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Shale Euphoria: The Boom and Bust of Sub Prime Oil and Natural Gas
Shale Euphoria: The Boom and Bust of Sub Prime Oil and Natural Gas Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first send mad Introduction The aim of this article is to show that the shale industry, whether extracting oil or gas, has never been financially sustainable. All around the world it has consistently disappointed […]
We Need the Pain that Comes with More Saving
We Need the Pain that Comes with More Saving The endgame of monetary side manipulations is upon us. Since 2008, central banks have done what they thought was needed to bring the markets back from the pain they experienced during the crash. The problem, of course, is that these Keynesians and Monetarists placed the high […]
Can We See a Bubble If We’re Inside the Bubble?
Can We See a Bubble If We’re Inside the Bubble? We want this time to be different so badly, we can almost taste it. If you visit San Francisco, you will find it difficult to walk more than a few blocks in central S.F. without encountering a major construction project. It seems that every decrepit low-rise […]
Are We Headed for Another Bust?
Are We Headed for Another Bust? On Wednesday December 16, 2015, Federal Reserve Bank policymakers raised the federal funds rate target by 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent for the first time since December 2008. There is the possibility that the target could be lifted gradually to 1.25 percent by December next year. Fed policymakers have […]
It Is Different This Time——–Now Comes The Global CapEx Depression
It Is Different This Time——–Now Comes The Global CapEx Depression Caterpillar (CAT) posted a disastrous 16% decline in worldwide retail sales this morning, meaning that its sales have now fallen for 35 straight months. As Zero Hedge noted, not only did US retail sales finally rollover and drop by 8% compared to prior year, but the rest of the world was a veritable bath […]
Can We Afford the Future?
Can We Afford the Future? Broken road image via shutterstock. Reproduced at Resilience.org with permission. As a child of the 1950s I grew up immersed in a near-universal expectation of progress. Everybody expected a shiny new future; the only thing that might have prevented us from having it was nuclear war, and thankfully that hasn’t happened […]
The Commodity Roller Coaster
The Commodity Roller Coaster CAMBRIDGE – The global commodity super-cycle is hardly a new phenomenon. Though the details vary, primary commodity exporters tend to act out the same story, and economic outcomes tend to follow recognizable patterns. But the element of predictability in the path of the commodity-price cycle, like that in the course of […]
The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom
The Global Test Most Will Fail: Surviving the Bust That Inevitably Follows a Boom Now that virtually every nation is entering the bust phase, all are being tested. Booms powered by credit, new markets and speculation are followed by busts as night follows day. This creates a very difficult test for every nation-state facing the inevitable […]
Here Comes the Next Global Recession
Here Comes the Next Global Recession It might seem peculiar to some people to talk about the ‘next’ global recession, given that it doesn’t feel like we ever really got out of the last one. Eight years on from the global financial crash we find that the global economy is still drowning in debt, and […]
Austrian Economics, Monetary Freedom, and America’s Economic Roller Coaster
Austrian Economics, Monetary Freedom, and America’s Economic Roller Coaster For over a decade, now, the American economy has been on an economic rollercoaster, of an economic boom between 2003 and 2008, followed by a severe economic downturn, and with a historically slow and weak recovery starting in 2009 up to the present. Before the dramatic […]
5 signs of trouble for Saskatchewan’s economy in oil slump
5 signs of trouble for Saskatchewan’s economy in oil slump Many said province could withstand economic blows from oil and gas, but there are troubling signs When crude oil prices began to plummet, economists comforted Saskatchewan residents that their diversified economy would safeguard them during the oil and gas slump. In fact, Saskatchewan’s economy isn’t […]
URGENT WARNING: 6 Signs the Great Crash Is Upon Us!
URGENT WARNING: 6 Signs the Great Crash Is Upon Us! The Greek default proves that all this endless quantitative easing idiocy couldn’t live up to the promises. It has proved unable to create sustainable long-term recoveries in highly indebted developed countries with poor demographic trends. The Greek parliament caved into totally repulsive demands, as I said […]
Three Reasons Why US Shale Isn’t Going Anywhere
Three Reasons Why US Shale Isn’t Going Anywhere Have you ever noticed that during extreme economic cycles, when trends are roaring on the upside, or conversely crashing back down to earth, there often appears an air of extremism in news headlines? Take America’s most recent shale oil boom, and bust, for example. On the way […]
Japan Is Writing History As A Prime Boom And Bust Case | Gold Silver Worlds
Japan Is Writing History As A Prime Boom And Bust Case | Gold Silver Worlds. Recently, we wrote a paper about the dynamics behind the boom and bust cycles, based on the view of the Austrian School (the Austrian Business Cycle Theory, or ABCT). The key takeaway was that central banks don’t help in smoothing […]