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The Fed and Interest Rates
THE FED AND INTEREST RATES Most experts agree that through the manipulation of short-term interest rates, the central bank by means of expectations regarding future interest rate policy can also dictate the direction of long-term interest rates. On this way of thinking expectations regarding future short-term interest rates are instrumental in setting the long-term rates. […]
Trump buys into the Krugman con
Trump buys into the Krugman con Leading economic indicators suggest that the Republicans are headed into the fall mid-term election season with the wind at their backs. Real GDP growth hit 4.1% during the second quarter. The unemployment rate recently slipped to 3.9%, and the US Federal Reserve is finally starting to meet its inflation […]
The Fed Accelerates its QE Unwind
The Fed Accelerates its QE Unwind Mopping up liquidity. The Fed’s QE Unwind – “balance sheet normalization,” as it calls this – is accelerating toward cruising speed. The first 12 months of the QE unwind, which started in October 2017, are the ramp-up period – just like there was the “Taper” during the final 12 […]
When LBJ Assaulted a Fed Chairman
When LBJ Assaulted a Fed Chairman In his column today, Ron Paul mentions that those who insist the Fed functions with “independence” tend to forget — or at least not bring up — the numerous historical episodes in which the Fed did not exercise any such independence. As an example, Paul mentions the time President Lyndon […]
Trump’s Tweets End the Myth of Fed Independence
Trump’s Tweets End the Myth of Fed Independence President Trump’s recent Tweets expressing displeasure with the Federal Reserve’s (minor) interest rate increases led to accusations that President Trump is undermining the Federal Reserve’s independence. But, the critics ignore the fact that Federal Reserve “independence” is one of the great myths of American politics. When it […]
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process
Kass: Tops Are Processes & We May Be In That Process The Yield Curve Will Likely Invert by November, 2018 Economic growth is less synchronized than the consensus believes On a trending and rate of change basis the economic data is slowing down The Fed’s continued pivot to tighter money will likely lead to curve […]
Trump vs. The Fed: America Sacrificed At The NWO Altar
Trump vs. The Fed: America Sacrificed At The NWO Altar There is a disconnect within the liberty movement over the notion of where to find the root source of globalism. A segment of people within the movement seem to think that the fount of globalism resides within America itself; that American imperialism is the foundation […]
The Fed Is on a Collision Course
The Fed Is on a Collision Course Is the Trump economic boom a mirage? The data say yes, but the Fed models say no. The Fed has a long track record of sticking to its model-based approach and missing major turns in the U.S. economy. Current Fed policy will push the U.S. economy to the […]
Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide?
Fed Sweeps Yield Curve Under the Rug – What Are They Trying to Hide? A few weeks ago we reported the Fed was getting hawkish despite what they were calling “low inflation.” In that article, we showed rates possibly being raised more than 4 times in 2019. But more importantly, we warned that anyone investing […]
Weekly Commentary: Intimidate Nobody
Weekly Commentary: Intimidate Nobody Strangely perhaps, but late in the week my thoughts returned to James Carville’s 1992 comment: “I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the […]
Trump Threatens to Place Tariffs on All $500B China Imports, Blasts Fed Again
Trump Threatens to Place Tariffs on All $500B China Imports, Blasts Fed Again Trump blasted the Fed, the EU, China today with threats to put tariffs on everything. China and the EU are manipulators. ✔ ….The United States should not be penalized because we are doing so well. Tightening now hurts all that we […]
Depression then Hyperinflation Coming – Charles Nenner
Depression then Hyperinflation Coming – Charles Nenner Renowned geopolitical and financial cycle expert Charles Nenner says don’t believe the Federal Reserve when it says it expects “the strong performance of the economy will continue.” According to Nenner, it’s about to go the other way—down. Nenner explains, “Definitely, later this year, the interest rates are going […]
“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar
“It Was Only A Matter of Time”: Trump Sets His Sights on the Fed’s Tightening and the Strong Dollar Who says that the President doesn’t – and shouldn’t – pay attention to the U.S. Dollar’s value? Well – President Trump sure does. . . Just look at his tweets from this morning. . . This […]
Is Trump Starting To Lean On The Fed Or Setting It Up?
Is Trump Starting To Lean On The Fed Or Setting It Up? President Trump said in an interview with CNBC’s Joe Kernan this morning he “does not agree”, is not “thrilled” or “happy” with the FOMC’s interest rate hikes. The full interview and transcripts will be available tomorrow. Click here for excerpt of interview You Heard […]
Central Banks Are Using The Trade War To Hide Their Direct Influence On Stocks
Central Banks Are Using The Trade War To Hide Their Direct Influence On Stocks There has been a lot of confusion lately in the mainstream economic media as well as in independent media circles as to the behavior of stock markets in the wake of the recently initiated global trade war. In particular, stocks suffered […]



