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Our Fate Is Sealed, Vaccines Won’t Matter: Four Long Cycles Align

Our Fate Is Sealed, Vaccines Won’t Matter: Four Long Cycles Align A Covid-19 vaccine, or lack thereof, will have zero effect in terms of reversing these cycles. Call it Fate, call it karma, call it what you will, but the cycles have aligned and nothing can stop the unraveling of all that was foolishly presumed […]

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Fall of Akkadian empire due to climate change

Fall of Akkadian empire due to climate change Preface. Any civilization or region that survives energy decline must then survive climate change for many centuries. As far as the wind systems that collapsed the Akkadian empire, it’s already happening: “Greenhouse gases are increasingly disrupting the jet stream, a powerful river of winds that steers weather […]

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How Long Will It Take For The US To Collapse?

How Long Will It Take For The US To Collapse? Friday, 03 January 2020 05:11 Brandon Smith There are a multitude of false assumptions out there on what the collapse of a nation or “empire” looks like. Modern day Americans have never experienced this type of event, only peripheral crises and crashes. Thanks to Hollywood, […]

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Falling From Grace

Falling From Grace Years ago, Doug Casey mentioned in a correspondence to me, “Empires fall from grace with alarming speed.” Every now and then, you receive a comment that, although it may have been stated casually, has a lasting effect, as it offers uncommon insight. For me, this was one of those and it’s one […]

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How Empires Fall: Moral Decay

How Empires Fall: Moral Decay There is a name for this institutionalized, commoditized fraud: moral decay.  Moral decay is an interesting phenomenon: we spot it easily in our partisan-politics opponents and BAU (business as usual) government/private-sector dealings (are those $3,000 Pentagon hammers now $5,000 each or $10,000 each? It’s hard to keep current…), and we’re suitably indignant when […]

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Fuck You, Dying American Empire: Reflections of an Aging Anti-Imperialist

Fuck You, Dying American Empire: Reflections of an Aging Anti-Imperialist Last year at Jamia Millia Islamia Central University in New Delhi, India I met students and teachers who thought that it was cool that I’d written an anti-imperialist book and that it was still in print nearly fifty years after it was first published. It […]

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Does Society Turn More Violent During its End Times?

Does Society Turn More Violent During its End Times? QUESTION: Is MMA the new Roman Colosseum? I’m a layman in history but didn’t blood sports rise in popularity during Rome’s decline? Now everyone and their mother is talking about MMA, and random celebrities e.g. Logan Paul or now Trump Jr. are jumping in the octagon or […]

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The Fall of Empires Explained in 10 Minutes

The Fall of Empires Explained in 10 Minutes This is the presentation I gave to the meeting for the 50th anniversary of the Club of Rome on Oct 18th in Rome. The gist of the idea is that the fall of ancient civilizations, such as the Roman Empire, can be described with the same models […]

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Could Donald Trump be the Last World Emperor? States and Empires After the End of the Fossil Age

Could Donald Trump be the Last World Emperor? States and Empires After the End of the Fossil Age Empires are short-lived structures created and kept together by the availability of mineral resources, fossil fuels in our times. They tend to decline and fall with the decline of the resources that created them, and that’s the […]

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Declining and Falling

Declining and Falling Are we destined for the same fate as that other empire? At the end of World War II, the US enjoyed geopolitical supremacy unmatched since the Roman empire. Friends and foes had been devastated by the war: millions dead, thousands of towns and cities destroyed, commercial and industrial infrastructure decimated. The only […]

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The End Of Our Empire Approaches

The End Of Our Empire Approaches History is clear on where we’re headed Do you have the nagging sense that our empire is in decline? If so, don’t be embarrassed by it. Historically speaking, we’re in very good company.  Far larger and longer-lived empires than ours have come and gone over the millennia. This was hit […]

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What If All the Cheap Stuff Goes Away?

What If All the Cheap Stuff Goes Away? Nothing stays the same in dynamic systems, and it’s inevitable that the current glut of low costs / cheap stuff will give way to scarcities that cannot be filled at current low prices. One of the books I just finished reading is The Fate of Rome: Climate, […]

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Et Tu, Brute? (How Empires Die)

Et Tu, Brute? (How Empires Die)   (Image: The assassination of Julius Caesar, led by Brutus.) The state-owned Bank of China has been ordered by an American court to hand over customer information to the US. The bank has refused to comply, as to do so would violate China’s privacy law. The US court has […]

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The Imperial Collapse Playbook

The Imperial Collapse Playbook [This is a rerun, which seems timely given the recent American efforts to poison relations between Turkey and Russia. The shoot-down of the Russian jet was clearly a well-poisoning exercise either directly ordered or, at the very least, approved by the Pentagon. In a future blog post, I will explain why […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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