger of a global debt crisis? The economic crisis brewing in Turkey seems to have surprised many. This was probably, at least partly, due to the ‘period of tranquility’ created by the central banks with theirs ‘unorthodox measures’. Many seem to have imagined that the “synchronized global growth” spurt were here to last. […]
We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History
We Are All Lab Rats In The Largest-Ever Monetary Experiment In Human History And how do things usually work out for the rat? There are ample warning signs that another serious financial crisis is on the way. These warning signs are being soundly ignored by the majority, though. Perhaps understandably so. After 10 years of […]
Looks Like Italian Default is Back on the Menu
Looks Like Italian Default is Back on the Menu Italian Deputy Prime Minister Matteo Salvini was right to call out the EU over the failure of the bridge in Genoa this week. It was an act of cheap political grandstanding but one that ultimately rings very true. It’s a perfect moment to shake people out of […]
Economic Contagion? Central Banks Are The Real Culprit
Economic Contagion? Central Banks Are The Real Culprit The mainstream news has been awash lately in talk over the danger of economic “contagion,” primarily due to lack of dollar liquidity in emerging markets. This lack of liquidity is being pegged as a trigger for instability in stocks, bonds and forex markets around the world, and […]
David Stockman: The World Economy Is At An Epochal Pivot
Shutterstock David Stockman: The World Economy Is At An Epochal Pivot A ‘Great Reset’ approaches David Stockman warns that the global economy has reached an “epochal pivot”, a moment when the false prosperity created from $trillions in printed money by the world’s central banks lurches violently into reverse. There are few people alive who understand […]
