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The Pitfalls of Currency Manipulation – A History of Interventionist Failure

The Pitfalls of Currency Manipulation – A History of Interventionist Failure  The G-20 and Policy Coordination Readers may recall that the last G20 pow-wow (see “The Gasbag Gabfest” for details) featured an uncharacteristic lack of grandiose announcements, a fact we welcomed with great relief. The previously announced “900 plans” which were supposedly going to create […]

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Deficit Spending is Not the Answer

Deficit Spending is Not the Answer  The Growing Chorus for Fiscal Stimulus Central bankers and monetary adherents the world over are united in the common grouse that fiscal policy is lacking.  Grander programs of direct stimulation are needed, they grumble.  Monetary policy alone won’t cut the mustard, they gripe. Global debt-to-GDP ratios (excl. financial debt). […]

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Has The Biggest Of All Bubbles Popped: Central Bank Omnipotence?

Has The Biggest Of All Bubbles Popped: Central Bank Omnipotence? Since the initial turmoil began with the onset of what is now referred to as “The great financial crisis.” One strategy has proven more profitable than any other. That strategy? BTFD (buy the f___n’ dip.) Regardless of what proprietary advice (short of insider trading,) nothing, as […]

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Diversify Into Gold As An “Insurance Policy” Against Geopolitical Risk

Diversify Into Gold As An “Insurance Policy” Against Geopolitical Risk “Investors could be forgiven for heading for the hills given the tumultuous start to 2016,”  so writes Andrew Oxlade in The Telegraph today who advises investors to diversify into gold as an “insurance policy”: We have long been advocates of exposure to gold as an insurance policy. […]

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Guessing the future without Say’s law

Guessing the future without Say’s law  Or some reflections to read over the Easter holidays With Japanese and Eurozone interest rates becoming increasingly negative, and the Fed backing off from at least some of the planned increases in the Fed funds rate this year, economists are reassessing the interest rate outlook. Economists lack consensus, with […]

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Presenting The Complete Global Currency Swirlogram

Presenting The Complete Global Currency Swirlogram  In case you missed it, DM central banks are locked in a truly epic FX deathmatch. Sluggish growth and trade and the attendant global deflationary supply glut have left the world stuck in a nauseating, perpetual hangover from the financial crisis. Subpar inflation and disappointing growth have become the […]

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Deutsche Bank’s Dire Warning On Global Trade: “The Currency War Is Futile”

Deutsche Bank’s Dire Warning On Global Trade: “The Currency War Is Futile” “It’s almost like the timing belt on the global growth engine is a bit off or the cylinders are not firing as they should.” That’s from WTO chief economist Robert Koopman, and it’s a quote we’ve used on a number of occasions. Koopman […]

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World watching as Canada casts aside austerity and gambles on a fiscal surge

World watching as Canada casts aside austerity and gambles on a fiscal surge A global economic debate plays out in Canada as our government goes from miser to spendthrift Canada’s Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Finance Minister Bill Morneau are taking Canada into unknown waters, betting that spending will do what austerity has not. (Reuters) […]

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A Scam Called Valeant——Why The Casino Is Going To Blow

A Scam Called Valeant——Why The Casino Is Going To Blow If you need evidence that Wall Street is a financial time bomb waiting for ignition look no further than the recent meltdown of Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX). In round terms, its market cap of $90 billion on August 5th has suddenly become the embodiment of that proverbial sucking sound […]

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The Biggest Short

THE BIGGEST SHORT Some reversals of financial trends prove so momentous they define the generation in which they occur. The stock market crash in 1929 kicked off the Great Depression, which ushered in the welfare and then the warfare state and redefined the relationship between government and citizens. Bonds and stocks began their bull market […]

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Japan Goes Full Krugman: Plans Un-Depositable, Non-Cash “Gift-Certificate” Money Drop To Young People

Japan Goes Full Krugman: Plans Un-Depositable, Non-Cash “Gift-Certificate” Money Drop To Young People The Swiss, the Finns, and the Ontarians may get their ‘Universal Basic Income’ but the Japanese are about to turn the Spinal Tap amplifier of extreme monetary experimentation to 11. Sankei reports, with no sourcing, that the Japanese government plans to unleash “vouchers” or “gift […]

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Yellen, Draghi, Kuroda: Deranged Lab Rats

YELLEN, DRAGHI, KURODA: DERANGED LAB RATS The stock market has regained all of its loses year to date as economic indicators continue to flash red, corporate profits continue to plunge, consumers continue to spend less at retailers, real wages continue to fall, and housing sales continue to decline. The entire dead cat bounce has been […]

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Government Price Fixing Has a 100% Failure Rate; This Includes Central Banks

GOVERNMENT PRICE FIXING HAS A 100% FAILURE RATE; THIS INCLUDES CENTRAL BANKS Over the previous half century, economic central planning and price fixing have been intellectually discredited in almost every sector of the economy. In the 1970s many developed countries, including Britain and the United States, had governments which used widespread price fixing, extending to […]

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Helicopter Money: Global Central Banks Consider Distributing Money Directly To The People

Helicopter Money: Global Central Banks Consider Distributing Money Directly To The People Should central banks create money out of thin air and give it directly to governments and average citizens?  If you can believe it, this is now under serious consideration.  Since 2008, global central banks have cut interest rates 637 times, they have injected […]

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New Rules for the Monetary Game

New Rules for the Monetary Game NEW DELHI – Our world is facing an increasingly dangerous situation. Both advanced and emerging economies need to grow in order to ease domestic political tensions. And yet few are. If governments respond by enacting policies that divert growth from other countries, this “beggar my neighbor” tactic will simply […]

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Olduvai IV: Courage
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Olduvai II: Exodus
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