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Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged”
Government Watchdog Warns Market Crash Risk Rising: “One-Sixth Of All Hedge Funds Are 15x Leveraged” One wonders if the Fed ever reads the reports issued by the Office of Financial Stability, which does a surprisingly good job of laying out the risks facing the market at any one time, which incidentally are far greater than […]
Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market?
Weekly Commentary: China Initiating a Global Bear Market? Chair Yellen is widely lauded for her accomplishments at the Federal Reserve. For the most part, her four-year term at the helm of the Fed boils down to four (likely soon to be five) little rate hikes over 24 months. Most lavishing praise upon Janet Yellen believe […]
Fed Official Decries Bitcoin as “Not Backed”
Fed Official Decries Bitcoin as “Not Backed” Bitcoin is backed by the use value of the distributed ledger in the underlying technology of the Blockchain. Randal K. Quarles, a Trump administration appointee to the Federal Reserve Board of Governors and Vice Chair for bank supervision, has given a lengthy speech (“Thoughts on Prudent Innovation in […]
US Gross National Debt Jumps $723 billion in 12 Weeks, Yellen “Very Worried about Sustainability of US Debt Trajectory”
US Gross National Debt Jumps $723 billion in 12 Weeks, Yellen “Very Worried about Sustainability of US Debt Trajectory” But only a few lost souls in Congress care. Even as lawmakers are trying to cobble together a tax-cut bill that would cut revenues by $1.5 trillion over ten years, the gross national debt has spiked […]
Stock Market Lazes Happily on a Powerful Time Bomb, and the Fed Begins to Worry
Stock Market Lazes Happily on a Powerful Time Bomb, and the Fed Begins to Worry Pointing at “excesses,” “distortions,” and “imbalances.” Margin debt in the stock market hit another record, $561 billion at the end of October, up 16% from a year ago, the New York Stock Exchange reported on Tuesday. Margin debt and the […]
The Old Songs
The Old Songs What if the fun and games of 2017 are over? The hidden message behind the sexual harassment freak show of recent weeks is that nothing else is sufficiently serious to occupy the nation’s attention. We’re living in the Year of Suspended Reality, stuck in the sideshow and missing the three-ring circus next […]
Fed Fears New Record High Credit Bubble – Danielle DiMartino Booth
Fed Fears New Record High Credit Bubble – Danielle DiMartino Booth Former Federal Reserve insider Danielle DiMartino Booth says the record high stock and bond prices make the Fed nervous because it’s fearful of popping this record high credit bubble. DiMartino Booth says, “The Fed’s biggest fear is they know darn well this much credit […]
Benn Steil: The Fed Could be Tightening More Than it Realizes
BENN STEIL: THE FED COULD BE TIGHTENING MORE THAN IT REALIZES Ten years ago, before the collapse of Lehman Brothers rocked global financial markets, the Fed’s balance sheet stood at $925 billion—mostly U.S. Treasuries. After fifty-nine months of asset purchases to push down longer-term interest rates, it had ballooned to a peak of $4.5 trillion, […]
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]
Fed Hints During Next Recession It Will Roll Out Income Targeting, NIRP
Fed Hints During Next Recession It Will Roll Out Income Targeting, NIRP In a moment of rare insight, two weeks ago in response to a question “Why is establishment media romanticizing communism? Authoritarianism, poverty, starvation, secret police, murder, mass incarceration? WTF?”, we said that this was simply a “prelude to central bank funded universal income”, […]
Why Core Inflation is Rising & What it Means for Fed Rate Hikes
Why Core Inflation is Rising & What it Means for Fed Rate Hikes Yellen was right to brush off “transitory” factors of “low” inflation. Consumer prices, as measured by CPI for October, rose 2.0% year-over-year. A month ago, CPI increased 2.2%. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%, but it doesn’t use CPI, or even “Core […]
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming
Central Bank Group Think: Convince the Public More Inflation is Coming Chicago Fed chief Charles Evans is worried about the lack of inflation primarily because he is clueless about where to find it. As further proof of his economic illiteracy, Evans says “Low inflation expectations keep inflation down”. Bloomberg reports Evans Says Fed Must Convince […]
The Unbearable Slowness of Fourth Turnings
THE UNBEARABLE SLOWNESS OF FOURTH TURNINGS “The next Fourth Turning is due to begin shortly after the new millennium, midway through the Oh-Oh decade. Around the year 2005, a sudden spark will catalyze a Crisis mood. Remnants of the old social order will disintegrate. Political and economic trust will implode. Real hardship will beset the […]
The Kids Are Not Alright
The Kids Are Not Alright Debt initially dazzles and deceives, then it disappoints, disillusions, devastates, and destroys. The thing governments do best is borrow. Performance varies across the range of their purported functions—warfare, maintenance of public order, provision of goods and services, redistribution, regulation—but they all go into debt. The structure of governments and their […]
Caution: Slowdown
Caution: Slowdown Many of you know I keep posting charts keeping taps on the macro picture in the Macro Corner. It’s actually an interesting exercise watching what they do versus what they say. Public narratives versus reality on the ground. I know there’s a lot of talk of global synchronized expansion. I call synchronized bullshit. […]
