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The EIA’s Optimistic Outlook

The EIA’s Optimistic Outlook Most of the data below is taken from from the EIA’s Short-Term Energy Outlook. The data through February, 2019 is the EIA’s best estimate of past production and all data from March 2019 through December 2020 is the EIA’s best estimate of future production. However in most cases February production is highly […]

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Is This A Precursor For Peak Oil Demand?

Is This A Precursor For Peak Oil Demand? The $1 trillion sovereign wealth fund of Norway may sell off all of its shares in oil producers. The move is a shot across the bow for the oil industry. A $1 trillion fund, built on oil itself, now sees the future of oil as too risky. […]

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12 Empty Supertankers Tell Us Everything We Need To Know About The Oil Market

12 Empty Supertankers Tell Us Everything We Need To Know About The Oil Market As the US battles with its OPEC+ rivals over the direction of global oil prices (Trump wants to keep oil prices subdued, while Saudi Arabia and Russia, reeling from years of prices too low to balance their budgets, are desperately hoping […]

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Oil Markets Could See Deficit In 2019

Oil Markets Could See Deficit In 2019 The oil supply surplus is “starting to reverse,” according to a new report from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The investment bank noted that oil prices had collapsed in late 2018 not only because of an oversupply problem, but also because of other “non-fundamental factors,” including the selloff […]

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There’s No Sugarcoating Canada’s Oil Crisis

There’s No Sugarcoating Canada’s Oil Crisis Has financial disaster been averted in Canada’s oil and gas industry? ‘Disaster’ is all relative. Let’s just say 2019 is going to be a difficult year following a tough set of recent circumstances. One thing we know is that the recent episode of bargain-basement commodity prices—triggered by a regional […]

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Canada’s Crude Oil Production Cuts Are Unsustainable

Canada’s Crude Oil Production Cuts Are Unsustainable In an attempt to combat a ballooning oil glut and dramatically plummeting prices, the premier of Alberta Rachel Notley introduced an unprecedented measure at the beginning of December when she is mandating that oil companies in her province cut production. This directive was particularly surprising in the context […]

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The Shale Oil Revolution Actually Reflects a Nation in Decline

Shutterstock The Shale Oil Revolution Actually Reflects a Nation in Decline Faster consumption + no strategy = diminished prospects Here in the opening month of 2019, as the US consumes itself with hot debate over a border wall, far more important topics are being ignored completely. Take US energy policy. In the US press and […]

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Oil’s Wild Price Swings Set to Create Global Chaos

Oil’s Wild Price Swings Set to Create Global Chaos Volatility is here to stay — and the political and economic implications will touch us all. Oil once gushed from the ground for drillers, like these workers in Port Arthur, Texas, in 1901. Now costly fracking and oilsands mining produces lower-quality oil at far higher costs. […]

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“Energy Dominance,” what does it mean? Decoding a Fashionable Slogan

“Energy Dominance,” what does it mean? Decoding a Fashionable Slogan “Now, I know for a fact that American energy dominance is within our grasp as a nation.” Ryan Zinke, U.S. Secretary of the Interior (source) “All Warfare is Based on Deception” Sun Tzu, “The Art of War” Over nearly a half-century, since the time of […]

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The Battle For Syria’s Oil Region

The Battle For Syria’s Oil Region The Syrian Civil War has gone through several phases over the course of seven years and it now appears to be entering another one. Government forces have regained control over much of Syria with Russian air support and Iranian ground forces. Only Idlib and the territories east of the […]

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IEA Chief: U.S. Oil Output To Near Saudi+Russian Production By 2025

IEA Chief: U.S. Oil Output To Near Saudi+Russian Production By 2025 Total U.S. oil production around 2025 will almost equal the combined production of Russia and Saudi Arabia, Fatih Birol, the Executive Director of the International Energy Agency (IEA), told Turkish state-run Anadolu Agency on Friday. The huge growth in U.S. shale production will completely […]

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Interest Rate Hike Hits Oil Hard

Interest Rate Hike Hits Oil Hard Oil prices have been slammed over the past week, dragged down by a variety of forces, including soaring U.S. shale production, higher-than-expected output from Russia, and worries about global demand. On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve decided to pile on. The central bank hiked interest rates by a quarter-point […]

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Shale Under Pressure As Oil Falls Below $50

Shale Under Pressure As Oil Falls Below $50 The OPEC+ cuts still are not doing very much to boost oil prices, dashing hopes for many U.S. shale producers. With companies in the process of formulating their budgets for 2019, the prospect of $50 oil sticking around raises questions about the heady production figures expected from […]

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The Impact of OPEC on Climate Change

The Impact of OPEC on Climate Change It is accepted that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is a cartel that restrains oil production and keeps prices higher than they would otherwise be. Indeed, this is the premise behind the “OPEC Accountability Act of 2018” in the US Senate. This bill would address […]

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Peak Diesel or no Peak Diesel? The Debate is Ongoing

Peak Diesel or no Peak Diesel? The Debate is Ongoing In a recent post, Antonio Turiel proposed that the global peak of diesel fuel production was reached three years ago, in 2018. Turiel’s idea is especially interesting since it takes into account the fact that what we call “oil” is actually a wide variety of […]

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