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The Three Headed Debt Monster That’s Going to Ravage the Economy
The Three Headed Debt Monster That’s Going to Ravage the Economy Mass Infusions of New Credit “The bank is something more than men, I tell you. It’s the monster. Men made it, but they can’t control it.” – John Steinbeck, The Grapes of Wrath Something strange and somewhat senseless happened this week. On Tuesday, the price […]
Dear Fed, It’s Not “Really Hard to Spot Bubbles”
Dear Fed, It’s Not “Really Hard to Spot Bubbles” Here are some visual aids to help the Fed spot the housing bubble. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari was the latest Fed official to claim in an essay – thus following in the time-honored footsteps of former Fed Chair Ben Bernanke – that “spotting bubbles is […]
RBC Explains What The Hell Is Going On: “Prudent” Fed & Chinese Intervention
RBC Explains What The Hell Is Going On: “Prudent” Fed & Chinese Intervention A “prudent” Fed (and China’s “National Team”) have spurred a risk-on rally, as RBC’s head of cross-asset strategy Charlie McElligott notes the market’s ‘Pavolovian’ response to Fed’s ‘dovish hints’ contained within the Minutes – despite simultaneously staying ‘on message’ with hiking / tapering […]
In Emerging Markets, It’s Time To Dump Most Central Banks, And Their Currencies Too
In Emerging Markets, It’s Time To Dump Most Central Banks, And Their Currencies Too On March 16th, the New York Times carried reportage by Peter S. Goodman, Keith Bradsher and Neil Gough, which was titled “The Fed Acts. Workers in Mexico and Merchants in Malaysia Suffer.” The theme of their extensive reportage is that U.S. […]
Both ECB And BOJ Are Just Months Away From Running Out Of Bonds To Buy
Both ECB And BOJ Are Just Months Away From Running Out Of Bonds To Buy With the Fed contemplating whether to hike again next month and start “normalizing ” its balance sheet before the end of 2017, the two other major central banks are facing far bigger problems. * * * Two months after the […]
“Look Ma, No Hands!”
“Look Ma, No Hands!” The Deep State is escalating its war on President Trump but the Wall Street partiers apparently couldn’t care less. When the machines tagged 2402 on the S&P 500 yesterday, it was surely a historic case of “look ma, no hands!” It’s hard to imagine what more will be needed to ignite […]
Doug Casey on the End of Western Civilization
Doug Casey on the End of Western Civilization Nick Giambruno: The decline of Western Civilization is on a lot of people’s minds. Let’s talk about this trend. Doug Casey: Western Civilization has its origins in ancient Greece. It’s unique among the world’s civilizations in putting the individual—as opposed to the collective—in a central position. It enshrined […]
The Triumph of Hope over Experience
The Triumph of Hope over Experience The Guessers Convocation On Wednesday the socialist central planning agency that has bedeviled the market economy for more than a century held one of its regular meetings. Thereafter it informed us about its reading of the bird entrails via statement (one could call this a verbose form of groping […]
Eric Peters: If Rates Ever Rise Above 3.5% “It Would Spark Massive Defaults”
Eric Peters: If Rates Ever Rise Above 3.5% “It Would Spark Massive Defaults” Earlier today in his weekly note, One River CIO Eric Peters explained that in their attempt to overturn the natural order of the global economic “ecosystem”, what central banks have done is “stunning, unprecedented… and arrogant”, and as a result it is […]
Fed’s Policy of Price Stability Results in More Instability
FED’S POLICY OF PRICE STABILITY RESULTS IN MORE INSTABILITY For most economists the key factor that sets the foundation for healthy economic fundamentals is a stable price level as depicted by the consumer price index. According to this way of thinking, a stable price level doesn’t obscure the visibility of the relative changes in the […]
The Fed Will Blink
The Fed Will Blink Honest Profession GUALFIN, ARGENTINA – The Dow rose 174 points on Thursday. And Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said we’d have a new tax system by the end of the year. Animal spirits were restless. But which animals? Dumb oxes? Or wily foxes? Probably both. Since Thursday there have been two additional […]
The End of Quantitative Easing – Perhaps Now It Will Be Inflationary?
The End of Quantitative Easing – Perhaps Now It Will Be Inflationary? One of the greatest monetary experiments in financial history has been the global central bank buying of government debt. This has been touted as a form of “money printing” that was supposed to produce hyperinflation, which never materialized as predicted by the perpetual […]
Hell To Pay
Hell To Pay Behind the Curve Economic nonsense comes a dime a dozen. For example, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen “think(s) we have a healthy economy now.” She even told the University of Michigan’s Ford School of Public Policy so earlier this week. Does she know what she’s talking about? Somehow, this cartoon never gets old… If […]



