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Who Will Raise Rates? The Market or the Fed?
Who Will Raise Rates? The Market or the Fed? Some people are confused by what I mean when I say that rates will rise as we move into the sovereign debt crisis, which will pick up steam in 2017 moving into 2020. We are NOT talking about central banks raising rates; we are looking at […]
Rising Systemic Risk for all Markets
Rising Systemic Risk for all Markets We are on the precipice of what can only be described as rising systemic risk for all markets. The Fed is now hinting that banks should prepare for NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES and this insanity of following the crowd is undermining the entire world economy. The increasingly unstable footing that we find ourselves […]
Total Incompetence of Career Politicians
Total Incompetence of Career Politicians Someone really needs to do a study on people who seem to want to rule the world yet have absolutely no clue what they are doing, which is really 98% of all politicians. What drives these people? Is it just greed to sell influence and get outrageous speaking fees? Until […]
USA: Where Politicians Are Free to Rig the Game
USA: Where Politicians Are Free to Rig the Game As to be expected, the Republicans are up to dirty tricks to try to prevent Trump from being the candidate. After the Iowa Caucus, reports are surfacing from volunteers who say that their precincts were being combined into one large mob to push the vote to […]
What Happens to Cash When Governments Go Electronic?
What Happens to Cash When Governments Go Electronic? QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; What happens to paper money when the government moves electronic? Is it just cancelled? Does cash then become worthless? Thanks RD ANSWER: It appears that electronic currency will arrive first in Europe. The cash will be demonetized so yes, it becomes worthless. However, they will most […]
Legal Reform – Learning From the Mistakes of the Past
Legal Reform – Learning From the Mistakes of the Past Typically, the first thing society addresses which sparks a revolution is the abuse of justice. Shakespeare’s famous quote about the first thing we do is kill all the lawyers is not actually about lawyers. You have to understand the context. Private individuals were not allowed to have […]
Mining Industry in Collapse
Mining Industry in Collapse The mining industry is in collapse. Everyone expanded dramatically expecting China to never stop buying. The loading up of debt is still likely to see many companies get in trouble. It is likely to see the entire industry be downgraded on a wholesale basis. Those looking at the miner stocks, […]
Neofeudalism vs. Socialism
Neofeudalism vs. Socialism QUESTION: Martin, Your grasp (and evidently the computer’s) of historical forces–the Shakespearen drama of it all–is awesome. But you seem more worried about possible socialism than neofeudalism, in which he rich take us back to the Middle Ages. Why? And which way do you think it will go, or a third way? […]
Elastic Money
Elastic Money QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; I have not read anywhere else how the money created by the Fed you call elastic will evaporate when the bonds they bought mature. You seem to do much more in-depth research than anyone else who just spins conspiracy theories leaving one question what is real or not. Can you elaborate […]
Europe Moving Into Meltdown?
Europe Moving Into Meltdown? QUESTION: Marty, now the OECD is predicting a financial crash worse than the 2007-2009 event in Europe because they say there is over €1 trillion in bad loans that cannot be collected. They seem to be also changing their opinion to fit your model. Were they there in Berlin? ANSWER: We cannot comment on […]
Davos – The Collapse in TRUST
Davos – The Collapse in TRUST The most telling sign that we are heading into a real political economic shit storm is the fact that “TRUST” is collapsing on all sides. Obama is looking for any opportunity to disarm Americans. Why? This is simply because government is in trouble and they no longer “trust” the people. Likewise, […]
France in State of Economic Emergency
France in State of Economic Emergency President Francois Hollande has publicly stated that the French economy is now in a state of “economic emergency.” He set out a €2bn job creation scheme in a desperate attempt to lift France out of an economic death spiral created by his socialistic policies that have raised taxes and chased […]
Why the Theory of Money Does Not Work
Why the Theory of Money Does Not Work QUESTION: We see that the United States can borrow all it needs at minimal cost and we also see that we’re getting a big boost from falling energy/commodity prices, to levels we have not seen in some 15 years my “economic model” — which is not a computer […]
Can Mathematicians Forecast Markets?
Can Mathematicians Forecast Markets? QUESTION: Greetings Mr Armstrong and thank you for your excellent blog! I have recently started reading Benoit Mandelbrot’s The Misbehaviour of Markets in which he states that stock prices probably isn’t predictable in any useful sense of the term (p. 6). I recall that you have stated that stock prices can be […]
Let The Bail-Ins Begin
Let The Bail-Ins Begin Portugal is starting to bail-in banks. The fascinating aspect that nobody seems to see is that this is a total failure of socialism. The U.S. Federal Reserve was formed in 1913, with the shareholders being the banks, to provide the cash needed to prevent bank failures. To stimulate the economy when […]



