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“What Happens When The Market Can No Longer Pretend”: Charting Today’s Minsky Moments Dynamics
“What Happens When The Market Can No Longer Pretend”: Charting Today’s Minsky Moments Dynamics Back in July, Deutsche Bank’s derivative strategist Aleksandar Kocic believed he had found the moment the market broke, which he defined as a terminal dislocation between market and economic policy uncertainty: as he wrote 4 months ago, it was some time […]
The $2 Trillion Hole: “In 2019, Central Bank Liquidity Finally Turns Negative”
The $2 Trillion Hole: “In 2019, Central Bank Liquidity Finally Turns Negative” In all the euphoria over yesterday’s “dovish taper” by the ECB, markets appear to have forgotten one thing: the great Central Bank liquidity tide, which generated over $2 trillion in central bank purchasing power in 2017 alone – which as Bank of America […]
“This Is Most Worrying”: In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero
“This Is Most Worrying”: In One Year, Central Bank Liquidity Will Collapse From $2 Trillion To Zero Is it complacency, or simply trader paralysis? A question we first asked three months ago is getting a second wind this morning, when in a report by Deutsche Bank’s Alan Ruskin, the macro strategist points out that “the […]
Albert Edwards: “Citizen Rage” Will Soon Be Directed At “Schizophrenic” Central Banks
Albert Edwards: “Citizen Rage” Will Soon Be Directed At “Schizophrenic” Central Banks Perhaps having grown tired of fighting windmills, it was several weeks since Albert Edwards’ latest rant against central banks. However, we were confident that recent developments out of the Fed and BOE were sure to stir the bearish strategist out of hibernation, and […]
“This Is Where The Next Financial Crisis Will Come From”
“This Is Where The Next Financial Crisis Will Come From” In an extensive, must-read report published on Monday by Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid, the credit strategist unveiled an extensive analysis of the “Next Financial Crisis”, and specifically what may cause it, when it may happen, and how the world could respond assuming it still has […]
“We’re Now Seeing Bubbles Everywhere” – Deutsche Bank Boss Urges End To “Era Of Cheap Money”
“We’re Now Seeing Bubbles Everywhere” – Deutsche Bank Boss Urges End To “Era Of Cheap Money” The head of Germany’s largest commercial bank warned of the fallout from cheap money, cautioning against using the strong euro as a justification for printing more. Bloomberg reports that the Deutsche Bank Chief Executive Officer John Cryan called for an end to […]
“Canada Is In Serious Trouble” Again, And This Time It’s For Real
“Canada Is In Serious Trouble” Again, And This Time It’s For Real Some time ago, Deutsche Bank’s chief international economist, Torsten Slok, presented several charts which showed that “Canada is in serious trouble” mostly as a result of its overreliance on its frothy, bubbly housing sector, but also due to the fact that unlike the […]
So Many Triggers
So Many Triggers It’s not a story that’s likely to appear on the evening news, but it certainly should. Deutsche Bank has announced that it will create more shares, selling them at a 35% discount. Existing shareholders have not been pleased and, in the first four days since the offer was announced, the value of […]
UBS Calls It: “The Global Credit Impulse Suddenly Collapsed To Negative”
UBS Calls It: “The Global Credit Impulse Suddenly Collapsed To Negative” One month ago, a skeptical Deutsche Bank warned that just as global macro surprises and economic momentum had hit 6 year highs, the bullish story was set to rollover from its current elevated levels… … primarily as a result of a series of disappointing data points […]
Deutsche Warns Of Imminent “Domino Impact” For Stocks From Bond Carnage, Soaring Dollar
Deutsche Warns Of Imminent “Domino Impact” For Stocks From Bond Carnage, Soaring Dollar One of the more confounding aspects of the record bond selloff experienced in the past few days, is that it not only left broader equity indices unscathed, but took place as the Dow Jones hit a new record high. This, as Goldman […]
Deutsche Bank Is Going Under: The Real Reason Germans Were Told To Prepare For A National Crisis?
Deutsche Bank Is Going Under: The Real Reason Germans Were Told To Prepare For A National Crisis? There is a very real possibility that Deutsche Bank is going down. If the most prominent bank in Germany fails, the effect on Europe will be profound, and I don’t think the United States will escape the effects. The […]
I’m in Awe of How Fast Deutsche Bank is Falling Apart
I’m in Awe of How Fast Deutsche Bank is Falling Apart Counterparties lose confidence, withdraw cash. Deutsche Bank, with $2 trillion in assets, amounting to 58% of Germany’s GDP, one of the most globally interwoven banks, with gross notional derivatives exposure of €46 trillion, right at the top along with JP Morgan (booked as €41 billion […]
Merkel Says No Aid for Deutsche Bank; Depositor Bail-In Coming Up?
Merkel Says No Aid for Deutsche Bank; Depositor Bail-In Coming Up? The €72 trillion (notional) derivatives mess known as Deutsche Bank remains under severe pressure. It’s market cap is $17.43 billion. It has no earnings and pays no dividend. On April 23, Deutsche Bank was Fined $2.5 Billion over LIBOR rate rigging. Twenty-one people face criminal charges following […]
