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From Horsepower to Horse Power. When Trucks stop, Horses start.

From Horsepower to Horse Power. When Trucks stop, Horses start. Preface. Before the industrial revolution there were only four sources of mechanical power of any economic significance. They were human labor, animal labor, water power (near flowing streams) and wind power.   Work done by animals, especially on farms, was still important at the beginning of […]

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Challenges to the Integration of Renewable Resources at High System Penetration

Challenges to the Integration of Renewable Resources at High System Penetration Preface.  This overview of challenges for wind and solar written in 2010 is still true today. We are far from being able to reach even a 50% renewable grid (excluding hydropower from the total) given the lack of storage, the problem that the best […]

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Vaclav Smil. Making the modern world: materials and dematerialization

Vaclav Smil. Making the modern world: materials and dematerialization Preface.  I can’t believe I read this book, it is just a long litany of the  gigantic amounts of materials we exploit, with no analysis, implications, or the meaning of what impact this will have on the planet. I certainly don’t expect anyone to read even this […]

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238 academics call on the EU to plan for a post-growth future

238 academics call on the EU to plan for a post-growth future Preface. We know there’s going to be no growth soon due to peak oil and limits to growth, and ought to be planning for it so that the financial system doesn’t “freak out” and crash like Humpty Dumpty, beyond repair.  We will eventually […]

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The Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks

The Butterfly Defect: How Globalization Creates Systemic Risks Preface. I’m fascinated by system risks, so I’ve included this, though there’s no awareness at all of peak oil or limits to growth or that energy, not money, is the basis of civilization and foundation of every single widget made and transported.  But since the next economic […]

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Jorg Friedrichs: The future is not what it used to be. climate change and energy scarcity

Jorg Friedrichs: The future is not what it used to be. climate change and energy scarcity Preface. This book ranges across many topics and I’ve only included a few bits and pieces.  Friedrichs discusses what to do, recovery, denial, migration, historically how Japan, North Korea, and Cuba reacted to sudden energy decline and based on […]

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Lakes run dry from too much water extraction and climate change

Lakes run dry from too much water extraction and climate change Source: Hannah Osborne. Feb 8, 2016. Bolivia’s vanishing Lake Poopó: ESA images show fully evaporated lake from space. International Business Times. Preface.  It’s bad enough that aquifers are being depleted that won’t recharge until after the next ice age, or in some places like […]

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Fusion is the only possible way to replace fossil fuels. So how is ITER doing?

Fusion is the only possible way to replace fossil fuels. So how is ITER doing? Preface. This website, and my book, When Trucks Stop Running: Energy and the future of transportation, and Martin Hoffert, et al in the 2002 Advanced Technology Paths to Global Climate Stability: Energy for a Greenhouse Planet, Science. Vol 298 argue […]

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What collapse is like: Guadalajara Mexico

What collapse is like: Guadalajara Mexico Preface.  Collapse can be local rather than national. There are 5 states within Mexico the State Department warns not to travel to: Colima,Guerrero, Michoacán, Sinaloa, and Tamaulipas because violent crime, such as homicide, kidnapping, carjacking, and robbery, are widespread. There are 11 more states the state department says you […]

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By 2020 it may be clear to everyone that oil decline has begun

By 2020 it may be clear to everyone that oil decline has begun Preface. There are two parts to Dittmar’s study. The first one concerns production, based on the most recent years of oil production.  Dittmar found a strong pattern of oil decline after the plateau of 3% a year for five years, followed by […]

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Toxic Loans Around the World Weigh on Global Growth

Toxic Loans Around the World Weigh on Global Growth [ Since 2008 people have been struggling to pay back increasing amounts of debt. China is the worst of all, with $5 to $6.6 trillion dollars of bad debt and $30 trillion overall debt, up from $9 trillion just 7 years ago, a staggering amount of money, […]

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Alternative fuels to replace transportation oil. U.S. House hearing 2012

Alternative fuels to replace transportation oil. U.S. House hearing 2012 House 112–159. July 10, 2012. The American energy initiative part 23: A focus on Alternative Fuels and vehicles. House of Representatives. [ Excerpts from this 210 page transcript follow ] MIKE BREEN, Vice President of the Truman National Security Project.   I am also proud to be one […]

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GAO asks Congress to prepare for Peak Oil

GAO asks Congress to prepare for Peak Oil [The Department of Energy (DOE) asked Robert Hirsch to come up with a peak oil risk management and mitigation plan which was published in 2005.  Nothing happened, so in 2007 the Government Accountability Office asked Congress to prepare for Peak oil because of the many risks that could suddenly […]

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Why did everyone stop talking about Population & Immigration?

Why did everyone stop talking about Population & Immigration? [ I tried to summarize the 20 top reasons why population growth was abandoned by environmental groups and received little coverage in the news media the past 40 years.  I highly recommend reading Beck and Kolankiewicz (2000) “The Environmental Movement’s Retreat from Advocating U.S. Population Stabilization” […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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