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A History of Inflationary Money: From 1844 to Nixon

A History of Inflationary Money: From 1844 to Nixon So that we can understand the financial and banking challenges ahead of us, this article provides an historical and technical background. But we must first get an important definition right, and that is the cause of the periodic cycle of boom and bust. The cycle of […]

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Is Inflation Really Under Control

Is Inflation Really Under Control Recently, analysts have been discussing the pros and cons of using negative interest rates to keep the U.S. economy growing.  Despite this, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that he does not anticipate the Federal Reserve will implement a policy of negative interest rates as it may be detrimental to […]

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Costs Are Spiraling Out of Control

Costs Are Spiraling Out of Control And how do we pay for these spiraling out of control costs? By borrowing more, of course.  If we had to choose one “big picture” reason why the vast majority of households are losing ground, it would be: the costs of essentials are spiraling out of control. I’ve often […]

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Inflation Is Coming: All the Trends That Were Deflationary Are Slowly Going in Reverse

Inflation Is Coming: All the Trends That Were Deflationary Are Slowly Going in Reverse But of all potential economic outcomes, the one least anticipated and least priced in, is an uptick in inflation. Investing is all about probabilities. If the perceived odds of an event are high, certain securities will be priced based on those […]

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Inflation Is Coming…

Inflation Is Coming… Investing is all about probabilities. If the perceived odds of an event are high, certain securities will be priced based on those expected probabilities. The corollary is that when an event is perceived as almost impossible, securities do not price in any chance of it occurring. If that event does occur, all […]

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Federal Reserve Proposes New Rule To Let Inflation Run “Hot” Ahead Of Next Recession

Federal Reserve Proposes New Rule To Let Inflation Run “Hot” Ahead Of Next Recession   As the Federal Reserve remains unable to stoke inflation (because it refuses to measure it correctly) and refuses to factor in asset price inflation… … it has now considered launching a new rule that would let inflation run above its 2% […]

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Ex-BOJ Chief Regrets Not Hiking, Hated QE, Says Sub-1% Interest Rates Don’t Work

Ex-BOJ Chief Regrets Not Hiking, Hated QE, Says Sub-1% Interest Rates Don’t Work Things are going from bad to worse in Japan: 7 years after BOJ chief Kuroda launched QQE (subsequently with yield curve control) while monetizing tens of billions in ETFs, the central banks has failed to boost either Japan’s economy or its inflation, […]

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Doug Casey on the Destruction of the Dollar

Doug Casey on the Destruction of the Dollar “Inflation” occurs when the creation of currency outruns the creation of real wealth it can bid for… It isn’t caused by price increases; rather, it causes price increases. Inflation is not caused by the butcher, the baker, or the auto maker, although they usually get blamed. On […]

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China’s Credit Creation Unexpectedly Collapses At The Worst Possible Time

China’s Credit Creation Unexpectedly Collapses At The Worst Possible Time Over the weekend, we observed that China’s slumping wholesale inflation, or PPI, which is so critical for corporate profits and sparking benign, demand-driven inflation in the economy, and which in October tumbled to a three year low assuring that Chinese dumping and exports of deflation will only further […]

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The World Has Gone Mad and the System Is Broken

The World Has Gone Mad and the System Is Broken I say these things because: Money is free for those who are creditworthy because the investors who are giving it to them are willing to get back less than they give. More specifically investors lending to those who are creditworthy will accept very low or negative […]

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Central Banks Are Just Getting Warmed Up

Central Banks Are Just Getting Warmed Up According to all central banks, one of the main problems they are called to solve is that countries cannot reach their inflation target of (close to but below) 2 percent. Even their religious trust in the long-discredited Phillips curve cannot explain why price inflation is low in many countries despite […]

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Economists Puzzled By Surge In US Money Supply

Economists Puzzled By Surge In US Money Supply Summary: Uncertainty incites a dash to cash, which we’ve seen at an accelerated pace beginning about five months ago, amounting to $887.4B; In the two weeks ended September 30th, MZM rose by $158.1B, a figure that has only been eclipsed in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 Declining […]

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An Inflationary Depression

An Inflationary Depression  Financial markets are ignoring bearish developments in international trade, which coincide with the end of a long expansionary phase for credit. Both empirical evidence from the one occasion these conditions existed in the past and reasoned theory suggest the consequences of this collective folly will be enormous, undermining both financial asset values […]

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The Importance Of A Resilient Life

The Importance Of A Resilient Life In the end, it will mean all the difference My business partner Adam and I recently met with a successful business owner whose career began on Wall Street. The kind of guy who should be rooting for the system, because it has treated him well. Instead, he was quite […]

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Russia Considers Possibility Of $25 Oil Next Year

Russia Considers Possibility Of $25 Oil Next Year Russia is considering the notion that oil prices may be as low as $25 per barrel in 2020, the country’s central bank said in its new forecast published on Monday, as cited by Reuters. Russia’s Central Bank has forecast in its macroeconomic forecast that oil could possibly hit […]

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