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Predicting the Future: How Good is the “Earth4All” Model?
Predicting the Future: How Good is the “Earth4All” Model? Jorgen Randers, one of the original authors of the first report to the Club of Rome, “The Limits to Growth,” of 1972. Now, he is one of the main authors of the new report to the Club, “Earth for All” This post is not meant to […]
Rickards’ Five 2024 Forecasts
Rickards’ Five 2024 Forecasts I have five forecasts for 2024 to help keep you ahead of the curve in positioning your investment portfolio. My overall forecast is that 2024 will be more tumultuous and shocking than 2023. That may seem hard to credit. With two major wars going on, an indicted former president and a […]
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXVII–The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be
Today’s Contemplation: Collapse Cometh CLXVII Tulum, Mexico (1986). Photo by author. The Future Ain’t What It Used to Be Today’s Contemplation is my brief comment on an article posted on Facebook by Tristan Sykes of Just Collapse. The article in question (short and concise) is an update of the World3 model used in creating the various scenarios […]
The Difference Between a Forecast and a Guess
The Difference Between a Forecast and a Guess Every forecast or guess has one refreshing quality: one will be right and the rest will be wrong. What’s the difference between a forecast and a guess? On one level, the answer is “none”: the future is unknown and even the most informed forecast is still a guess. The evidence for […]
#222. The Forecast Project
#222. The Forecast Project PREDICTING THE ECONOMY OF THE FUTURE In the Western world, at least, there’s an almost palpable sense of public uncertainty, anxiety and discontent which might be attributed to a variety of causes. Some ascribe it to specific issues, some to the over-reach and incompetence (or worse) of governments, and others to widening […]
The Anthropocene: Where On Earth Are We Going?
The Anthropocene: Where On Earth Are We Going?
What Will Surprise Us in 2022
What Will Surprise Us in 2022 What seemed so permanent for 13 long years will be revealed as shifting sand and what seemed so real for 13 long years will be revealed as illusion. Magical thinking isn’t optimism, it is folly. Predictions are hard, especially about the future, but let’s look at what we already […]
How To Make Better Predictions
How To Make Better Predictions By Tis the season of Wall Street predictions. How will US, European and Asian stocks do next year? How many times will the Fed increase interest rates? Where will the 10-year Treasury trade in 2022? All this got us to thinking about the process of making predictions, and that is […]
Against Doomsday Scenarios: What Is to Be Done Now?
Against Doomsday Scenarios: What Is to Be Done Now? John Bellamy Foster is the editor of Monthly Review and a professor of sociology at the University of Oregon. John Molyneux edits the Irish Marxist Review, is a member of People Before Profit, is coordinator of the Global Ecosocialist Network, and has written widely on Marxism and ecosocialism. Owen McCormack is a longstanding socialist […]
2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years
2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years
The Future Is Not a Spectator Sport
The Future Is Not a Spectator Sport Like all self-organized, adaptive systems, society moves in nonlinear ways. Even as our civilization unravels, a new ecological worldview is spreading globally. Will it become powerful enough to avert a cataclysm? None of us knows. Perhaps the Great Transition to an ecological civilization is already under way, but […]
Worried about Earth’s future? Well, the outlook is worse than even scientists can grasp
Worried about Earth’s future? Well, the outlook is worse than even scientists can grasp Anyone with even a passing interest in the global environment knows all is not well. But just how bad is the situation? Our new paper shows the outlook for life on Earth is more dire than is generally understood. The research published […]
