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Tag Archives: central banks
From Gold To Nothing: How 1971 Changed Everything In The Economy
From Gold To Nothing: How 1971 Changed Everything In The Economy The monetary system is a major component of the whole economic system. Despite that, today we take it for granted and don’t even ask ourselves how it works and if it is the best solution available or the correct way to manage things. Even though it appears […]
Weekly Commentary: The Ignore Them, Then Panic Dynamic
Weekly Commentary: The Ignore Them, Then Panic Dynamic After years of increasingly close cooperation and collaboration, the relationship has turned strained. Both sides are digging in their heels. Credibility is on the line. If one side doesn’t back down, things could really turn problematic. The Fed is asserting that it’s not about to lower the […]
How Central-Bank Interest-Rate Policy Is Destabilizing Banks
How Central-Bank Interest-Rate Policy Is Destabilizing Banks Broadly speaking, banks operate under the concept of maturity transformation. Banks take short-term – less than one year – financing vehicles, such as customer deposits, and use that to finance long-term – more than one year – returns. These returns range from the most commonly understood loans, such […]
Central banks are buying gold at the fastest pace in six years
Central banks are buying gold at the fastest pace in six years Earlier this month the World Gold Council published its quarterly report– and it shows that central banks and foreign governments from around the world are buying up gold at their fastest pace in six years. This is pretty big news, and it says […]
In The Fed We Trust – Part 1
In The Fed We Trust – Part 1 This article is the first part of a two-part article. Due to its length and importance, we split it to help readers’ better digest the information. The purpose of the article is to define money and currency and discuss their differences and risks. It is with this […]
The Drastic Alteration of QE that is About to be Unleashed
The Drastic Alteration of QE that is About to be Unleashed QUESTION #1: Sir, You stated in your blog that Fed may fix 2 and 10 year bond rates. Doesn’t this negate the yield curve concept/ credit theory? Won’t this accelerate the distrust for government? Wont this further accelerate/aggravate the pension crisis? Appreciate you teaching the […]
Global Economic Growth In Serious Trouble When U.S. Shale Oil Peaks & Declines
Global Economic Growth In Serious Trouble When U.S. Shale Oil Peaks & Declines The global economy would be in serious trouble if it weren’t for the rapid growth of U.S. shale oil production. Since the 2008 financial crisis, U.S. shale oil production has increased by more than 6 million barrels per day. Without these additional […]
Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady
Photo by The White House Uncertain Future for Monetary Policy as POTUS Publicly Calls for Rate Cut While Fed Holds Steady On Tuesday, POTUS took to Twitter and called for the Fed to cut rates by 1%, pointing to 3.2% GDP growth and “wonderfully low inflation.” ✔ China is adding great stimulus to its economy while […]
Why Fed Chair Powell is a Laughingstock
Why Fed Chair Powell is a Laughingstock Fake Work Clarity. Simplicity. Elegance. These fundamentals are all in short supply. But are they in high demand? As far as we can tell, hardly a soul among us gives much of a rip about any of them. Instead, nearly everyone wants things to be more muddled, more […]
The Rich Get Richer when Central Banks Print Money
The Rich Get Richer when Central Banks Print Money The Netherlands Central Bank has just published a fascinating new paper, titled “Monetary policy and the top one percent: Evidence from a century of modern economic history”. Authored by Mehdi El Herradi and Aurélien Leroy, (Working Paper No. 632, De Nederlandsche Bank NV: https://www.dnb.nl/en/binaries/Working%20paper%20No.%20632_tcm47-383633.pdf), the paper “examines […]
Weekly Commentary: Transitory Histrionics
Weekly Commentary: Transitory Histrionics May 3 – Financial Times (Sam Fleming): “Having lamented low inflation as one of the great challenges facing central bankers today in March, Jay Powell on Wednesday wrongfooted many investors with comments that seemed to play down the gravity of the problem. The new message from the Federal Reserve chairman — […]
The Great Unknown
The Great Unknown QUESTION: Martin, if Europe and Japan have destroyed their bond markets, would it be a good idea for them to get the government out of the bond market and have short term rates be floating in the free market? The free market would probably help since they don’t know how to move rates […]
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the […]
Peter Schiff: The Bigger the Boom, the Bigger the Bust (Video)
Peter Schiff: The Bigger the Boom, the Bigger the Bust (Video) During the New Orleans Investment Conference, Peter Schiff participated in a panel discussion with Ben Hunt and Mike Larson. They talked about bubbles, booms and busts. Hunt called it the “bubble of everything.” But he said the “gravitational force” created by all of the […]
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner
Third and Final Leg of Stock Market Crash in October or Sooner I shared the first part of this series of articles last week, explaining why I expect the third and final leg of the crash that began in October 2018 to occur in October 2019, or sooner, and see the S&P 500 fall ~30% […]
