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Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House —–Dread The Fed!

Sell The Bonds, Sell The Stocks, Sell The House —–Dread The Fed! There is going to be carnage in the casino, and the proof lies in the transcript of Janet Yellen’s press conference. She did not say one word about the real world; it was all about the hypothecated world embedded in the Fed’s tinker toy […]

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Doomsayers are wrong (so far) as U.S. Fed raises rates: Don Pittis

Doomsayers are wrong (so far) as U.S. Fed raises rates: Don Pittis Breaking the ice on frozen rates has calmed markets, not roiled them U.S. Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen oozed confidence as she announced a hike in interest rates yesterday. Markets responded in kind. (Reuters) “Remember, we have very low rates and we’ve made […]

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A Free Market in Interest Rates

A Free Market in Interest Rates  The Corn Control Agency Unless you’re living under a rock, you know that we have an administered interest rate. This means that the bureaucrats at the Federal Reserve decide what’s good for the little people. Then they impose it on us. In trying to return to freedom, many people […]

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Today Will Be a Watershed Moment for Financial Markets

Today Will Be a Watershed Moment for Financial Markets I believe the world is at the greatest financial market inflection point since 1929. One that calls for a basic truism: You can make a profit in a rising market if you are long. And you can profit in falling market if you are short. The […]

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Grant Williams: The End Of The Road

Grant Williams: The End Of The Road The Fed is finally boxed in Grant Williams returns this week to set the context for this week’s FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hike interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade. To say he is very skeptical of the Fed’s ability […]

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A Full Trunk Of Combustible Junk——The Wages Of ZIRP

A Full Trunk Of Combustible Junk——The Wages Of ZIRP Shuffling uncomfortably with paint brushes in hand in the tight monetary corner into which they have painted themselves, our monetary suzerains are about to demonstrate the folly of their seven-year stint of “extraordinary” policy accommodation. Even as ZIRP and QE have failed to rejuvenate the main street economy, they did trigger a far-reaching […]

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Paper Money Versus the Gold Standard

Paper Money Versus the Gold Standard We are living in a time that can only be considered monetary chaos. The U.S. Federal Reserve has manipulated key interest rates down to practically zero for the last six years, and expanded the money supply in the banking system by $4 trillion dollars over that time. And with […]

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Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation?

Are Negative Rates Fueling Deflation? Those in power never understand markets. They are very myopic in their view of the world. The assumption that lowering interest rates will “stimulate” the economy has NEVER worked, not even once. Nevertheless, they assume they can manipulate society in the Marxist-Keynesian ideal world, but what if they are wrong? By lowering […]

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Fed’s Rocket Ship Turns Hoverboard

Fed’s Rocket Ship Turns Hoverboard Over the past year, while the U.S. economy has continually missed expectations, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen has assured all who could stay awake during her press conferences that it was strong enough to withstand tighter monetary policy. In delivering months of mildly tough talk (with nothing in the way […]

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The Fed’s Painted Itself Into The Most Dangerous Corner In History—–Why There Will Soon Be A Riot In The Casino

The Fed’s Painted Itself Into The Most Dangerous Corner In History—–Why There Will Soon Be A Riot In The Casino The chart below crystalizes why the Fed is stranded in a monetary no man’s land. By the time of next week’s meeting the federal funds rate will have been pinned at about 10 bps, or effectively zero, […]

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Canada Just Warned That Negative Interest Rates Are Coming

Canada Just Warned That Negative Interest Rates Are Coming Moments ago, the Bank of Canada’s chief finally said what we had been patiently waiting for over the past several months: admission that Europe’s experiment with negative rates is about to cross the Atlantic. From Market News: BOC POLOZ: NOW SEES EFFECTIVE LOWER BOUND FOR POLICY RATE […]

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It Begins: Desperate Finland Set To Unleash Helicopter Money Drop To All Citizens

It Begins: Desperate Finland Set To Unleash Helicopter Money Drop To All Citizens With Citi’s chief economist proclaiming “only helicopter money can save the world now,”and the Bank of England pre-empting paradropping money concerns, it appears that Australia’s largest investment bank’s forecast that money-drops were 12-18 months away was too conservative. Over the last few months, in a prime […]

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This Is What Happened The Last Time The Fed Hiked While The U.S. Was In Recession

This Is What Happened The Last Time The Fed Hiked While The U.S. Was In Recession Back on June 17, Bank of America started its 66-day countdown to the moment it was convinced the Fed would hike rates, September 17, 2015. We, correctly, said that “we disagree entirely” with BofA’s conclusion that the Fed would hike rates, and […]

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The FED v Bias & Prejudice

The FED v Bias & Prejudice COMMENT: If the Fed is so smart and understands the problem with low/negative interest rates, then why didn’t it hike rates in September?  Better yet, why didn’t they raise rates YEARS ago?  The Fed has kept rates near zero for seven years but now suddenly realizes that this is a […]

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Unintended consequences of lift-off in a world of excess reserves

Unintended consequences of lift-off in a world of excess reserves Bar a disastrous NFP print this coming Friday the US Federal Reserve will change the target range for the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank’s Funds rate from the current level of zero – 25bp to 25 – 50bp on December 16th.  The Fed will effectively raise […]

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