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Red Swan Descending
Red Swan Descending The proverbial peddlers of Florida swampland can now move over. They can’t hold a candle to the red suzerains of Beijing. The latter had drawn a line in the sand at 7.0% GDP growth. Conveniently enough, the “consensus” estimate of so-called street economists was pegged at 6.8% for Q3, thereby giving authorities one thin decimal point through which to thread a “beat” at 6.9%. By golly they did it! Even […]
Global Trade Is Collapsing As The Worldwide Economic Recession Deepens
Global Trade Is Collapsing As The Worldwide Economic Recession Deepens When the global economy is doing well, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes up, and when the global economy is in recession, the amount of stuff that is imported and exported around the world goes down. It is […]
Oil Market Showdown: Can Russia Outlast The Saudis?
Oil Market Showdown: Can Russia Outlast The Saudis? “Two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter…” Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome November 27, oil consuming countries will celebrate the first anniversary of the Saudi decision to let market forces determine prices. This decision set crude prices on a downward […]
With US Warships En Route To Islands, China Asks: “What On Earth Makes Them Think We Will Tolerate This?”
With US Warships En Route To Islands, China Asks: “What On Earth Makes Them Think We Will Tolerate This?” The US is in a tough spot militarily. In Syria, Russia and Iran have taken advantage of the fact that the plan hatched by the West and its regional allies to destabilize the Assad regime took […]
Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe
Saudis Poke The Russian Bear, Start Oil War In Eastern Europe Any weakening of Russian support for Mr. Assad could be one of the first signs that the recent tumult in the oil market is having an impact on global statecraft. Saudi officials have said publicly that the price of oil reflects only global supply […]
The Last 30 Years of Global Economic History Are About to Go Out the Window
The Last 30 Years of Global Economic History Are About to Go Out the Window Over the last 30 years, a near constant flow of cash has inundated China and other emerging markets. It has lifted those economies, pulled hundreds of millions of people out of poverty, and dictated corporate expansion plans worldwide. That wave […]
The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25%
The Latest Evidence That Global Trade Has Collapsed: India’s Exports/Imports Plunge By 25% Late last month, India surprised 51 out of 52 economists when the RBI cut rates by 50bps. Although economists have a reputation for being terrible when it comes to making predictions (getting it wrong perpetually is almost a job requirement), it’s difficult […]
IMF Warns That We Have a New Crisis Coming
IMF Warns That We Have a New Crisis Coming QUESTION: Marty; You mentioned that you met with a board member of the IMF. It certainly seems you are having a much larger impact than you may realize. The IMF is now warning of a crash. Do you think you can help reverse the trend if given […]
Macroeconomic Instability For Emerging Markets Thanks To Commodity Bust
Macroeconomic Instability For Emerging Markets Thanks To Commodity Bust The bust in commodity prices is sending ripples through the world of emerging markets. Countries depending on resource extraction and exports of commodities have run into a brick wall this year the prices collapsed for all sorts of materials – oil, gas, coal, gold, copper, and […]
China and the dollar
China and the dollar With the benefit of hindsight, the two-day devaluation of the yuan in mid-August might have been a masterstroke of strategy. China executed a financial move that appeared to undermine its own position but instead created trouble for the US; how much is still to be played out. So was the devaluation […]
Moscow Demands Britain Explain “Green Light To Shoot Down Russian Jets”
Moscow Demands Britain Explain “Green Light To Shoot Down Russian Jets” The chances of escalation from a proxy war to outright war just went to 11 on the Spinal Tap amplifier of sabre-rattling. A day after British and NATO pilots were reportedly given the green light to take drastic action against Russian fighter jets if they come under threat […]
The Endgame Takes Shape: “Banning Capitalism And Bypassing Capital Markets”
The Endgame Takes Shape: “Banning Capitalism And Bypassing Capital Markets” One month ago we presented to readers that in the first official “serious” mention of “Helicopter Money” as the next (and final) form of monetary stimulus, Australia’s Macquarie Bank said that there is now about 12-18 months before this “unorthodox” policy is implemented. We also predicted that […]
