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The Fed, China, And The Markets

The Fed, China, And The Markets Amid market volatility and continued downside surprises in global growth, investors are focusing on the Fed and China. Regarding the Fed, the issue is whether and when it could signal potential changes in balance sheet normalisation (as it has on the policy rate path). On China, the question is […]

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World’s Largest Hedge Fund Manager Sees Dollar Losing Reserve Currency Status

World’s Largest Hedge Fund Manager Sees Dollar Losing Reserve Currency Status With the end of 2018 marking the 40th anniversary of China opening up & reforming (and with an increasingly loud group of market participants questioning the foundations of China’s economic miracle – and more importantly, it’s future), Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio believes now is […]

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How do you Stop the Arms Race? By Starting a New War, for Instance

How do you Stop the Arms Race? By Starting a New War, for Instance Do you see a ghostly Seneca Cliff in this graph? (source) There is a good rule that you should always be careful when extrapolating your data, especially over the long term. And there is an even better rule saying that you […]

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How China’s Big Overseas Initiative Threatens Global Climate Progress

Trucks hauling coal at a Chinese-financed open-pit mine in Pakistan’s Sindh province in May 2018. RIZWAN TABASSUM / AFP / GETTY IMAGES How China’s Big Overseas Initiative Threatens Global Climate Progress China’s Belt and Road Initiative is a colossal infrastructure plan that could transform the economies of nations around the world. But with its focus […]

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Chinese Professor Censored After Admitting Real GDP Growth Is Below 2%

Chinese Professor Censored After Admitting Real GDP Growth Is Below 2% Stirring up unpleasant echoes of the market chaos that swept the world in the opening days of 2016, Apple’s decision to cut its quarterly revenue guidance for the first time in 16 years – citing slowing iPhone sales in China as the primary culprit […]

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President Xi Orders Chinese Army To “Prepare For War”

President Xi Orders Chinese Army To “Prepare For War” In just a few short days, China has proved that investors who have been underestimating the geopolitical risks stemming from the simmering tensions between the US and China over the latter’s territorial claims in the South China Sea and paranoia over the fate of Taiwan – […]

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Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports ‘Canary’ Crashes

Global Economic Slump Imminent As Korean Exports ‘Canary’ Crashes In the latest sign that the slowdown in China and the global trade war is weighing on global commerce, South Korea’s exports fell  in December. The 1.2% YoY decline was dramatically below the +2.5% YoY expected and missed even the most pessimistic forecast (which was still […]

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Ten 2018 Extinction Awards

Ten 2018 Extinction Awards Given the way people are transforming the earth into a place where the human species cannot survive, it is only right and just that we honor achievement in the race to extinction. Without further ado, here are the top eight Extinction Awards of 2018. 2018 Extinction Global Person of the Year […]

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Saudi Arabia and China are preparing for war

Saudi Arabia and China are preparing for war The fact that Saudis want to control Yemen and the Chinese are increasing their presence in Myanmar is a preparation for the conflicts that may soon flare up. It is about securing the flanks. The war in Yemen is being waged more and more brutally by the […]

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The European Project Comes to an End

The European Project Comes to an End The end of the EU and the Balkans as China’s foothold in Europe Though the end of the European Union is inevitable, the proponents of a further integrated or federal superstate are busy making a last effort to achieve their goal. The opposition against the project is mounting […]

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America’s Technology and Sanctions War Will End, by Bifurcating the Global Economy

America’s Technology and Sanctions War Will End, by Bifurcating the Global Economy “The true reason behind the US-China ‘trade’ war has little to do with actual trade … What is really at the basis of the ongoing civilizational conflict between the US and China … are China’s ambitions to be a leader in next-generation technology, […]

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Is U.S. Geopolitical Strategy Experiencing a Monumental Shift?

Is U.S. Geopolitical Strategy Experiencing a Monumental Shift? The defining question about global order for this generation is whether China and the United States can escape Thucydides’s Trap. The Greek historian’s metaphor reminds us of the attendant dangers when a rising power rivals a ruling power—as Athens challenged Sparta in ancient Greece, or as Germany […]

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China Arrests Third Canadian Citizen As Feud Worsens

China Arrests Third Canadian Citizen As Feud Worsens That didn’t take long. Three days after warning Canada about “escalation” and “grave consequences” amid a worsening diplomatic crisis, China has arrested a third Canadian national, according to Canada’s National Post, which cited a spokesman for Global Affairs Canada, the international arm of the Canadian government. No […]

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The Empire’s Sea of Woes

The Empire’s Sea of Woes The noose cinches. Second-rate George H.W. Bush got a first-rate Washington send-off. For one day it interrupted the downtrend in equity markets. It may mark the US apotheosis of inflated grandiosity. Across the Atlantic, Emmanuel Macron, pretentious popinjay of Gallic grandiosity, has gotten a deserved comeuppance. Brexit, Trump’s election, and […]

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Canada to Pay Heavy Price for Trudeau’s Groupie Role in US Banditry Against China

Canada to Pay Heavy Price for Trudeau’s Groupie Role in US Banditry Against China You do have to wonder about the political savvy of Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his government. The furious fallout from China over the arrest of a senior telecoms executive is going to do severe damage to Canadian national interests. […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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