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Can We See a Bubble If We’re Inside the Bubble?

Can We See a Bubble If We’re Inside the Bubble? We want this time to be different so badly, we can almost taste it. If you visit San Francisco, you will find it difficult to walk more than a few blocks in central S.F. without encountering a major construction project. It seems that every decrepit low-rise […]

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Are We Entering an Earnings/Sales Recession?

Are We Entering an Earnings/Sales Recession? Are corporate profits due for a retest of the lower channel line? If so, what happens to equity valuations when corporate profits plummet? Is the U.S. economy in recession? Is it heading for recession? These questions can only be answered in hindsight, but it’s worth looking for clues to what […]

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The China Syndrome: The Coming Global Financial Meltdown

The China Syndrome: The Coming Global Financial Meltdown All the phantom wealth piled up in China’s boost phase is now melting down, and the China Syndrome will trigger a meltdown in global phantom assets. The 1979 film The China Syndrome took its name from the darkly humorous notion that a nuclear reactor meltdown in the […]

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2016 Theme #5: The Systemic Failure of High Finance

2016 Theme #5: The Systemic Failure of High Finance This week I am addressing themes I see playing out in 2016. A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the failure of high finance to fix the global economy’s systemic problems. The operative conceit of the past 7 years has been […]

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2016 Theme #4: The End-Game of Debt-Fueled “Growth”

2016 Theme #4: The End-Game of Debt-Fueled “Growth” This week I am addressing themes I see playing out in 2016. A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the end-game of debt-fueled “growth.” We can summarize the official “solution” to the Global Financial Meltdown of 2008 in one line: borrow and blow […]

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2016 Theme #3: The Rise of Independent (non-state) Crypto-Currencies

2016 Theme #3: The Rise of Independent (non-state) Crypto-Currencies This week I am addressing themes I see playing out in 2016. A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the rise of non-state, non-central-bank-issued crypto-currencies. We all know money is created and distributed by governments and central banks. The reason is simple: […]

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2016 Theme #2: the Hollow Shell of Democracy

2016 Theme #2: the Hollow Shell of Democracy This week I am addressing themes I see playing out in 2016. A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the hollowing out of democracy globally. Democracy has three distinct states of being: formal, in actual practice and informal. Nations that claim the mantle […]

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2016 Theme #1: The Loss of Great Power Leverage

2016 Theme #1: The Loss of Great Power Leverage  This week I am addressing themes I see playing out in 2016. A number of systemic, structural forces are intersecting in 2016. One is the decline of Great Power leverage. Once a nation’s civil society–broadly speaking, the institutions of social cohesion–has been shredded so that power […]

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The Global Health Crisis Will Crush the Global Economy

The Global Health Crisis Will Crush the Global Economy The scale of the global epidemic of obesity, metabolic syndrome and diabetes are truly staggering. Though evidence of a looming global healthcare crisis is plainly visible, few seem to realize the consequences will be catastrophic to individuals, households and national economies. Here is a list—by no […]

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The Rising Threats To Our Health

The Rising Threats To Our Health Around the world, general health is declining  Though evidence of a looming global healthcare crisis is plainly visible, few seem to realize the consequences will be catastrophic to individuals, households and national economies. Here is a list—by no means exhaustive—of major health issues threatening hundreds of millions of people […]

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If We Don’t Change the Way Money Is Created and Distributed, We Change Nothing

If We Don’t Change the Way Money Is Created and Distributed, We Change Nothing The only real solution in my view is to create and distribute money at the base of the pyramid rather than to those in the top of the pyramid.  Many well-intended people want to reform the status quo for all sorts […]

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If We Don’t Change the Way Money Is Created and Distributed, We Change Nothing

If We Don’t Change the Way Money Is Created and Distributed, We Change Nothing The only real solution in my view is to create and distribute money at the base of the pyramid rather than to those in the top of the pyramid.  Many well-intended people want to reform the status quo for all sorts […]

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Central Banks Have Pushed the Middle Class Down into Neofeudal Serfdom

Central Banks Have Pushed the Middle Class Down into Neofeudal Serfdom The injustice of central-bank enforced neofeudalism cannot be suppressed like interest rates. In traditional feudal systems, serfs were the landless peasantry who worked the land of their feudal lords in exchange for protection. In our present-day neofeudal system, serfdom has a different definition: present-day serfs own little […]

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The Velocity of the American Consumer

The Velocity of the American Consumer I was reading something yesterday by my highly esteemed fellow writer Charles Hugh Smith that had me first puzzled and then thinking ‘I don’t think so’, in the same vein as Mark Twain’s recently over-quoted quote: “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what […]

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Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens

Our “Star Wars” Economy: The Fed-Farce Awakens The Fed’s hubris has led it to the Dark Side. It’s not just a movie, it’s real life: the Fed-Farce awakens. Now that the Federal Reserve has finally voted to “restore order to the galaxy” with a tiny .25% rate increase, the true measure of our travesty of a mockery […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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