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The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis

The Bubble’s Losing Air. Get Ready for a Crisis Investors need to focus on their response to financial stresses in an era in which policymakers will be constrained. Not much to do once it pops. Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images Satyajit Das is a former banker, whom Bloomberg named one of the world’s 50 most influential financial […]

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No, The U.S. Is Not A Net Exporter Of Crude Oil

No, The U.S. Is Not A Net Exporter Of Crude Oil Last week Bloomberg created quite a stir with this story: The U.S. Just Became a Net Oil Exporter for the First Time in 75 Years. I have seen a number of follow-up stories that praised the significance of this development, but others laughed it […]

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Spinning Against Russia & Reality

Spinning Against Russia & Reality The November 27 Bloomberg article “Malaysia Beats Emerging Market Peers as Asia Outshines”, highlights the positive economic performances of some Asian countries, contrasted with a negative overview of South Africa and Turkey. In this piece, Russia’s second place ranking among the so-called “emerging economies” is noticeably downplayed. According to the referenced Bloomberg […]

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There Is Suddenly A Far Bigger European Problem Than Brexit Or Italy

There Is Suddenly A Far Bigger European Problem Than Brexit Or Italy Forget Brexit and Italian populists for a second. It’s worth paying attention to what’s going on in France. For more than two weeks, the country has been disrupted by an unusual protest: the so-called “Gilets Jaunes” or “Yellow Vests.” France is used to […]

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Promise Delivered: Macron Promised a Revolution, He Got One, Against Himself

Promise Delivered: Macron Promised a Revolution, He Got One, Against Himself Hundreds were arrested and fires burn as the ‘gilets jaunes’ (yellow vests) protest movement against Macron escalates. It’s rare for politicians to deliver on campaign promises. But French president Emmanuel Macron did. He promised a revolution, and got one. Unfortunately for Macron, the revolt […]

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Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability

Weekly Commentary: Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability Upon the public release of Jerome Powell’s Wednesday speech came the Bloomberg headline: “Powell: No Preset Policy Path, Rates ‘Just Below’ Neutral Range.” When the Fed Chairman began his presentation to the New York Economic Club just minutes later, the Dow had already surged 460 points. From Powell’s […]

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European Gas Stations Out of Diesel: French Refinery Strike Deepens Crisis 

European Gas Stations Out of Diesel: French Refinery Strike Deepens Crisis  Diesel is in short supply in Europe. The situation is about to worsen as the biggest French refinery is shutting down. Bloomberg reports Europe’s Diesel Woes Deepen as Strike Halts French Oil Refinery. Total SA, France’s biggest refiner, is in the process of shutting its […]

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GM To Close 100-Year-Old Oshawa Plant, Affecting Thousands Of Jobs

GM To Close 100-Year-Old Oshawa Plant, Affecting Thousands Of Jobs With car sales in the US and China locked in a precipitous slowdown that is only expected to worsen, GM on Monday is expected to announce the closure of one of its Canadian plants as the company hopes to move more production to Mexico and […]

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Canadian Oil Producer Calls For Production Cap Amid Record Low Prices

Canadian Oil Producer Calls For Production Cap Amid Record Low Prices One of the large Canadian oil producers, Cenovus Energy, is calling upon the government of Alberta to mandate temporary production cuts at all drillers in a bid to ease Canadian bottlenecks that have resulted in Canada’s heavy oil prices tumbling to a record-low discount […]

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Three Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ Today

Three Reasons to Fear Another ‘Great War’ Today Still think globalization will bring peace? They thought that in 1914, too.  Things exploded quickly.     Photographer: J. J. Marshall/Hulton Archive via Getty Images Last month, I traveled to Vienna, the former seat of the Austro-Hungarian Empire and a fitting place to contemplate the approaching 100th anniversary […]

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OPEC+ Floats 1 Million Barrel Production Cut After Oil Price Tumbles Into Bear Market

OPEC+ Floats 1 Million Barrel Production Cut After Oil Price Tumbles Into Bear Market With oil prices entering a bear market last week, tumbling 21% from recent highs as it became clear that Trump will significantly water down Iran oil export sanctions by granting waivers to its 8 largest clients even as US inventory stockpiles […]

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Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect”

Hilarious How Wall-Street Crybabies Whine about the Fed’s QE Unwind after a Decade of “Wealth Effect” Their “Everything Bubble” is being pricked “gradually,” and they don’t like it. Wall Street has been moaning, groaning, and crying out loud about the Fed’s current monetary policies – raising rates and unwinding QE. They fear that these policies […]

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Fitch Warns Italy’s Government May Not Survive Amid Calls For A Vote Of Confidence

Fitch Warns Italy’s Government May Not Survive Amid Calls For A Vote Of Confidence Update: Picking a perfect moment to prove Fitch’s point, Bloomberg reports that the Italian government may call a vote of confidence in the Senate on the migration measures. This would aim to strong-arm Five Star dissenters who face expulsion from the […]

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Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007

Nassim Taleb Explains How The Global Economy Is More Fragile Today Than In 2007 In what was incredibly appropriate timing given the ‘shocktober’ market blowup, Bloomberg News invited “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb to its set on Halloween for a discussion about the increasingly fragile market ecosystem in which we all reside, and the mounting […]

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“Tech-Wrecked”: Global Stocks, US Futures Plunge As Panic Selling Returns

“Tech-Wrecked”: Global Stocks, US Futures Plunge As Panic Selling Returns “The good news is: It’s Friday. The bad news is: everything else.” For traders, Bloomberg’s summary of today’s early morning action couldn’t be more spot on. On the last day of a turbulent week, global market turmoil is back with a vengeance and traders in […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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