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OPEC Declines in February Despite Huge Iran Increase

OPEC Declines in February Despite Huge Iran Increase All charts are through February 2016 The OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report just came out. The charts are “Crude Only”production and do not reflect condensate production. Also the charts, except for Libya, are not zero based. I chose to amplify the change rather than the total. OPEC is now 13 […]

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“They Should Leave Us Alone”: Iran Wants No Part Of Oil Freeze Until Output Higher

“They Should Leave Us Alone”: Iran Wants No Part Of Oil Freeze Until Output Higher On Tuesday, Kuwait’s oil minister Anas al-Saleh delivered a rather stark warning to the rest of OPEC when he said the following about the much ballyhooed crude output freeze: “I’ll go full power if there’s no agreement. Every barrel I […]

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Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault

Oil Price Crash Was Not Saudi Arabia’s Fault Quite simply, the Saudis want to maintain their market share, but their means to control that are dwindling. The whole internet is jam-packed with analysis portraying Saudi Arabia and OPEC as villains for the oil price collapse. On a closer look, however, the Saudi’s could have taken […]

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Why Saudi Arabia Has No Intention To End The Oil Glut

Why Saudi Arabia Has No Intention To End The Oil Glut In the geopolitical and oligopolistic global oil market, purely financial supply and demand has often been a secondary force, acting when it is allowed to act. It is the strategic behavior of the producing titans, not their talk or the slow-motion supply-demand balance, which […]

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IA’s Dire Oil Forecast: $34 Crude Due To Far More Resilient Production, Oversupply And Lower Demand

IA’s Dire Oil Forecast: $34 Crude Due To Far More Resilient Production, Oversupply And Lower Demand Now that the massive USO-driven squeeze appears to be over (congratulations to whoever managed to sell equity and their secured lenders) the bad news can return. First, it was Goldman slamming the “unsustainable rally, and then just a few hours […]

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Oil Fundamentals Could Cause Oil Prices To Fall, Fast.

Oil Fundamentals Could Cause Oil Prices To Fall, Fast. Oil prices should fall, possibly hard, in coming weeks. That is because fundamentals do not support the present price. Prices should fall to around $30 once the empty nature of an OPEC-plus-Russia production freeze is understood. A return to the grim reality of over-supply and the […]

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“I’ll Go Full Power If There’s No Agreement” – Kuwait Breaks OPEC Production Freeze

“I’ll Go Full Power If There’s No Agreement” – Kuwait Breaks OPEC Production Freeze Back in late February, when crude prices had just hit a 13 year low, one catalyst unleashed a furious short-covering rally: a WSJ report which cited a delayed SkyNews interview with the UAE energy minister, according to which OPEC would freeze, […]

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“They Spent It All On Hookers, Blow And Fancy Toys” – Hedge Fund Manager Predicts Lower Oil For Longer, Quantitative Easing For The People, And A Gold Bull Market

“They Spent It All On Hookers, Blow And Fancy Toys” – Hedge Fund Manager Predicts Lower Oil For Longer, Quantitative Easing For The People, And A Gold Bull Market In 2011, as gold prices rocketed to $1900 and oil was trading above $120 a barrel, there were few analysts who saw anything but further gains. […]

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Will Russia End Up Controlling 73% of Global Oil Supply?

Will Russia End Up Controlling 73% of Global Oil Supply? Russia has played a master stroke in the current oil crisis by taking the lead in forming a new cartel, but it’s a move that could spell geopolitical disaster. The meeting between Russia, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela on 16 February 2016 was the first […]

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Ready for more punishment: Investors load up on oil share offerings

Ready for more punishment: Investors load up on oil share offerings The $9.2 billion investors paid to snap up new equity offerings from U.S. oil companies in 2016 proves those investors are indeed ready for more punishment. The amount is in line with the pace of such equity offerings in 2015 even as the mood in the […]

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This Is How Government Dealt With Dissent And Revolt In Collapsing Venezuela – “Soldiers Shooting Civilians In The Streets, Paramilitaries Roaming Neighborhoods”

This Is How Government Dealt With Dissent And Revolt In Collapsing Venezuela – “Soldiers Shooting Civilians In The Streets, Paramilitaries Roaming Neighborhoods” Editor’ Note: The initial report about this incident was printed in error. While the videos and images below were believed to be recently recorded, several readers contacted us to report that these incidents occurred […]

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“There’s A Feeling Of Bits Of Ice Cracking All At Once” – This Is The ‘Big New Threat’ To Oil Prices

“There’s A Feeling Of Bits Of Ice Cracking All At Once” – This Is The ‘Big New Threat’ To Oil Prices One week ago, we reported that even as traders were focusing on the daily headline barrage out of OPEC members discussing whether or not they would cut production (they won’t) or merely freeze it (at fresh […]

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Oil Price And Its Effect On Production

Oil Price And Its Effect On Production The JODI Oil World Database came out a few days ago. The data is through December 2015. The JODI C+C production numbers differs somewhat from the EIA numbers. The JODI OPEC numbers are crude. Also there are a few very small producers that do not report to JODI so their […]

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In Spite Of Oil Price Slump, Canadian Oil Output To Increase

In Spite Of Oil Price Slump, Canadian Oil Output To Increase It was yet another depressing headline congruent with the rest of the bad news bombarding the battered Canadian oilpatch for 15 months. On February 22 Postmedia (National Post, Calgary Herald, Edmonton Journal) carried the headline, “Canadian oil production growth could come to ‘complete standstill,’ IEA […]

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Oil Price And Its Effect On Production

Oil Price And Its Effect On Production The JODI Oil World Database came out a few days ago. The data is through December 2015. The JODI C+C production numbers differs somewhat from the EIA numbers. The JODI OPEC numbers are crude. Also there are a few very small producers that do not report to JODI so their […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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