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Turkey & the Real Risk of a Debt Crisis

Turkey & the Real Risk of a Debt Crisis  The Treasury and Finance Ministry of Turkey announced that the country’s net external debt stock totaled $286.2 billion going into the end of the 3rd quarter of 2018. The country’s net external debt stock to its gross domestic product (GDP) ratio was 34.4% at the end of […]

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IMF Hands $4.2 billion in loans for Ecuador for Julian Assange

IMF Hands $4.2 billion in loans for Ecuador for Julian Assange  The evidence of political pressure on Ecuador is surfacing. The IMF Executive Board Approved US$4.2 Billion  (435% of quota and SDR 3.035 billion) Extended Fund Facility for Ecuador. The Executive Board agreed to this arrangement with strings attached. The Board’s decision enables the immediate disbursement of […]

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Fear of Inflation & Sterilization

Fear of Inflation & Sterilization  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; you were friends with Milton Friedman. Do you agree with his view that the Great Depression was caused in part by the Fed refusing to expand the money supply? Isn’t Quantitative Easing expanding the money supply yet it too has failed to create inflation. Would you comment on […]

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Why Has Everything Turned Sour? Is it the Press? Or is the Press Part of the Cycle?

Why Has Everything Turned Sour? Is it the Press? Or is the Press Part of the Cycle?  QUESTION: Hello Mr. Armstrong,I´d like your opinion on this,During 7 Decades in which our lives got better, longer, richer, safer, healthier, better educated, more peaceful and more stimulating. Even World poverty has decreased in a rate never seen before, […]

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Debt & the Point of No Return

Debt & the Point of No Return  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; First I want to thank you for coming to Europe this year. It has been some time since your Berlin Conference. My question is simple. How can the ECB tell countries to reduce their debt when as you say nobody ever pays off the debt? Is […]

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The Perfect Financial Storm

The Perfect Financial Storm  COMMENT: Martin, Have read the two blogs on the Emerging Markets. Hit like a cold bucket of ice water. Knew something was coming from all your writings and the EMC, but Wow. Right in front of us. Here is an observation, a thought:Emerging Markets could turn out to be the Sub-Prime of […]

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Trump – Israel – Putin – Middle East

Trump – Israel – Putin – Middle East  The interesting aspect of our war models has been that this cycle turned up in 2014 and we really do not reach the point of a major peak before 2022/2023. Back in 2015, we published a segment on the rising tensions that would emerge in the Middle […]

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Climate Change: Real – Fake – Exaggerated?

Climate Change: Real – Fake – Exaggerated?  QUESTION: I find it interesting that you are against human-induced global warming yet you confirm that climate change is natural. You seem to be in the middle of these arguments. You warned that solar activity was declining and there was a risk of going into a mini ice-age, but you […]

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2019 is Breaking All Records for Cold – The Real Threat is a Global Freeze

2019 is Breaking All Records for Cold – The Real Threat is a Global Freeze  QUESTION: Global cooling….you talk a lot about global cooling in the colder winter this year. But what effect does it have on the future summer temperatures and growing of crops? GL ANSWER: This type of climate change has the potential to be […]

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At Last – Solar Minimum Discussions Begin

At Last – Solar Minimum Discussions Begin  COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong; You are the only one with your computer that has correctly forecast the weather years in advance. I understand these are not some premonition of you on a personal level. That means putting the major trends together as you do actually produce results. My hat’s off to […]

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The European Crisis of Philosophy is the Destruction of the European Union

The European Crisis of Philosophy is the Destruction of the European Union  The entire project of creating the Euro was a means to allow Northern Europe to effectively takeover Southern Europe and impose its philosophy in a totally one-sided arrangement. I have stated plenty of times that all the debts of member states should have […]

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New Monetary Theory is Like Sleepwalking

New Monetary Theory is Like Sleepwalking  QUESTION: Bernie Sanders was basing his whole economic proposal to just keep spending and make everything free. They seem to be teaching this in school now. This macroeconomic theory whereby a country’s spending is only constrained not by revenue in taxes but by inflation when it creates a sovereign currency. […]

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The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast

The Business Cycle & Why They Pretend it Cannot be Forecast  QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have studied you Economic Confidence Model and found it to be extremely accurate in forecasting the business cycle. When I showed it to my professor here at ——— he responded that itis impossible to forecast the business cycle. He would not […]

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Revolution – Why it is Always Inevitable?

Revolution – Why it is Always Inevitable?  COMMENT: Mr. Armstrong, I just went to see Les Miserables with my wife. I was really moved for it was indeed how history repeats. It just seems we always end up in the same position because government never changes. PB ANSWER: Unfortunately, socialistic governments pretend that they are taking your money for […]

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Professor Jordan on Climate Change – the Reality 

Professor Jordan on Climate Change – the Reality 

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