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Tag Archives: monetary policy
A Bubble on Thin Ice
A Bubble on Thin Ice An Inexperienced Herd A recent Bloomberg article discusses the fact that most traders active today have never known anything but the era of easy money, and wonders how they will handle the potential end of that era. To this it should be mentioned that the widely expected rate hike cycle may well […]
4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance
4 Factors Signaling Volatility Will Return With A Vengeance Buckle up. It’s going to get bumpy. No one could have predicted the sheer scope of global monetary policy bolstering the private banking and trading system. Yet, here we were – ensconced in the seventh year of capital markets being buoyed by coordinated government and central […]
David Stockman Interview——-Kick-The-Can Economics Is Entering The End Game
David Stockman Interview——-Kick-The-Can Economics Is Entering The End Game Today David Stockman, the man President Ronald Reagan called upon along with Dr. Paul Craig Roberts to help save the United States from disaster in 1981, warned King World News that we are now entering the “terminal phase” of the global financial system that will end in total collapse. Eric […]
It’s Official: The BoJ Has Broken The Japanese Stock Market
It’s Official: The BoJ Has Broken The Japanese Stock Market As those who follow such things are no doubt aware, The Bank of Japan often says some very funny things about inflation expectations and monetary policy. Essentially, the bank is forced to constantly defend its QE program because as it turns out, monetizing the entirety […]
The Goldilocks Illusion
The Goldilocks Illusion Why Market Participants Liked the Payrolls Report Some people have wondered why the stock market reacted with such a big rally to last Friday’s payrolls data. After all, the report wasn’t much to write home about, especially if one ponders the details. In addition, the already weak March payrolls data were revised lower […]
How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash
How the Liquidity “Delusion” Leads to a Crash They were just about all there at the Las Vegas SkyBridge Alternatives Conference, or SALT: Daniel Loeb, T. Boone Pickens, and of course George Papandreou, who in March 2011 as Greek prime minister had produced one of the funniest official Eurozone lies ever when he reassured those that were […]
The Rich Get Richer: Titanic Stock Bubble Fueled by Buyback Blitz
The Rich Get Richer: Titanic Stock Bubble Fueled by Buyback Blitz Why are stocks still flying-high when the smart money has fled overseas and the US economy has ground to a halt? According to Marketwatch: “For the eighth week in a row, long-term mutual funds saw more money flowing out of U.S. stocks and into international stocks, according […]
Blogger Ben’s Basically Full Of It
Blogger Ben’s Basically Full Of It Ben Bernanke’s skin is as thin, apparently, as is his comprehension of honest economics. The emphasis is on the “honest” part because he is a fount of the kind of Keynesian drivel that passes for economics in the financially deformed world that the Bernank did so much to bring about. Just […]
WSJ Slams Bernanke’s Rambling Blog Post: “Stop Blaming Everyone” For Your Mistake
WSJ Slams Bernanke’s Rambling Blog Post: “Stop Blaming Everyone” For Your Mistake The mainstream is beginning to sound a lot like some fringe blog… A week after the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund unleashed a tirade against high-frequency trading and monetary policy distortions, The Wall Street Journal has penned an Op-Ed ramping up its war against Bernanke (and The […]
Suddenly “You Can’t Ignore The Data” Has Turned Into “Trust Me”
Suddenly “You Can’t Ignore The Data” Has Turned Into “Trust Me” The week that passed has been nothing short of a roller coaster ride for many nervous investors. And for some: a realization that the once hyped, hawked, and levered Billion dollar babies can indeed “come off the rails.” Turning the once joyride into something more […]
Why Markets Are Manic—-The Fed Is Addicted To The ‘Easy Button’
Why Markets Are Manic—-The Fed Is Addicted To The ‘Easy Button’ Later this week another Fed meeting will pass with the policy rate still pinned to the zero bound. The month of May will make the 77th consecutive month of ZIRP—–an outcome that would have been utterly unimaginable even a decade ago; and most especially not with the […]
China Considers Launching QE; Shanghai Stocks Soar
China Considers Launching QE; Shanghai Stocks Soar Nearly two months ago we explained “How Beijing Is Responding To A Soaring Dollar, And Why QE In China Is Now Inevitable” in which we cited Cornerstone who reminded us “that from 2007 to late 2008, U.S. fed funds dropped 500 bp, and then the Fed still needed […]
The Euthanasia Of The Saver
The Euthanasia Of The Saver What have been the economic consequences of ultra-low interest rates? The answer might not be as hopeful as you may think. While better known for the role of government in stimulating the economy, John Maynard Keynes, one of the most influential economists of the 20th century, also provided the intellectual […]
What Happens To US Shale When The Easy Money Runs Out?
What Happens To US Shale When The Easy Money Runs Out? Today we will take a look at both Whiting Petroleum (WLL) and Continental Resources (CLR) as far as their Bakken economics. Overall the numbers will show that, despite claims of low cash costs per MBOE ($16 or so for CLR) and high IRRs on […]
Has The Fed Already Lost?
Has The Fed Already Lost? Growth is dying & the Fed has few options left Increasingly we live in a world of Now. Instantaneous access to digital real time data and news has simply become a given in our lives of the moment. You may be surprised to know that the Federal Reserve has taken notice. […]
