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ECB – Draghi & Tapering

ECB – Draghi & Tapering The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to begin reducing its bond purchases gradually tampering its stimulation program of Quantitative Easing (QE). Nevertheless, reliable sources tell of the ECB being extremely cautious fearing what will happen if buyers do not appear and rates begin to rise sharply. The difference between […]

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Jackson Hole and the Appalachians

Jackson Hole and the Appalachians Henri Cartier-Bresson Trafalgar Square on the Day of the Coronation of George VI 1937  The Jackson Hole gathering of central bankers and other economics big shots is on again. They all still like themselves very much. Apart from a pesky inflation problem that none of them can get a grip […]

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Did the Economy Just Stumble Off a Cliff?

Did the Economy Just Stumble Off a Cliff? The signs are everywhere for those willing to look: something has changed beneath the surface of complacent faith in permanent growth. This is more intuitive than quantitative, but my gut feeling is that the economy just stumbled off a cliff. Neither the cliff edge nor the fatal misstep […]

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Draghi: Trillions In QE Have Made Economies “More Resilient”

Draghi: Trillions In QE Have Made Economies “More Resilient” When last night we previewed this week’s annual Jackson Hole symposium at which Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak just before the market close on Friday, we said that the ECB head is warming up for the trip by speaking at the Lindau economics symposium in […]

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Bill Blain: There Is A “Last Days Of Rome” Feel To The News These Days…

Bill Blain: There Is A “Last Days Of Rome” Feel To The News These Days… By Bill Blain of Mint Partners Blain’s Morning Porridge – August 22nd 2017 “”Forty-two,” said Deep Thought, with infinite majesty and calm.… ” I’m wondering if I’ve stumbled into a parallel universe after coming back to the office yesterday. Its […]

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Stock & Bond Markets in Denial about QE Unwind, but Banks, Treasury Dept Get Antsy

Stock & Bond Markets in Denial about QE Unwind, but Banks, Treasury Dept Get Antsy “Let markets clear.” It’ll be just “a financial engineering shock.” Stock and bond markets are in denial about the effects of the Fed’s forthcoming QE unwind, whose kick-off is getting closer by the day, according to the minutes of the […]

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Central Banks ARE The Crisis

Central Banks ARE The Crisis Walter Langley Never morning wore to evening but some heart did break 1894If there’s one myth -and there are many- that we should invalidate in the cross-over world of politics and economics, it‘s that central banks have saved us from a financial crisis. It’s a carefully construed myth, but it’s […]

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The American Dream, Twice Removed

The American Dream, Twice Removed Vincent van Gogh Corridor In The Asylum 1889   Nicole Foss is in Christchurch, New Zealand right now for the Living Economies Expo, and sent me, I’m still in Athens, Greece, a piece written by yet another longtime Automatic Earth reader, Helen Loughrey (keep ’em coming!), who describes her efforts […]

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Reagan Adviser: Why Trump Won’t Cut Taxes

Reagan Adviser: Why Trump Won’t Cut Taxes The mules of Wall Street were back at it again, buying the dips after the overnight whoosh downward in the futures market. Apparently, it will take an actual two-by-four between the eyes to break a habit that has been working for 96 months now since the March 2009 […]

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Banks Are Evil

Barandash Karandashich/Shutterstock Banks Are Evil It’s time to get painfully honest about this  I don’t talk to my classmates from business school anymore, many of whom went to work in the financial industry. Why? Because, through the lens we use here at PeakProsperity.com to look at the world, I’ve increasingly come to see the financial […]

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China Accounts For Half Of All Global Debt Created Since 2005: Here Are The Implications

China Accounts For Half Of All Global Debt Created Since 2005: Here Are The Implications Over three years ago, in November 2013, when the world’s attention was still largely focused on what the “Big 4” central banks would do with QE and/or interest rates, we wrote an article showing in one simple chart  “How In Five Short […]

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Is an Inflation Comeback in the Works?

Is an Inflation Comeback in the Works?  Exterminating Angel LOVINGSTON, VIRGINIA – Amid all the sound and fury of the Trump news cycle, hardly anyone noticed. There is a specter haunting this economy. It is the specter of inflation… See, if you want to whip inflation now, you don’t need to do any of the really […]

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A Murderous Complacency

A Murderous Complacency Dark omens are circling everywhere in today’s markets murder: a flock of crows ~ Miriam-Webster dictionary Many view the appearance of crows as an omen of death because ravens and crows are scavengers and are generally associated with dead bodies, battlefields, and cemeteries, and they’re thought to circle in large numbers above sites where […]

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Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall 70-90% Within 3 Years

Harry Dent: Stocks Will Fall 70-90% Within 3 Years Creating the buying opportunity of a lifetime  Economist and cycle trend forecaster Harry Dent sees crushing deflation ahead for nearly every financial asset class. We are at the nexus of a concurrent series of downtrends in the four most important predictive trends he tracks. Laying out […]

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2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal)

2017’s Real Milestone (Or Why Interest Rates Can Never Go Back To Normal) Forget about NAFTA or OPEC or TPP or crowd size or hand size or any other acronym or stat or concept that obsesses the financial press these days. Only two numbers actually matter. The first is $20 trillion, which is the level […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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