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Gold Standard and Boom Bust Cycles
GOLD STANDARD AND BOOM BUST CYCLES According to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT), the boom-bust cycle emerges in response to a deviation in the market interest rate from the natural interest rate, or the equilibrium interest rate. It is held that the major cause for this deviation is increases in the money supply. Based […]
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan
All That’s Missing Is a Black Swan “There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as the result of a voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the […]
Peter Schiff: The Bigger the Boom, the Bigger the Bust (Video)
Peter Schiff: The Bigger the Boom, the Bigger the Bust (Video) During the New Orleans Investment Conference, Peter Schiff participated in a panel discussion with Ben Hunt and Mike Larson. They talked about bubbles, booms and busts. Hunt called it the “bubble of everything.” But he said the “gravitational force” created by all of the […]
There’s a New Crash Coming
There’s a New Crash Coming Donald Trump is the epitome of irrational exuberance. You might remember that phrase from the 1990s. Alan Greenspan, the head of the Federal Reserve at the time, was describing how the tech boom was creating a bubble by generating enthusiasm way out of proportion to the actual value of the […]
Honest Work for Dishonest Pay
Honest Work for Dishonest Pay Misadventures and Mishaps Over the past decade, in the wake of the 2008-09 debt crisis, the impossible has happened. The sickness of too much debt has been seemingly cured with massive dosages of even more debt. This, no doubt, is evidence that there are wonders and miracles above and beyond […]
Yellen Wants Fed to Commit to Future Booms to Make Up for Busts
Yellen Wants Fed to Commit to Future Booms to Make Up for Busts Former Fed Chair Yellen promotes “Lower for Longer”, a policy in which the Fed knowingly keeps interest rates too low. Here’s the asinine policy proposal of the day: Fed Should Commit to Future ‘Booms’ to Make Up for Major Busts. The U.S. […]
All Is Not Well In Financial Markets
All Is Not Well In Financial Markets It seems to be a hard time for those expressing concern about the build-up of risks in the economic and financial system: the major economies in the world are expanding at a decent clip, credit default concerns are very low, and stock and housing prices keep going up, […]
Booming Stocks, Booming Home Prices, Booming Risk of Collapse
Booming Stocks, Booming Home Prices, Booming Risk of Collapse The American Dream of home ownership is once again on its death bed. Home prices have dramatically increased in price, rising from their 2012 lows by a stunning 75%, with the average median home price now resting at $245,000! This is up 4.5% over the last […]
Living Dangerously
Living Dangerously Regular readers of Goldmoney’s Insights should be aware by now that the cycle of business activity is fuelled by monetary policy, and that the periodic booms and slumps experienced since monetary policy has been used in an attempt to manage economic outcomes are the result of monetary policy itself. The link between interest […]
The Myth That Central Banks Assure Economic Stability
THE MYTH THAT CENTRAL BANKS ASSURE ECONOMIC STABILITY The world has been plagued with periodic bouts of the economic rollercoaster of booms and busts, inflations and recessions, especially during the last one hundred years. The main culprits responsible for these destabilizing and disruptive episodes have been governments and their central banks. They have monopolized the […]
Austrian Economics Is Essential to Understand Booms, Busts, and Money Itself
Austrian Economics Is Essential to Understand Booms, Busts, and Money Itself The boom-and-bust business cycle is a natural result of free-market capitalism, but rather of government intervention. Looking to the next few years, will America and the world continue to ride a wave of economic growth, improved living standards, and technological changes that raise the […]
When Will the Next Credit Crisis Occur?
WHEN WILL THE NEXT CREDIT CRISIS OCCUR? The timing of any credit crisis is set by the rate at which the credit cycle progresses. People don’t think in terms of the credit cycle, wrongly believing it is a business cycle. The distinction is important, because a business cycle by its name suggests it emanates from […]
How Easy Money Is Rotting America from the Inside-Out
How Easy Money Is Rotting America from the Inside-Out How much of our gleaming new infrastructure will fall into disrepair? The Federal Reserve has been the main cause of business cycles in America since 1913. For several decades, it has tried to hide the consequences of its policies by enabling easy credit during each recession. […]
The Fed’s Great Unwind: Will It Sink Us?
THE FED’S GREAT UNWIND: WILL IT SINK US? In the eyes of many people, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is an indispensable institution. We are told it supports growth and employment, fends off the negative shocks, and fights inflation. Nothing could be farther from the truth. The Fed’s fiat money regime is economically and socially highly […]
Western Mistakes, Remade in China
Western Mistakes, Remade in China SHANGHAI – The Chinese economy faces an enormously challenging transition. To achieve its goal of joining the world’s high-income countries, the government has rightly urged a “decisive role for the market.” But, while market competition works well in many sectors, banking is different. Indeed, over the last seven years, China’s […]