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When Fake Money Becomes Scarce

When Fake Money Becomes Scarce Remaining Focused A rousing display of diversions this week assured the American populace was looking every which way but right under its collective nose.  Midterm elections.  White House spats with purveyors of fake news.  The forced resignation of Attorney General Sessions…   Old drug warrior (otherwise recused) on his way […]

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Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt

Global GDP Still Propped Up By A Massive Amount Of Debt While the government agencies and economists continue to publish strong GDP figures, they seem to overlook how much debt it took to produce that growth.  Or should I say, the “supposed growth.”  The days of adding one dollar of debt to get one dollar […]

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From Economic Crisis to World War III

Andrew Lichtenstein/Corbis via Getty Images From Economic Crisis to World War III The response to the 2008 economic crisis has relied far too much on monetary stimulus, in the form of quantitative easing and near-zero (or even negative) interest rates, and included far too little structural reform. This means that the next crisis could come […]

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Here are all the ways inflation is happening today

Here are all the ways inflation is happening today Something strange happened in the markets last month that signals trouble ahead… When stocks fell from their September highs, you would have expected investors to run for cover in the world’s safe-haven asset – US Treasurys. But that’s not what happened. While stocks were plunging, Treasurys […]

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Bundesbank warns of Coming Pension Crisis

Bundesbank warns of Coming Pension Crisis The Bundesbank has come out warning that there is a German pension crisis. They have proposed that states raise the pension tax and that they should gradually increase the retirement age because the life expectancy in the future has risen. Central Bank President, Jens Weidmann, has stated that he is generally in […]

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Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007

Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007 In what was incredibly appropriate timing given the ‘shocktober’ market blowup, Bloomberg News invited “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb to its set on Halloween for a discussion about the increasingly fragile market ecosystem in which we all reside, and the mounting […]

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The Fed Crying Has Begun

The Fed Crying Has Begun So stocks dropped a little in October. Ok they actually dropped a lot and all of a sudden the S&P 500 was miles away from the all those optimistic 3,000+ year end targets. And what happens when stocks drop hard? Bulls cry for the Fed to come to the rescue. […]

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Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession

Europe More Than Europe: From ‘Boom’ To The Precipice of Recession Data dependent, they claim. They aren’t. Mario Draghi at his last press conference admitted, “incoming information, [is] somewhat weaker than expected.” There is so much riding on the word “somewhat.” Because of the weasel, the head of the ECB told the assembled media policy […]

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Expect the Fed to Pause if Volatility Continues

Expect the Fed to Pause if Volatility Continues It’s a good thing October is coming to an end. It’s been a particularly lousy month for the markets. October has seen about $5 trillion in value erased from global markets. Reasons for that sell-off range from fear over Fed rate hikes, trade wars, elections and buyback […]

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How Politicians Are Creating the Worst Economic Crash in History

How Politicians Are Creating the Worst Economic Crash in History Politicians have totally and completely misunderstood the trends within the global economy and as a result, they are actually creating one of the worst economic debacles in history. I have explained several times that the bulk of investment capital is tied up in two primary […]

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The Corporate Debt Bubble

The Corporate Debt Bubble The largest asset bubbles occur while economic growth and inflation remain positive, but subdued, for extended periods of time.  According to its dual mandate, the Federal Reserve focuses primarily on growth and price stability, and tends to ignore the creation of asset bubbles as long as economic activity is not running […]

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Peter Schiff: The Rising Interest Rates Will Collapse The Stock Market

Peter Schiff: The Rising Interest Rates Will Collapse The Stock Market Economic guru Peter Schiff is sounding more economic alarms. This time, without mincing words, he says that the Federal Reserve’s raising of the interest rates will cause a stock market collapse. Euro Pacific Capital CEO Peter Schiff and Steven Quirk, the executive vice president […]

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Not Waving But Drowning–Stocks, Debt and Inflation?

NOT WAVING BUT DROWNING – STOCKS, DEBT AND INFLATION? The US stock market is close to being in a corrective phase -10% off its highs Global debt has passed $63trln – well above the levels on 2007 Interest rates are still historically low, especially given the point in the economic cycle Predictions of a bear-market […]

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Trump Is Right, the Fed Is Crazy

Trump Is Right, the Fed Is Crazy President Trump recently called the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes crazy. Leaving aside President Trump’s specific complaint, which is likely motivated by the belief that low rates will help him win reelection, he is right that “crazy” is a good way to describe the Federal Reserve. When not […]

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The Wolf Street Report

THE WOLF STREET REPORT When will the Fed buckle? In this podcast, I ask: Where are interest rates headed, when will the Fed buckle, and who are the new winners and losers? (10 minutes) “Everyone is worried where things are headed.” Read…  Fed’s Medicine “Gradually” Pricking the Commercial Real Estate Bubble?

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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