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The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade
The Fed’s Most Convenient Lie: A CPI Charade Despite a penchant for double-speak that would make a politician blush, the Fed tells us that its primary focus is unemployment not inflation. Let me remind readers, however, that an openly nervous Mr. Powell came out in the summer of 2020 with a specific, as well as […]
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic
Stagflation Subterfuge: The Real Disaster Hidden By The Pandemic In recent economic news, headlines are being dominated by concerns over rising bond yields. Increased bond yields are a sign of a possible spike in inflation and, logically, they call for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in order to prevent that inflation. Higher bond yields […]
Weekly Commentary: Regime Change
Weekly Commentary: Regime Change Ten-year Treasury yields closed out a tumultuous week at 1.41% bps, pulling back after Thursday’s spike to a one-year high 1.61%. Ten-year Treasury yields are now up 49 bps from the start of the year and almost 100 bps (1 percentage point) off August 2020 lows. More dramatic, five-year yields jumped […]
Jerome von Havenstein: Inflation Or Bust
Jerome von Havenstein: Inflation Or Bust This week brought forth new evidence that – to be perfectly frank – we’re all screwed. On Thursday, the yield on the 10 year Treasury note topped 1.55 percent. Subsequently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, after hitting an all-time high on Wednesday, dropped 559 points. Wall Street must not […]
The Outage at the Federal Reserve
The Outage at the Federal Reserve The outage of the National Settlement Service and the Fedwire Securities Service, which provides issuance, settlement, and transfer services for Treasuries and other government securities, was down and this has caused some concern and then conspiracy theories mixed in. The Fed made progress reversing the shutdown within a couple […]
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets
Yellen Challenges Powell’s Unlimited Control of the Markets Source: Federal Reserve The Fed attempts to maintain control of various rates (including inflation, unemployment and long-term interest rates) through its monetary policy decisions. In the past, poor choices arguably led to both the dot-com bubble and the Great Recession. But that’s old news. Today, Fed Chairman […]
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion?
Who Bought the $4.5 Trillion Added in One Year to the Incredibly Spiking US National Debt, Now at $27.9 Trillion? Someone had to buy every dollar of this monstrous debt. Here’s Who. The Fed isn’t the only one. But China continues to unwind its holdings. Driven by stimulus and bailouts, and fired up by the […]
Federal Reserve & Fake Conspiracies
Federal Reserve & Fake Conspiracies QUESTION: I found your history of the Federal Reserve very insightful which nobody else has put together. Can you explain your comment that the ECB could go bankrupt but not the Fed? Thank you very much. HB ANSWER: Here is a full set of $1 bills with each issued by its respective […]
Crazy days for money
Crazy days for money This article anticipates the end of the fiat currency regime and argues why its replacement can only be gold and silver, most likely in the form of fiat money turned into gold substitutes. It explains why the current fashion for cryptocurrencies, led by bitcoin, are unsuited as future mediums of exchange, […]
The Foundation for Potential Price Hyperinflation is Being Laid
The Foundation for Potential Price Hyperinflation is Being Laid The Federal Reserve sure seems to have a tough time finding and reporting signs of rising inflation — especially when it’s hidden in other sectors like a lack of demand for energy. A recent example of the Fed’s “inflation blindness” comes from a speech Chairman Jerome Powell gave […]
Rabobank: You Only See How Stable A System Really Is By Pushing It To Its Limits
Rabobank: You Only See How Stable A System Really Is By Pushing It To Its Limits “Stonks” and “Burneds” We are, it is now being widely decried, in the middle of a “stonk” bubble. The Financial Times(!) is carrying an article calling on the Federal Reserve to stop its easy money; and Bloomberg(!) has strategy […]
Fed’s Near-Zero Rates Might Sound Good (Until This Happens)
Fed’s Near-Zero Rates Might Sound Good (Until This Happens) In some cases, the idea of a “near-zero interest rate” is a good thing. For example, if you qualify for 0% interest when you buy a car, you save money. But it’s much different when your retirement savings depends on getting a return on investment (ROI). In that case, near-zero […]
Rabobank: The Everything Bubble Has Become More Everything And More Bubble
Rabobank: The Everything Bubble Has Become More Everything And More Bubble Oh-No-Bi-Wan Kenobi For those who haven’t seen it –and I accept there are now probably many readers who haven’t– there is a classic scene in the first Star Wars film (Episode IV) in which Jedi Master Obi-Wan Kenobi tells his villainous duelling opponent, his […]
The U.S. Dollar Could Be Nearing Its “End Game”
The U.S. Dollar Could Be Nearing Its “End Game” From foreign countries trying to dethrone the dollar’s hegemony as global reserve currency, all the way to rising inflation weakening it… the U.S. dollar is in trouble. Pundits like Jim Rickards said (back in 2016): “The dollar won’t lose its reserve currency status overnight” — and he was right. But a new […]
